Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) Stock Overview
Operates as a cruise company worldwide. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 5/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 4/6 |
| Financial Health | 3/6 |
| Dividends | 3/6 |
RCL Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
US$297.03
FV
0.2% undervalued intrinsic discount7.58%
Revenue growth p.a.
51
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Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$296.30 |
| 52 Week High | US$366.50 |
| 52 Week Low | US$232.10 |
| Beta | 1.78 |
| 1 Month Change | 1.89% |
| 3 Month Change | 8.30% |
| 1 Year Change | -11.41% |
| 3 Year Change | 191.15% |
| 5 Year Change | 272.94% |
| Change since IPO | 3,147.12% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Jun 30
RCL: Project And Fuel Headwinds Will Cap Further Upside Potential
Royal Caribbean Cruises' analyst fair value has been adjusted slightly lower from $268.88 to $261.31. This reflects updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, margins, and a more conservative future P/E, even as several firms revise price targets following shifts in fuel cost expectations and project specific risks around Perfect Day Mexico.Seeking Alpha • Jun 17
Royal Caribbean: The Oil Price Drag And Possible Surprise
Summary Royal Caribbean Cruises's stock price uptick in the past two months has exceeded my expectations even for the full year 2026, as a result its market multiples are stretched now. How the stock performs going forward critically depends on whether the oil price drop can be sustained or not. The price shock resulted in an earnings guidance downgrade. By the same token, a price drop can result in an upgrade. But that remains to be seen. At any rate, this change would only impact the relative short-term. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jun 16
Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) Stock Could Be 5.6% Overvalued After Travel Sentiment Lift
Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) stock moved after renewed optimism around international relations, as a high profile diplomatic agreement lifted sentiment toward global travel, with cruise and airline stocks reacting alongside other beneficiaries of cross border activity. See our latest analysis for Royal Caribbean Cruises. Beyond the latest diplomatic news, Royal Caribbean Cruises has been in the spotlight for operational developments such as the new Seward, Alaska terminal and ongoing...Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 30
RCL: Project And Fuel Headwinds Will Cap Further Upside Potential
Royal Caribbean Cruises' analyst fair value has been adjusted slightly lower from $268.88 to $261.31. This reflects updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, margins, and a more conservative future P/E, even as several firms revise price targets following shifts in fuel cost expectations and project specific risks around Perfect Day Mexico.Seeking Alpha • Jun 17
Royal Caribbean: The Oil Price Drag And Possible Surprise
Summary Royal Caribbean Cruises's stock price uptick in the past two months has exceeded my expectations even for the full year 2026, as a result its market multiples are stretched now. How the stock performs going forward critically depends on whether the oil price drop can be sustained or not. The price shock resulted in an earnings guidance downgrade. By the same token, a price drop can result in an upgrade. But that remains to be seen. At any rate, this change would only impact the relative short-term. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jun 16
Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) Stock Could Be 5.6% Overvalued After Travel Sentiment Lift
Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) stock moved after renewed optimism around international relations, as a high profile diplomatic agreement lifted sentiment toward global travel, with cruise and airline stocks reacting alongside other beneficiaries of cross border activity. See our latest analysis for Royal Caribbean Cruises. Beyond the latest diplomatic news, Royal Caribbean Cruises has been in the spotlight for operational developments such as the new Seward, Alaska terminal and ongoing...
Narrative Update • Jun 16
RCL: Future Share Performance Will Hinge On Mexico Project Uncertainty
The analyst price target for Royal Caribbean Cruises has edged slightly lower by about $2, reflecting modestly softer fair value, revenue growth, and profit margin assumptions as analysts weigh record demand against project delays, booking headlines, and a still-supportive industry setup for the cruise group. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Royal Caribbean Cruises highlights a mix of enthusiasm around the cruise industry setup and caution around project risk and recent share performance.Narrative Update • Jun 01
RCL: Future Earnings Power Will Depend On Mexico Project Resolution
Royal Caribbean Cruises' analyst price target has been trimmed by about $10 to reflect lower fair value, modestly softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a slightly lower future P/E, after analysts highlighted potential earnings and capacity risks tied to the Perfect Day Mexico project and recent booking headwinds in the broader cruise group. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Royal Caribbean has been active, with several firms revisiting their models after project updates, booking trends and earnings guidance changes.Narrative Update • May 04
RCL: Mixed Street Reset And 2026 Outlook Will Keep Upside In Check
Royal Caribbean's updated analyst price target has moved lower, with the fair value estimate shifting from $286.04 to $268.88 as analysts factor in a higher discount rate, slightly softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple after a recent mix of target cuts and raises across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Royal Caribbean shows a mix of views, but the pattern of price target resets stands out.Narrative Update • Apr 20
RCL: 2026 Margin Profile And Cash Returns Will Support Further Upside
Analyst price targets for Royal Caribbean Cruises have been revised lower by about $13, reflecting updated expectations for slightly softer revenue growth, a modestly lower profit margin profile, a somewhat reduced future P/E, and a higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Royal Caribbean Cruises shows a mixed but active debate on where the shares should trade, with several large firms adjusting their price targets both higher and lower in quick succession.
Narrative Update • Apr 05
RCL: Future Upside Will Rely On Enduring Cruise Demand Strength
Analysts maintained the Royal Caribbean Cruises fair value estimate at $425.00 and slightly adjusted underlying assumptions such as the discount rate and revenue growth, reflecting a mix of recent price target increases and trims across the Street while still leaning on expectations for solid demand and operational execution. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Royal Caribbean reflects a generally constructive tone, with most updates pointing to confidence in the company’s ability to execute on demand trends, pricing and capacity additions, even as some firms fine tune targets around shorter term Caribbean and geopolitical considerations.Narrative Update • Mar 21
RCL: Future Upside Will Rely On Sustained Cruise Demand Strength
Analysts have nudged Royal Caribbean Cruises' target higher to $376, reflecting tweaks to slightly lower discount rates, modestly stronger projected revenue growth and margins, and a small adjustment to future P/E assumptions supported by recent research that points to ongoing cruise demand and double digit revenue expectations into fiscal 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Royal Caribbean points to an increasingly constructive tone, with several firms lifting price targets and highlighting supportive demand data, even as some acknowledge near term headwinds in specific regions such as the Caribbean.Narrative Update • Mar 07
RCL: Future Profitability And Buybacks Are Expected To Drive Upside
The analyst price target for Royal Caribbean Cruises has been raised to $425.00 from $414.78, with analysts pointing to stronger projected profit margins and a lower assumed future P/E multiple, even as revenue growth expectations are adjusted. Analyst Commentary Street research on Royal Caribbean Cruises has been active, with a cluster of price target revisions signaling how closely the stock is being tracked.Narrative Update • Feb 21
RCL: Elevated Expectations And Caribbean Yield Pressures Will Restrain Share Upside
Analysts have lifted their aggregate price target for Royal Caribbean Cruises, reflecting a move from about $245 to roughly $286 as they factor in updated expectations around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples following a series of recent target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on Royal Caribbean Cruises has been active, with several firms revisiting their price targets and near term views.Narrative Update • Feb 06
RCL: 2026 Guidance And Margin Outlook Will Support Measured Upside Potential
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Royal Caribbean Cruises by about $31 to $362, citing updated research that reflects slightly lower growth assumptions alongside firmer profit margin expectations and a broadly higher set of Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Street research on Royal Caribbean Cruises has been active, with several firms adjusting price targets in both directions.Narrative Update • Jan 23
RCL: Strong Demand And Buybacks Are Expected To Drive Upside
Analysts nudged their price targets higher on Royal Caribbean Cruises, with our fair value estimate moving from US$411.61 to about US$414.78 as they weighed stronger cruise demand data alongside mixed views on yields and costs. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Royal Caribbean Cruises points to a split tape, but the more optimistic voices highlight demand strength, supportive spend data, and confidence in the company’s ability to execute through near term headwinds.Narrative Update • Jan 09
RCL: Softer Revenue Yields And 2026 EPS Guidance Will Pressure Shares
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Royal Caribbean Cruises by about $23 to reflect a combination of slightly higher required returns, a modestly lower assumed profit margin and valuation multiple, and updated views on revenue growth and earnings visibility following recent Q3 commentary and 2026 guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Royal Caribbean point to a more cautious tone, even as analysts continue to engage with the story following Q3 results and the release of 2026 guidance.Narrative Update • Dec 25
RCL: Share Repurchases And Efficient Fleet Are Expected To Drive Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Royal Caribbean Cruises to about $411.61 from $420, citing slightly slower expected revenue growth, modestly lower profit margins, and a higher discount rate, even as they still see robust long term EPS expansion supported by the company's hardware advantages. Analyst Commentary Despite the modest recalibration in price targets, bullish analysts continue to emphasize Royal Caribbean's structural advantages, disciplined capacity growth, and strong earnings trajectory through the back half of the decade.Narrative Update • Dec 11
RCL: Reset 2026 Guidance Will Unlock Upside From Conservative Earnings Outlook
Analysts have nudged down their Royal Caribbean Cruises price target by about $5 per share, reflecting slightly higher discount rates and more conservative long term earnings and yield assumptions, even as they still expect robust EPS growth through 2028. Analyst Commentary Analysts are recalibrating their views on Royal Caribbean Cruises following the latest earnings update, trimming price targets but generally maintaining expectations for solid medium term growth and balance sheet progress.Narrative Update • Nov 27
RCL: Upside Will Emerge As 2026 Guidance Resets Market Expectations
Royal Caribbean’s analyst price target has been modestly reduced from $337 to $333, as analysts cite more cautious outlooks on future yield growth and mixed booking trends. This comes despite continued recognition of the company’s long-term strengths.Narrative Update • Nov 13
RCL: Earnings Upside Will Emerge As Conservative 2026 Guidance Resets Expectations
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target for Royal Caribbean Cruises, trimming it from approximately $344 to $337. They cite a slightly higher discount rate, marginally slower revenue growth and profit margin projections, as well as recent indications of softer yield momentum in upcoming quarters.Narrative Update • Oct 29
Earnings Momentum Will Recover As New Vessel Deliveries Accelerate Through 2028
Royal Caribbean Cruises' analyst price target has shifted downward by $11.78 to $344.09, as analysts cite conservative earnings guidance, softer-than-expected revenue yield trends, and mixed forward booking indicators. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst coverage of Royal Caribbean Cruises highlights both confidence in the company’s execution and caution around its future earnings trajectory.Narrative Update • Sep 19
New Cruise Ships And Private Destinations Will Expand Markets
Analysts have raised Royal Caribbean Cruises' price target to $355.87, citing strong forward demand, robust pricing power, industry-leading margins, and accretive land-based initiatives, while recent share gains leave some caution on tactical positioning. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite strong forward demand and robust pricing power driving significant upward EPS revisions for Royal Caribbean through 2027/2028.Narrative Update • Sep 04
New Cruise Ships And Private Destinations Will Expand Markets
Despite a less attractive near-term tactical setup following a sector rally, analysts cite strong demand, robust pricing, and superior margins as drivers for Royal Caribbean's long-term EPS and market share growth, resulting in the consensus price target remaining unchanged at $351.65. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight strong forward demand, robust pricing, and optionality from land-based projects as drivers for increased price targets.Analysis Article • Jul 16
An Intrinsic Calculation For Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE:RCL) Suggests It's 44% Undervalued
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Royal Caribbean Cruises fair value estimate is US$604 Current...Analysis Article • Jul 04
Investors Appear Satisfied With Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.'s (NYSE:RCL) Prospects As Shares Rocket 25%
Despite an already strong run, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. ( NYSE:RCL ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of...Seeking Alpha • Mar 26
Royal Caribbean Cruises' Selloff Is Finally Here - Upgrade To Buy
Summary RCL has had the much needed correction from recent heights, with it triggering the cheaper valuations and richer double digits upside potential. Combined with the growing net yields, expanding profit margins, and healthier balance sheet, we believe that the company is well positioned to outperform moving forward. With many of its cruise/ travel peers still reporting excellent performance metrics, we believe that RCL is likely to deliver a beat and raise earnings call in FQ1'25. We shall further discuss why we are finally upgrading the stock to a Buy here, significantly aided by the moderating CBOE Volatility Index, lower short interest, and robust bullish support at the 200 DMA. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 05
Royal Caribbean: Margin Expansion Will Drive Shares Higher
Summary Royal Caribbean will continue to grow revenue in 2025 while costs per APCD/berth will likely decline, resulting in significant margin expansion. I calculate Royal Caribbean's cruise pricing increased 3.9% in Q4 and industry sources suggest pricing is now 5.0% above year-ago levels. Based on the quarterly seasonality of 2024 earnings, first quarter earnings of $2.60 per share should translate into full year earnings of $17.36 per share. Royal Caribbean's history of exceeding full year earnings guidance suggests $2.00 to $3.00 EPS upside is possible in 2025. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 19
Royal Caribbean Cruises: This Company Is Built To Withstand A Slowdown
Summary Royal Caribbean's strong recovery post-COVID, with a 203% total return over three years, demonstrates robust demand and effective management. The company’s Q4 earnings beat expectations, with $2.52 per share and strong booking numbers at higher pricing, despite rising cruise costs. Royal Caribbean's financial health is solid, with improved debt ratios, strong liquidity, and increasing cash flow, positioning it well for future growth. The cruise market's expected 12.9% compound growth rate through 2030 and RCL's premium brand status make it undervalued at 17.69x forward GAAP earnings. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 10
Royal Caribbean Cruises: Fade The Rally - Consumer Spending Trends May Reverse Soon
Summary Royal Caribbean Cruises has had an eye-watering rally as consumer spending trends remain robust across commerce/ e-commerce/ retail/ travel, with the same sentiments reiterated by numerous market leaders. Despite the uncertain macroeconomic outlook, RCL continues to report growing top/ bottom-lines and increasing deposits, significantly aided by the raised prices and growing capacity. Even so, it is undeniable that the stock is now trading at a notable premium, with the pulled forward upside potential triggering a minimal margin of safety. If anything, FY2025 may bring forth a tougher YoY comparison and impacted consumer affordability, attributed to the potentially higher for longer inflationary pressure. This is also why we believe that RCL's growth derived from price hikes is unlikely to be replicated ahead, with it contributing to its incrementally tougher future growth opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 03
Royal Caribbean Cruises: Why You Should Disembark
Summary I am giving Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. a sell rating. RCL has a stellar high-quality earnings and a solid annual free cash flow. The company suffers from poor short-term liquidity and has substantial amounts of long-term debt and capital expenditures eating into its cash flow. Using a discounted cash flow model taking annual free cash flow as the primary metric, Royal Caribbean is overvalued by 227% from its current intrinsic value of $70.48. Though the company is a major player in a rapidly growing industry, my valuation model has already taken a lofty 34.6% growth rate over the next five years into account. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| RCL | US Hospitality | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -8.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% |
| 1Y | -11.4% | -8.1% | 19.1% |
Return vs Industry: RCL underperformed the US Hospitality industry which returned -8.1% over the past year.
Return vs Market: RCL underperformed the US Market which returned 19.1% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| RCL volatility | |
|---|---|
| RCL Average Weekly Movement | 7.0% |
| Hospitality Industry Average Movement | 7.6% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.7% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: RCL has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: RCL's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1968 | 107,975 | Jason Liberty | www.rclinvestor.com |
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. operates as a cruise company worldwide. The company operates cruises under the Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, and Silversea Cruises brands, which comprise a range of itineraries. As of December 31, 2025, it operated 69 ships.
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. Fundamentals Summary
| RCL fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$82.15b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$4.48b |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$18.39b |
17.7x
P/E Ratio4.3x
P/S RatioIs RCL overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| RCL income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$18.39b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$9.03b |
| Gross Profit | US$9.36b |
| Other Expenses | US$4.88b |
| Earnings | US$4.48b |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 16.70 |
| Gross Margin | 50.91% |
| Net Profit Margin | 24.36% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 209.0% |
How did RCL perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
2.0%
Current Dividend Yield26%
Payout RatioDoes RCL pay a reliable dividends?
See RCL dividend history and benchmarks| Royal Caribbean Cruises dividend dates | |
|---|---|
| Ex Dividend Date | Jun 03 2026 |
| Dividend Pay Date | Jul 02 2026 |
| Days until Ex dividend | 30 days |
| Days until Dividend pay date | 1 day |
Does RCL pay a reliable dividends?
See RCL dividend history and benchmarksCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/02 04:27 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/02 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. is covered by 46 analysts. 26 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| John Staszak | Argus Research Company |
| Felicia Kantor Hendrix | Barclays |
| Brandt Montour | Barclays |