Domino's Pizza, Inc.

NasdaqGS:DPZ Stock Report

Market Cap: US$14.6b

Domino's Pizza Valuation

Is DPZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DPZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$368.27
Fair Value
16.4% overvalued intrinsic discount
30
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: DPZ ($428.71) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($368.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DPZ is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DPZ?

Key metric: As DPZ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DPZ. This is calculated by dividing DPZ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DPZ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio24.4x
EarningsUS$597.11m
Market CapUS$14.55b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DPZ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DPZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.1x
YUMC Yum China Holdings
17.3x8.22%US$15.9b
ARMK Aramark
27.3x19.14%US$9.9b
DRI Darden Restaurants
19.6x7.69%US$21.5b
TXRH Texas Roadhouse
24x10.77%US$10.5b
DPZ Domino's Pizza
24.4x6.17%US$14.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DPZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.4x) compared to the peer average (22.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DPZ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DHCC Diamondhead Casino
0.5xn/aUS$217.79k
No more companies available in this PE range
DPZ 24.4xIndustry Avg. 24.0xNo. of Companies15PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DPZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.4x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (24x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DPZ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DPZ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.4x
Fair PE Ratio22x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DPZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DPZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$428.71
US$508.27
+18.56%
9.61%US$594.00US$340.00n/a30
Sep ’26US$458.30
US$508.93
+11.05%
9.60%US$594.00US$340.00n/a30
Aug ’26US$466.17
US$508.63
+9.11%
9.67%US$594.00US$340.00n/a30
Jul ’26US$457.53
US$504.01
+10.16%
10.54%US$594.00US$340.00n/a30
Jun ’26US$473.82
US$507.73
+7.16%
8.26%US$564.00US$414.00n/a29
May ’26US$481.39
US$505.43
+4.99%
8.51%US$564.00US$414.00n/a29
Apr ’26US$465.47
US$487.24
+4.68%
8.76%US$555.00US$414.00n/a31
Mar ’26US$489.71
US$486.91
-0.57%
8.58%US$555.00US$414.00n/a31
Feb ’26US$449.12
US$480.29
+6.94%
9.56%US$559.00US$402.00n/a31
Jan ’26US$419.76
US$480.65
+14.51%
9.97%US$559.00US$370.00n/a31
Dec ’25US$476.19
US$480.65
+0.94%
9.97%US$559.00US$370.00n/a31
Nov ’25US$425.83
US$474.84
+11.51%
9.76%US$557.00US$370.00n/a31
Oct ’25US$430.66
US$486.71
+13.02%
9.85%US$580.00US$380.00n/a31
Sep ’25US$414.21
US$490.68
+18.46%
10.45%US$580.00US$380.00US$458.3031
Aug ’25US$426.64
US$490.68
+15.01%
10.45%US$580.00US$380.00US$466.1731
Jul ’25US$505.35
US$545.16
+7.88%
8.97%US$626.00US$425.00US$457.5331
Jun ’25US$508.58
US$540.93
+6.36%
8.52%US$626.00US$425.00US$473.8230
May ’25US$516.42
US$536.40
+3.87%
8.72%US$626.00US$425.00US$481.3930
Apr ’25US$493.92
US$486.59
-1.48%
8.79%US$550.00US$400.00US$465.4729
Mar ’25US$447.23
US$481.14
+7.58%
9.58%US$550.00US$400.00US$489.7129
Feb ’25US$433.53
US$436.03
+0.58%
8.65%US$500.00US$346.00US$449.1230
Jan ’25US$412.23
US$425.57
+3.24%
9.47%US$483.00US$330.00US$419.7630
Dec ’24US$397.18
US$410.49
+3.35%
9.64%US$483.00US$330.00US$476.1928
Nov ’24US$344.13
US$409.06
+18.87%
9.71%US$483.00US$330.00US$425.8328
Oct ’24US$378.79
US$415.25
+9.62%
9.90%US$483.00US$320.00US$430.6627
Sep ’24US$391.14
US$411.42
+5.19%
10.32%US$483.00US$320.00US$414.2127
AnalystPriceTarget
Consensus Narrative from 30 Analysts
US$508.27
Fair Value
15.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
30
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/09/21 00:15
End of Day Share Price 2025/09/19 00:00
Earnings2025/06/15
Annual Earnings2024/12/29

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Domino's Pizza, Inc. is covered by 60 analysts. 29 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
David TarantinoBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research