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Updated 1d ago
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Carnival Corporation Ltd.NYSE:CCL Stock Report

Market Cap US$31.8b
Updated 1d ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y-27.6%
7D-4.4%
1D-2.2%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Carnival Corporation Ltd.

NYSE:CCL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$31.8b

  • Company Overview
  • Valuation
  • Future Growth
  • Past Performance
  • Financial Health
  • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Carnival (CCL) Stock Overview

A cruise company, provides leisure travel services. More details

CCL fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation6/6
Future Growth2/6
Past Performance3/6
Financial Health2/6
Dividends3/6

Rewards

Trading at 57.8% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 8.94% per year

Earnings have grown 71.4% per year over the past 5 years

Trading at good value compared to peers and industry

Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 55.5%

Risk Analysis

Has a high level of debt

Unstable dividend track record


CCL Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 233 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
36.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•2mo ago

CCL: Record Bookings And Improved Guidance Will Drive Upside Into 2026

2.2k
4
124
AN
AnalystHighTarget
48.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•2mo ago

Modernization And A Growing Middle Class Will Boost Cruise Industry

352
0
10
AN
AnalystLowTarget
20.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•3mo ago

Mounting Regulatory Pressures And High Debt Will Hurt Profitability

186
0
6

Top Analyst Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
36.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•2mo ago

CCL: Record Bookings And Improved Guidance Will Drive Upside Into 2026

2.2k
4
124
AN
AnalystHighTarget
48.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•2mo ago

Modernization And A Growing Middle Class Will Boost Cruise Industry

352
0
10
AN
AnalystLowTarget
20.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•3mo ago

Mounting Regulatory Pressures And High Debt Will Hurt Profitability

186
0
6
View all narratives

Carnival Corporation Ltd. Competitors

Expedia Group

Symbol: NasdaqGS:EXPE
Market cap: US$33.0b

Viking Holdings

Symbol: NYSE:VIK
Market cap: US$39.3b

Trip.com Group

Symbol: NasdaqGS:TCOM
Market cap: US$25.5b

Royal Caribbean Cruises

Symbol: NYSE:RCL
Market cap: US$70.7b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Carnival
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$22.70
52 Week HighUS$34.03
52 Week LowUS$22.70
Beta2.31
1 Month Change-18.20%
3 Month Change-19.27%
1 Year Change-27.61%
3 Year Change51.13%
5 Year Change-2.03%
Change since IPO476.51%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha • Aug 28

Carnival Corporation: This Cruise Is Cheap Enough To Hop On

Summary Carnival Corporation is rated a solid "Buy" due to robust post-pandemic growth, improving leverage, and attractive valuation metrics. CCL has expanded passenger capacity and expects a further 13.9% increase with seven new ships by 2033, reinforcing its industry leadership. Net debt has declined from $28.16 billion in 2023 to $22.65 billion by mid-2026, with a projected net leverage ratio as low as 2.80 by year-end. Despite macroeconomic concerns, CCL's strong cash flow, rising profitability, and lower EV/EBITDA multiple versus peers support a bullish outlook. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Aug 28

Carnival Corporation: This Cruise Is Cheap Enough To Hop On

Summary Carnival Corporation is rated a solid "Buy" due to robust post-pandemic growth, improving leverage, and attractive valuation metrics. CCL has expanded passenger capacity and expects a further 13.9% increase with seven new ships by 2033, reinforcing its industry leadership. Net debt has declined from $28.16 billion in 2023 to $22.65 billion by mid-2026, with a projected net leverage ratio as low as 2.80 by year-end. Despite macroeconomic concerns, CCL's strong cash flow, rising profitability, and lower EV/EBITDA multiple versus peers support a bullish outlook. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 30

CCL: Fuel Efficiency And Cost Control Will Support Future Upside Potential

The analyst price target for Carnival has been revised to $35.60 from $37.70 as analysts weigh stronger fuel efficiency benefits and cost control against softer European booking trends and lowered yield guidance. Analyst Commentary Carnival sits in the middle of a split analyst debate, with most recent research pointing to improved cost execution and fuel savings, while also flagging pressure on future yield guidance and pockets of softer demand, especially in Europe.
Analysis Article • Jun 29

Results: Carnival Corporation Ltd. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Last week, you might have seen that Carnival Corporation Ltd. ( NYSE:CCL ) released its quarterly result to the market...
Analysis Article • Jun 17

Carnival (CCL) Stock Could Be 18% Undervalued After Strait Of Hormuz Peace Deal

Carnival (CCL) stock has been in focus after a recent peace deal aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz, which investors expect to ease fuel costs and reduce travel related route disruptions. See our latest analysis for Carnival. Beyond the immediate reaction to the peace deal, Carnival’s share price return has been strong recently, with a 7 day gain of 11.43% and a 30 day move of 25.41%. Its 1 year total shareholder return of 34.16% and 3 year total shareholder return of 96.43% point to...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 16

CCL: Yield Strength And Buybacks Will Counter Fuel And Cybersecurity Headwinds

The analyst price target for Carnival is now set near $43.68, up from about $42.33, supported by Street research that points to firm pricing and yields, strong demand across the cruise industry, and expectations from several firms that upcoming results and guidance could hold up better than some investors anticipate despite recent sector headlines. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Carnival points to a cluster of constructive views, with several bullish analysts emphasizing demand resilience, execution on pricing and yields, and room for valuation to catch up with operational progress.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 02

CCL: Fair Value View Balances Fuel Costs With Execution And Capital Returns

Analysts have raised their average price targets on Carnival into the low to mid $30s, citing new Buy initiations with a $36 target, inclusion as a Top Pick at $34, and expectations for Q2 earnings and EBITDA that broadly align with or modestly exceed prior guidance, despite recent industry booking and fuel cost headwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Carnival highlights a mix of optimism around execution and earnings guidance, alongside renewed caution on fuel costs, bookings and headline risk across the cruise group.
User avatar
Narrative Update • May 14

CCL: Share Repurchases Will Offset Fuel And Geopolitical Earnings Headwinds

The analyst price target for Carnival has been reduced by about $2 to $42, with analysts broadly pointing to higher discount rates, slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, and updated P/E expectations as they reassess fuel cost and geopolitical risks. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Carnival shows a mix of reduced price targets and selective upgrades, with analysts weighing fuel costs, geopolitical risks, and valuation discipline.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 28

CCL: Fair Value View Will Weigh Fuel Costs Against Execution Delivery

The updated analyst price target for Carnival Corporation & has edged to $28.70, as analysts factor in more measured revenue growth and profit margins, along with a higher assumed future P/E multiple and a slightly adjusted discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Carnival Corporation & shows a mixed backdrop, with a cluster of bearish analysts trimming price targets even as a few larger firms keep more constructive ratings.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 14

CCL: Fuel Headwinds And Buybacks Will Support Multi Year Earnings Upside

The updated fair value estimate for Carnival Corporation & reflects a small price target cut of about $0.38, as analysts factor in higher fuel cost sensitivity and slightly lower projected profit margins, while still incorporating modestly stronger revenue growth assumptions and a similar future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Carnival Corporation & points to a mixed but engaged analyst community, with several firms adjusting price targets to reflect updated expectations around fuel costs, earnings guidance, and geopolitical risk.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 31

CCL: Share Repurchases And Strong Cruise Demand Will Support Multi-Year Earnings Upside

The analyst price target for Carnival Corporation & has been trimmed by a few dollars to reflect a slightly higher discount rate, more cautious assumptions on revenue growth and margins, and mixed recent Street research. Several firms reduced targets on fuel and geopolitical risks, while others lifted or maintained targets in light of still solid cruise demand.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 17

CCL: Strong Cruise Demand And New Dividend Are Expected To Support Upside

Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Carnival Corporation & to $37.70 from $38.00 as higher discount rates and fuel cost headwinds offset steady expectations for cruise demand and profitability. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Carnival Corporation & reflects a mix of optimism on demand and profitability, set against caution around fuel costs, geopolitical risks and valuation expectations.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 03

CCL: Strong Cruise Demand And Reinstated Dividend Will Support Multi-Year Earnings Upside

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Carnival Corporation & slightly lower to $45.09, even as they reference improved revenue growth and profit margin assumptions along with a higher future P/E multiple in their updated price target work. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Carnival Corporation & reflects a cluster of constructive views, with several bullish analysts lifting their price targets and highlighting what they see as supportive demand trends for cruises over the coming years.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 17

CCL: Strong Cruise Demand And Favorable Capacity Are Expected To Support Upside

Analysts have lifted their price targets on Carnival Corporation & to as high as $45, pointing to firm cruise spending data, favorable capacity trends through 2029, and what they see as temporary Caribbean yield pressures as key supports for the updated views. Analyst Commentary Recent research notes show a cluster of upward price target revisions on Carnival, reflecting a mix of optimism around demand trends and some caution around regional pricing pressures and earnings execution.
Analysis Article • Feb 03

Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Carnival Corporation &'s (NYSE:CCL) Earnings

Unsurprisingly, Carnival Corporation & plc's ( NYSE:CCL ) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 03

CCL: Resilient Cruise Demand And Caribbean Capacity Are Expected To Sustain Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for Carnival Corporation & to US$38 from US$35, citing updated assumptions for higher revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, a lower discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple supported by recent research pointing to resilient cruise demand and favorable capacity trends. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Carnival Corporation & points to a cluster of higher price targets, with several firms updating their models following sector work and company specific reports.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 20

CCL: Strong Cruise Demand And New Dividend Will Support Multi-Year Earnings Upside

Narrative Update: Carnival Corporation & Analysts have lifted their price target on Carnival Corporation & to about $45, up from roughly $42.50. They cite stronger cruise spending data, firm demand trends, favorable capacity through fiscal 2029, and updated estimates that point to higher revenue growth, slightly better profit margins, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 05

CCL: Fair Value View Balances Record Bookings With Execution And Capital Risks

Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Carnival Corporation & to about US$28.61 from US$24.61, citing higher assumed revenue growth, a stronger profit margin profile and a slightly lower discount rate, alongside recent price target increases that highlight expectations for improved returns on invested capital and ongoing demand for cruising. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Carnival has leaned positive on the cruise sector overall, with some analysts pointing to expanding total addressable market, private island attractions supporting demand and what they describe as improving returns on invested capital.
Analysis Article • Dec 25

Carnival Corporation & plc's (NYSE:CCL) Shares Leap 26% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

Carnival Corporation & plc ( NYSE:CCL ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 15

CCL: Record Bookings And Private Destinations Will Drive Multi-Year Earnings Upside

Carnival Corporation & plc's fair value estimate has been raised slightly to about $42.50 from roughly $41.57, as analysts factor in a wave of higher price targets driven by record Q3 results, robust booking trends out into 2026, and expanding returns from the cruise sector and private island initiatives. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are increasingly constructive on Carnival Corporation, pointing to a combination of record financial performance, strengthening pricing power, and growing demand visibility that supports higher valuation levels.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 01

CCL: Expanding Caribbean Destinations Will Sustain Demand Into 2026

Carnival Corporation & Plc's analyst price target has been raised slightly to $35.76, reflecting analysts' optimism over robust earnings momentum, positive booking trends, and expanding demand for cruise travel. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect overall optimism surrounding Carnival Corporation, with several analysts raising their price targets and maintaining positive ratings.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 17

CCL: Record Forward Bookings Will Drive Revenue Momentum Into 2026

The analyst price target for Carnival Corporation & has been revised slightly downward to $35.70 from $35.84. This change reflects minor adjustments in fair value estimates as analysts balance strong recent performance and record bookings with updated expectations for future revenue growth and margins.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 01

CCL: Record Bookings And Improved Guidance Will Drive Upside Into 2026

Analysts have raised their price targets for Carnival Corporation, with increases up to $42 per share. They cite stronger-than-expected third quarter results, robust forward bookings, and improving long-term revenue visibility.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 18

Fleet Modernization And Private Destinations Will Expand Global Reach

The consensus analyst price target for Carnival Corporation & has increased slightly to $35.84. This reflects confidence in the company's strong forward bookings, robust quarterly results, and improved margin outlook.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 04

Fleet Modernization And Private Destinations Will Expand Global Reach

Carnival Corporation & saw its average analyst price target rise to $35.75 from $34.27. This adjustment is based on analysts citing stronger-than-expected earnings, resilient demand, and improving booking trends for the company.
Analysis Article • Oct 02

The Carnival Corporation & plc (NYSE:CCL) Third-Quarter Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts

Carnival Corporation & plc ( NYSE:CCL ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 19

Fleet Modernization And Private Destinations Will Expand Global Reach

Carnival Corporation’s consensus price target has increased to $34.27 as analysts cite robust consumer demand, strong booking trends, and ongoing margin expansion from fleet modernization and strategic initiatives, reflecting raised growth forecasts and a favorable risk/reward profile. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite consistently strong consumer demand and solid booking trends, supported by positive Q2 and Q3 earnings surprises and raised forward guidance.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 04

Fleet Modernization And Private Destinations Will Expand Global Reach

Analysts maintain a positive outlook on Carnival Corporation & due to strong consumer demand, robust booking trends, margin expansion opportunities, and consistent earnings outperformance, resulting in an unchanged consensus price target of $33.36. Analyst Commentary Strong consumer demand and robust booking trends driving revenue and cash flow growth, further bolstered by Carnival’s strategic fleet modernization.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 28

Carnival Corporation: More Than A Recovery Story

Summary I am bullish on Carnival Corporation & plc, rating it a buy due to its resilience, operational leverage, cost discipline, and prudent debt management. Carnival's financial recovery and structural changes have driven significant revenue and EBITDA growth, yet the market undervalues its operational efficiencies. The experience economy and aging population present unique growth drivers, positioning Carnival for sustainable long-term growth. Sensitivity analysis indicates a 64% upside potential with manageable downside risk, supporting my buy recommendation despite potential global recession and debt overhang risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 20

Carnival's Selloff Triggers Near Doubling Upside Potential - Reiterate Buy

Summary CCL has had the much needed selloff from recent heights, with it already triggering the cheaper valuations and near doubling upside potential over the next few years. Part of the headwinds are naturally attributed to the near-term risks from rising anti-US sentiments and ongoing pullback in foreign tourism, thanks to the ongoing tariff war. Even so, readers must note CCL's growing customer deposits at higher yields, as similarly observed in the management's raised FY2025 guidance. This is significantly aided by the raised consensus estimates, lower short interest volumes, emergence of clear uptrend support line since October 2022 bottom, and recent bounce at $16.43 floor. We shall further discuss why we are reiterating our Buy rating for the CCL stock here. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 20

Carnival: Likely Cruising To Investment Grade Ahead Of Schedule

Summary Carnival’s leading market share in the cruise industry sets it up to benefit the most from the forecasted industry growth. I expect Carnival to outperform its FY 2025 guidance, potentially generating $7.49 billion in EBITDA. I’m forecasting Carnival to reduce its debt balance by $3.78 billion in FY 2025, allowing it to exit the year as investment grade, a year ahead of guidance. I’m reiterating my buy rating for Carnival stock with a 1-year price target of $43, representing 113% upside from its current valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

CCLUS HospitalityUS Market
7D-4.4%-5.6%-0.2%
1Y-27.6%-10.1%14.8%

Return vs Industry: CCL underperformed the US Hospitality industry which returned -10.1% over the past year.

Return vs Market: CCL underperformed the US Market which returned 14.8% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is CCL's price volatile compared to industry and market?
CCL volatility
CCL Average Weekly Movement6.0%
Hospitality Industry Average Movement6.8%
Market Average Movement6.9%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.5%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: CCL has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: CCL's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
1972160,000Josh Weinsteinwww.carnivalcorp.com

Carnival Corporation Ltd., a cruise company, provides leisure travel services. The company operates through four segments: North America Cruise Operations, Europe Cruise Operations, Cruise Support, and Tour and Other. It operates port destinations and islands, as well as owns and operates hotels, lodges, glass-domed railcars, and motorcoaches.

Carnival Corporation Ltd. Fundamentals Summary

How do Carnival's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
CCL fundamental statistics
Market capUS$31.78b
Earnings (TTM)US$3.07b
Revenue (TTM)US$27.31b
10.1x
P/E Ratio
1.1x
P/S Ratio

Is CCL overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
CCL income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$27.31b
Cost of RevenueUS$12.11b
Gross ProfitUS$15.21b
Other ExpensesUS$12.14b
EarningsUS$3.07b

Last Reported Earnings

May 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)2.24
Gross Margin55.68%
Net Profit Margin11.24%
Debt/Equity Ratio191.7%

How did CCL perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

2.6%
Current Dividend Yield
13%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/09 04:09
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/09 00:00
Earnings2026/05/31
Annual Earnings2025/11/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Carnival Corporation Ltd. is covered by 44 analysts. 25 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Felicia Kantor HendrixBarclays
Brandt MontourBarclays

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