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Updated 1d ago
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Serve Robotics Inc.NasdaqCM:SERV Stock Report

Market Cap US$383.1m
Updated 1d ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y-63.1%
7D-9.4%
1D1.4%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Serve Robotics Inc.

NasdaqCM:SERV Stock Report

Market Cap: US$383.1m

  • Company Overview
  • Valuation
  • Future Growth
  • Past Performance
  • Financial Health
  • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Serve Robotics (SERV) Stock Overview

Designs, develops, and operates low-emission robots that serve people in public and commercial spaces for food delivery activity in the United States. More details

SERV fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation0/6
Future Growth2/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Revenue is forecast to grow 51.14% per year

Risk Analysis

Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year

Significant insider selling over the past 3 months

Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years

Volatile share price over the past 3 months compared to the US market


SERV Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 98 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
67.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•20d ago

Autonomous Delivery Expansion And AI Data Scale Will Reshape Urban Logistics

357
0
20
AN
AnalystLowTarget
36.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•1mo ago

Rising Regulatory Risks And Partner Dependence Will Challenge Autonomous Delivery Adoption Yet Ultimately Strengthen Prospects

133
0
6
AN
AnalystHighTarget
79.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•6d ago

Autonomous Delivery Scaling And Platform Integrations Will Transform Long Term Potential

95
0
3

Top Analyst Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
67.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•20d ago

Autonomous Delivery Expansion And AI Data Scale Will Reshape Urban Logistics

357
0
20
AN
AnalystLowTarget
36.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•1mo ago

Rising Regulatory Risks And Partner Dependence Will Challenge Autonomous Delivery Adoption Yet Ultimately Strengthen Prospects

133
0
6
AN
AnalystHighTarget
79.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•6d ago

Autonomous Delivery Scaling And Platform Integrations Will Transform Long Term Potential

95
0
3
View all narratives

Serve Robotics Inc. Competitors

Nathan's Famous

Symbol: NasdaqGS:NATH
Market cap: US$400.8m

Kura Sushi USA

Symbol: NasdaqGM:KRUS
Market cap: US$499.7m

Dine Brands Global

Symbol: NYSE:DIN
Market cap: US$357.4m

Portillo's

Symbol: NasdaqGS:PTLO
Market cap: US$311.4m

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Serve Robotics
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$4.48
52 Week HighUS$18.64
52 Week LowUS$4.32
Beta2.38
1 Month Change-7.25%
3 Month Change-35.72%
1 Year Change-63.07%
3 Year Changen/a
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO-82.08%

Recent News & Updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 05

SERV: Grubhub Partnership And Summer Event Will Reframe Contract Uncertainty

Serve Robotics' updated analyst price target has moved from $26.00 to $22.00 as analysts factor in lower revenue growth expectations, a slightly higher discount rate, tighter profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple following recent rating changes and revised targets from brokers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Serve Robotics presents a mixed but still constructive picture.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 22

SERV: Grubhub Expansion And Uber Reset Will Shape Next Phase

Serve Robotics' analyst fair value estimate has shifted from $18.86 to $13.88. This reflects lower Street price targets, with analysts pointing to reduced revenue guidance, uncertainty around the Uber agreement, and the recent selloff that some see as creating a more attractive entry valuation.

Recent updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 05

SERV: Grubhub Partnership And Summer Event Will Reframe Contract Uncertainty

Serve Robotics' updated analyst price target has moved from $26.00 to $22.00 as analysts factor in lower revenue growth expectations, a slightly higher discount rate, tighter profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple following recent rating changes and revised targets from brokers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Serve Robotics presents a mixed but still constructive picture.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 22

SERV: Grubhub Expansion And Uber Reset Will Shape Next Phase

Serve Robotics' analyst fair value estimate has shifted from $18.86 to $13.88. This reflects lower Street price targets, with analysts pointing to reduced revenue guidance, uncertainty around the Uber agreement, and the recent selloff that some see as creating a more attractive entry valuation.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 08

SERV: Robot Fleet Expansion And New Partnerships Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have cut their fair value estimate for Serve Robotics to $7.00 from $13.00, citing reduced long term revenue expectations and the potential loss of the Uber agreement as key drivers of the revised price target rationale. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Serve Robotics points to a more cautious tone, with several firms rethinking how they view the company after updated guidance and contract expectations.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 26

SERV: Acquisition Appeal And Robot Fleet Expansion Will Drive Future Upside

Serve Robotics' analyst fair value estimate has shifted from $15.00 to $13.00, as analysts factor in updated assumptions on growth, profitability and P/E multiples, alongside recent Street research including a higher $16.60 price target and a fresh bullish initiation. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Serve Robotics reflects a generally constructive stance, with the fair value estimate aligning with a higher external price target and a new bullish initiation.
Seeking Alpha • Mar 16

Serve Robotics: The Robots Are Scaling, The Economics Aren't

Summary Serve Robotics expanded robot deployments and partnerships, but monetization and utilization lag significantly behind operational growth. SERV reported $2.7M in 2025 revenue and guided for $26M in 2026, yet operating losses and cash burn continue to accelerate. Despite ambitious revenue targets and acquisitions, SERV's revenue per robot is declining, and full fleet utilization remains a distant goal. I maintain a Hold rating due to persistent losses, dilution risk, and unresolved questions about the business model's long-term economics. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 29

Serve Robotics: Too Early To Invest, But Some Investors Might Like To Keep An Eye On It

Summary Serve Robotics has significantly pulled back in price after peak hype from a few months ago. I believe that SERV's business model is challenging to scale and risky, but the company has responsibly raised a large amount of funds, maintaining a strong cash balance. Despite significant operating losses and modest revenue, SERV's aggressive robot deployment plan with Uber Eats could drive substantial revenue growth if executed flawlessly. SERV is not yet a solid investment, but may be a worthwhile speculative gamble due to its strong cash balance and potential for hype-driven price increases. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 19

Serve Robotics: Intriguing After The Reset

Summary Serve Robotics faces significant expansion challenges, aiming to grow from 50 to 2,000 delivery robots by year-end, with revenues lagging behind expectations. SERV stock has dropped to $7, presenting a more appealing entry point, despite anticipated volatility and potential revenue disappointments in the short term. The company raised $80 million, boosting its cash reserves to over $200 million, but must improve robot productivity and manage escalating costs. Investors should consider buying shares now, but be prepared for a bumpy ride as Serve Robotics scales operations and strives to meet aggressive financial targets. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 12

Serve Robotics: Let The Robots Cool Off

Summary Serve Robotics Inc. plans to deploy 2,000 delivery robots by the end of 2025, but faces significant risks in scaling from 75 robots in Q3. The company only has a small revenue base of $0.2 million in the last quarter, with a goal of growing to $60+ million by 2026. The stock trades at 10x the 2026 revenue target, posing downside risks if the company fails to ramp up as expected. Investors should consider buying on dips, as the current market price may be overestimating Serve Robotics' ability to execute flawlessly. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 27

Serve Robotics: Dilution Likely, Stay Clear

Summary Serve Robotics faces significant challenges in scaling operations and achieving profitability due to unproven technology, high costs, and intense competition. Uber and Nvidia's investments are superficial and do not indicate meaningful support or confidence in Serve Robotics' success. The company's current unit economics are unfavorable, with high manufacturing costs and low productivity undermining the business model's viability. Serve Robotics' reliance on equity dilution for funding, coupled with uncertain commercial uptake, makes it a highly speculative and risky investment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 20

Serve Robotics Served Up A Big Nothingburger

Summary Serve Robotics stock surged 187.1% after NVIDIA disclosed an ownership stake. NVIDIA acquired shares through a series of transactions, not a recent purchase. Serve Robotics' food delivery robots could have great potential, but financials show significant losses and cash flow issues. Add on top of this the prospect of meaningful shareholder dilution just to get to market, and there are better opportunities that can be had. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

SERVUS HospitalityUS Market
7D-9.4%-3.6%-1.0%
1Y-63.1%-9.5%14.1%

Return vs Industry: SERV underperformed the US Hospitality industry which returned -9.5% over the past year.

Return vs Market: SERV underperformed the US Market which returned 14.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is SERV's price volatile compared to industry and market?
SERV volatility
SERV Average Weekly Movement10.5%
Hospitality Industry Average Movement6.7%
Market Average Movement6.9%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.3%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: SERV's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: SERV's weekly volatility (11%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
2017375Ali Kashaniwww.serverobotics.com

Serve Robotics Inc. designs, develops, and operates low-emission robots that serve people in public and commercial spaces for food delivery activity in the United States. It builds self-driving delivery robots. Serve Robotics Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.

Serve Robotics Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Serve Robotics's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
SERV fundamental statistics
Market capUS$383.07m
Earnings (TTM)-US$180.42m
Revenue (TTM)US$7.79m
49.8x
P/S Ratio
-2.2x
P/E Ratio

Is SERV overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
SERV income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$7.79m
Cost of RevenueUS$36.63m
Gross Profit-US$28.83m
Other ExpensesUS$151.59m
Earnings-US$180.42m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-2.08
Gross Margin-370.09%
Net Profit Margin-2,315.80%
Debt/Equity Ratio0%

How did SERV perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/11 04:30
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Serve Robotics Inc. is covered by 11 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Rommel DionisioAegis Capital Corporation
Andres Sheppard-SlingerCantor Fitzgerald & Co.
Alinur BeisenbayFreedom Broker

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