Churchill Downs (CHDN) Stock Overview
Operates live and historical racing entertainment venues, online wagering businesses, and regional casino gaming properties in the United States. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 6/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 2/6 |
| Financial Health | 1/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
CHDN Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 18 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Churchill Downs Incorporated Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$82.65 |
| 52 Week High | US$118.35 |
| 52 Week Low | US$79.40 |
| Beta | 0.67 |
| 1 Month Change | -6.76% |
| 3 Month Change | -6.37% |
| 1 Year Change | -14.25% |
| 3 Year Change | -29.33% |
| 5 Year Change | -30.55% |
| Change since IPO | 36,633.33% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Sep 03
CHDN: Regional Asset Sales And Core Racing Focus Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have modestly reduced the blended fair value estimate for Churchill Downs from about $134.75 to roughly $130.58. This reflects a mix of higher and lower price targets that incorporate updated views on regional asset sales, EBITDA expectations, and sector headwinds in land-based gaming.Seeking Alpha • Aug 20
Churchill Downs: Wall Street Continues To Underestimate The Kentucky Derby Empire
Summary Churchill Downs is evolving beyond horse racing, building a diversified gaming ecosystem anchored by valuable licenses, historical racing machines, and wagering technologies. Q2 2026 results set company records, with revenue up 5% to $980M and adjusted EBITDA up 6% to $477M, showcasing operational leverage. Earnings growth outpaced revenue, with adjusted diluted EPS rising 11% to $3.45, indicating improved margin conversion and management execution. The Live and Historical Racing segment delivered $575M in revenue and a 55% adjusted EBITDA margin, highlighting the strength of CHDN’s core assets. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRecent updates
Narrative Update • Sep 03
CHDN: Regional Asset Sales And Core Racing Focus Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have modestly reduced the blended fair value estimate for Churchill Downs from about $134.75 to roughly $130.58. This reflects a mix of higher and lower price targets that incorporate updated views on regional asset sales, EBITDA expectations, and sector headwinds in land-based gaming.Seeking Alpha • Aug 20
Churchill Downs: Wall Street Continues To Underestimate The Kentucky Derby Empire
Summary Churchill Downs is evolving beyond horse racing, building a diversified gaming ecosystem anchored by valuable licenses, historical racing machines, and wagering technologies. Q2 2026 results set company records, with revenue up 5% to $980M and adjusted EBITDA up 6% to $477M, showcasing operational leverage. Earnings growth outpaced revenue, with adjusted diluted EPS rising 11% to $3.45, indicating improved margin conversion and management execution. The Live and Historical Racing segment delivered $575M in revenue and a 55% adjusted EBITDA margin, highlighting the strength of CHDN’s core assets. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 14
CHDN: New Kentucky Venue And Buybacks Will Counter IGaming And HISA Pressures
The analyst price target for Churchill Downs has been reduced by about $0.75 to $134.75, as analysts factor in slightly softer margin assumptions and a higher discount rate, while still reflecting mixed but generally supportive recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Churchill Downs shows a mix of cautious and constructive views, with price targets moving in both directions and investors focused on regulatory risk and future growth potential.Narrative Update • Mar 31
CHDN: New Gaming Projects Will Offset Virginia IGaming And HISA Fee Risks
Narrative Update: Churchill Downs The analyst price target for Churchill Downs has seen a modest net reduction of $1, as analysts factor in iGaming expansion risks that some believe are already more than reflected in the current share price, while still seeing room for upside. Analyst Commentary Recent research has focused on how iGaming expansion risk, especially in Virginia, fits into the current valuation while still leaving room for upside if execution stays on track.Narrative Update • Mar 17
CHDN: New Regional Gaming Venues Will Offset Virginia IGaming Uncertainty
Analysts have made only a modest tweak to their view of Churchill Downs, with the updated price target holding effectively steady near $135.50. They are weighing iGaming expansion risks against what they see as discounted upside in the current valuation.Narrative Update • Mar 03
CHDN: Regional Casinos And New Venues Will Offset Virginia IGaming Risks
Analysts now see fair value for Churchill Downs edging up by $0.75 to $135.50, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and the price-to-earnings ratio relative to recent Street price target tweaks that incorporate both iGaming risk concerns and perceived upside. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Churchill Downs highlights a mix of optimism and caution, with price targets nudged both higher and lower as analysts refine their views on risk, growth, and execution.Narrative Update • Dec 23
CHDN: Regional Casinos Will Drive Future Upside Despite Dumfries And Virginia Risks
Analysts have nudged their price target for Churchill Downs slightly lower, trimming it by about $1 to reflect a modestly higher discount rate and near term headwinds around slower property ramps and softer regional casino trends, even as they continue to view the shares as attractively valued. Analyst Commentary Analysts remain constructive on Churchill Downs despite trimming price targets, citing a combination of company specific execution challenges and broader softness in regional gaming trends.Narrative Update • Dec 09
CHDN: Regional Casinos Will Drive Future Upside Despite Dumfries Ramp Headwinds
Analysts have nudged their average price target for Churchill Downs slightly lower to the mid $120s, trimming expectations by a few dollars per share as they factor in a slower than anticipated Dumfries ramp, uneven regulatory enforcement in Virginia, and softer regional casino trends, even while continuing to view the stock as attractively valued. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a nuanced view on Churchill Downs, with modestly lower price targets but continued conviction that the shares remain compelling on a risk reward basis.Narrative Update • Nov 25
CHDN: Regional Casinos Will Drive Long-Term Upside Despite Dumphries Slowdown
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target for Churchill Downs, lowering it by $2 to reflect slower regional casino trends and economic headwinds that are impacting recent performance. Analyst Commentary Analyst review of Churchill Downs highlights both areas of optimism and ongoing concerns surrounding the company’s valuation and performance.Analysis Article • Nov 14
Why We're Not Concerned About Churchill Downs Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CHDN) Share Price
With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 18x in the United States, you could be forgiven for...Seeking Alpha • Mar 19
Churchill Downs: A Little Bit Of Everything Makes Something Attractive
Summary Churchill Downs Incorporated has a well-balanced portfolio of earnings strength. 78% institution holding is an insurance policy of a kind. Price in trading range attracts stronger buyers. Trades like common but feels like preferred. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 12
Churchill Downs: The Legendary Racing Operator Continues Thriving (Rating Upgrade)
Summary Churchill Downs continued its great track record in 2024 with strong racing interest, and a relatively good performance in regional casinos. The company still has significant growth investments ahead, with HRM gaming venues and multi-year growth investments in the legendary Churchill Downs racetrack. I estimate CHDN stock to have a fair value of $106.1. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 03
Churchill Downs: Still Under The Radar, Still An Excellent Business
Summary Churchill Downs Incorporated shows strong long-term performance, with improved business metrics and growth opportunities, making the stock attractive now. Q2 results exceeded expectations, with revenue and EPS ahead of estimates, and margins improving due to high-margin HRM machines and acquisitions. Management's disciplined capital allocation has led to high returns on equity and significant shareholder returns through dividends and share repurchases. Despite higher leverage, CHDN's growth prospects and fair valuation suggest it is at least fairly valued, if not undervalued. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Aug 25
Racetrack Innovations And HRM Expansion Set To Sprint Ahead In Revenue Growth
Expansion projects and growing wagering activities at Churchill Downs Racetrack indicate strong potential for increased revenue from ticket sales, sponsorships, and betting.Seeking Alpha • Jun 10
Churchill Downs: Solid Performing Gaming Stock Eschews Scale For EBITDA Growth
Summary Churchill Downs Incorporated has grown earnings in a masterly blend of keeping margins high, buying and selling assets with the skills of a great investment manager. Its revenue will hit $3b this year, nowhere near sector leaders, but its stock remains an unsung solid performer producing strong earnings. The company is a blend of stable, capital allocation opportunist outlook combined with savvy every day skill sets in running tracks and casinos. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 28
Churchill Downs: Making A Wager On This Proven Compounder
Summary Churchill Downs, owner of the iconic Kentucky Derby, is a diversified gaming operator with a strong historical record. The company has best in class operating margins, ROE, ROC and has exhibited consistent revenue and net income growth over the past 14 years. Despite a 3-year period of consolidation, the stock is undervalued and presents a good opportunity for long-term investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 06
Churchill Downs: Accelerating Growth Might Justify High Valuation
Summary Churchill Downs Incorporated is an entertainment and gaming company that owns the Kentucky Derby and operates online wagering businesses and casino resorts. The company's revenues have been accelerating in recent years, reaching $2.4 billion in 2023, up from $1 billion a few years ago, driven by investments and expansion into new businesses. CHDN's stock has outperformed the market, up 732% in the last 10 years, but its valuation appears to be at a premium compared to its peers. Whether this premium valuation is justified or not really depends on whether you are a growth investor or value investor and what your time horizon is. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| CHDN | US Hospitality | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -0.1% | -3.2% | -1.6% |
| 1Y | -14.3% | -10.8% | 12.1% |
Return vs Industry: CHDN underperformed the US Hospitality industry which returned -10.8% over the past year.
Return vs Market: CHDN underperformed the US Market which returned 12.1% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| CHDN volatility | |
|---|---|
| CHDN Average Weekly Movement | 4.9% |
| Hospitality Industry Average Movement | 6.7% |
| Market Average Movement | 6.8% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 15.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 2.9% |
Stable Share Price: CHDN has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: CHDN's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1875 | 7,800 | Bill Carstanjen | www.churchilldownsincorporated.com |
Churchill Downs Incorporated operates live and historical racing entertainment venues, online wagering businesses, and regional casino gaming properties in the United States. It operates through three segments: Live and Historical Racing, Wagering Services and Solutions, and Gaming. The Live and Historical Racing segment engages in live and historical pari-mutuel racing related activities at Churchill Downs Racetrack and its historical racing properties in Kentucky, Virginia, and New Hampshire; provides racing event-related services, including admissions, personal seat licenses, sponsorships, television rights, and other miscellaneous services, as well as food and beverages services.
Churchill Downs Incorporated Fundamentals Summary
| CHDN fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$5.76b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$412.00m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$2.99b |
14.0x
P/E Ratio1.9x
P/S RatioIs CHDN overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| CHDN income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$2.99b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$1.97b |
| Gross Profit | US$1.02b |
| Other Expenses | US$610.60m |
| Earnings | US$412.00m |
Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 5.91 |
| Gross Margin | 34.18% |
| Net Profit Margin | 13.77% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 343.1% |
How did CHDN perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
0.5%
Current Dividend Yield7%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/17 01:31 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/16 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Churchill Downs Incorporated is covered by 21 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Brandt Montour | Barclays |
| "Brandt Montour | Barclays |
| Zachary Silverberg | Berenberg |