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MSCI Inc.NYSE:MSCI Stock Report

Market Cap US$44.2b
Share Price
US$608.52
US$267
127.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
1Y9.8%
7D-0.8%
1D
Portfolio Value
View

MSCI Inc.

NYSE:MSCI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$44.2b

MSCI (MSCI) Stock Overview

Provides research-based data, analytics, and indexes, supported by advanced technology worldwide. More details

MSCI fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth1/6
Past Performance4/6
Financial Health2/6
Dividends4/6

MSCI Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 124 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

MSCI Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for MSCI
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$608.52
52 Week HighUS$644.68
52 Week LowUS$501.08
Beta1.23
1 Month Change4.09%
3 Month Change13.46%
1 Year Change9.76%
3 Year Change25.16%
5 Year Change22.71%
Change since IPO2,337.00%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha Jun 06

ETF Investing Is Seeing Explosive Growth, Own The House: MSCI Inc.

Summary MSCI Inc. is positioned to benefit from accelerating ETF AUM growth, with strong recurring revenues and robust operating leverage. MSCI delivered 14.1% YoY revenue growth in Q1 2026, with 95.4% retention and double-digit adjusted EPS growth, validating its high-quality, scalable model. Trading at a forward P/E of 28.1, MSCI offers a 17% discount to fair value and a potential 25% upside through June 2027 if growth projections are met. Risks include customer concentration—BlackRock accounted for 10.8% of 2025 revenue—and potential revenue headwinds from market downturns impacting AUM-linked fees. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Jun 05

MSCI: Proprietary Data And Index Momentum Will Support Future Premium Multiple

The analyst price target for MSCI is raised by $5 to $688.56, as analysts highlight growing demand for proprietary data, ongoing index momentum, and what they see as relatively limited AI disruption risk, which they believe supports slightly higher growth and profitability assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a cluster of bullish views on MSCI, with multiple firms lifting ratings or targets and emphasizing the value of the company’s proprietary data, index franchise, and perceived resilience to AI related disruption.

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha Jun 06

ETF Investing Is Seeing Explosive Growth, Own The House: MSCI Inc.

Summary MSCI Inc. is positioned to benefit from accelerating ETF AUM growth, with strong recurring revenues and robust operating leverage. MSCI delivered 14.1% YoY revenue growth in Q1 2026, with 95.4% retention and double-digit adjusted EPS growth, validating its high-quality, scalable model. Trading at a forward P/E of 28.1, MSCI offers a 17% discount to fair value and a potential 25% upside through June 2027 if growth projections are met. Risks include customer concentration—BlackRock accounted for 10.8% of 2025 revenue—and potential revenue headwinds from market downturns impacting AUM-linked fees. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Jun 05

MSCI: Proprietary Data And Index Momentum Will Support Future Premium Multiple

The analyst price target for MSCI is raised by $5 to $688.56, as analysts highlight growing demand for proprietary data, ongoing index momentum, and what they see as relatively limited AI disruption risk, which they believe supports slightly higher growth and profitability assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a cluster of bullish views on MSCI, with multiple firms lifting ratings or targets and emphasizing the value of the company’s proprietary data, index franchise, and perceived resilience to AI related disruption.
Narrative Update Apr 26

MSCI: Limited AI Risk And Sales Momentum Will Support Premium Multiple

MSCI's updated analyst price target framework now points to a fair value of about $684, up from roughly $672. Analysts tie the change to modestly higher margin expectations, a slightly higher discount rate, and lower assumed future P/E alongside reduced revenue growth assumptions, supported by a recent cluster of upward and a few downward price target revisions across major firms.
New Narrative Apr 20

MSCI 04-2026

MSCI is a Wide Moat compounding machine whose index benchmarks serve as the institutional standard for $16.5 trillion in global AUM, generating 75%+ recurring revenue at 93-95% retention rates and approximately 50% FCF margins. The investment thesis rests on three durable pillars: (1) permanent switching costs in the Index segment, where fund mandate rewrites, LP notifications, and derivative contract renegotiations make benchmark migration prohibitively costly for all but the most determined sponsors; (2) secular tailwinds from the continued growth of passive investing and the institutionalization of private markets, which expand MSCI's AUM-linked revenue with zero incremental cost; and (3) an emerging private assets franchise replicating the Index playbook in a $10 trillion+ private equity and credit market that currently lacks institutional-grade benchmarks.
Narrative Update Apr 12

MSCI: Benchmark Data Strength And ETF Inflows Will Support Future Premium Multiple

MSCI's analyst price target edges lower by about $6 to reflect modest tweaks to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions, as analysts balance earlier target increases from several firms with more recent cuts tied to updated views on the information services group. Analyst Commentary Recent research on MSCI shows a mix of confidence in the business model and caution around valuation, reflected in both target price increases and reductions over the past few months.
Narrative Update Mar 27

MSCI: ETF Inflows And Benchmark Data Strength Will Sustain Future Premium Multiple

MSCI's updated analyst price target edges higher to $710, supported by analysts citing improving sales momentum, healthy ETF inflows and limited AI risk, while still viewing the current P/E as only marginally above the wider market. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a generally constructive stance on MSCI, with several firms adjusting ratings and targets while highlighting both upside drivers and areas to watch.
Narrative Update Mar 11

MSCI: Pricing Power And Data Assets Will Support Future Premium Multiple

The updated analyst price target for MSCI edges down by about $1 as analysts balance slightly softer fair value, revenue growth, and profit margin assumptions with ongoing support from recent target raises and constructive views on the company’s pricing power and data assets. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on MSCI is broadly constructive, with several firms lifting price targets and one large bank reinstating coverage with a positive stance.
Narrative Update Feb 24

MSCI: Pricing Power And ETF Inflows Will Support Future Premium Multiple

Narrative update on MSCI price targets Our fair value estimate for MSCI has inched higher by about $1 to $679.56, reflecting analysts' higher price targets and their view that the company still supports a premium P/E multiple, supported by resilient fee trends, healthy ETF inflows and strong pricing power. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on MSCI centers on how much of a premium valuation is justified, given its fee model, pricing power and exposure to passive investing and ETFs. While most recent moves have been supportive of higher targets, views still hinge on the company continuing to execute against these advantages.
Narrative Update Feb 07

MSCI: Pricing Power And ETF Inflows Will Support Premium Multiple

Analysts have lifted their price targets for MSCI, with our updated fair value estimate moving from US$659.40 to US$678.20 as they point to healthy ETF inflows, asset based fee support, and traits they say justify a premium P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has clustered around upward price target revisions for MSCI, with several firms citing similar drivers for their updated views.
Narrative Update Jan 23

MSCI: Pricing Power And Passive Tailwinds Will Sustain Premium Multiple

Narrative Update on MSCI The updated analyst price target for MSCI moves to about US$659 from roughly US$657, with analysts pointing to factors such as MSCI's pricing power, proprietary benchmarks, passive investing tailwinds and recent support from equity markets and ETF inflows as reasons for maintaining a premium valuation framework. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary around MSCI centers on whether its current share price still makes sense given the company’s pricing power, benchmark assets and exposure to passive investing trends.
Narrative Update Jan 08

MSCI: High Recurring Revenue Will Support Premium Multiple Despite Sustainability Headwinds

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for MSCI by a small amount to about US$657, reflecting slightly lower modeled revenue growth and P/E assumptions. They still acknowledge the company's high recurring revenue and margins, as well as the recent moderation in Sustainability product growth highlighted in recent research.
Narrative Update Dec 15

MSCI: Recurring Revenue Will Sustain Premium Multiple Despite Sustainability Slowdown

Analysts have modestly reduced their MSCI price target by $0.00, citing the combination of still-strong recurring, high-margin revenue and a sustained premium multiple, tempered by a slowdown in Sustainability product growth and sector-wide concerns that they view as somewhat overdone. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on MSCI highlights a balanced view, with recognition of the company’s high-quality fundamentals alongside emerging concerns around specific growth drivers and sector sentiment.
Narrative Update Nov 29

MSCI: Recurring Revenue Strength Will Support Margin Stability And Buyback Upside

MSCI's analyst price target has been raised slightly, from $655.06 to $657.56. Analysts cite steady recurring revenue growth and healthy margins, despite some moderation in sustainability product momentum.
Narrative Update Nov 15

MSCI: Recurring Revenue And Buybacks Will Drive Premium Performance Ahead

Analysts have reaffirmed their price target for MSCI at $655.06, citing strong recurring revenue and healthy margins. Recent updates reflect only minor changes to key financial assumptions and acknowledge a moderating revenue growth rate in certain segments.
Narrative Update Nov 01

MSCI: Improved Margins And Share Buybacks Will Drive Stock Momentum

Analysts have raised their price target on MSCI from $627.81 to $655.06, reflecting improved profit margins and a premium valuation. This comes despite moderating revenue growth and a cautious outlook on Sustainability product momentum.
Analysis Article Oct 31

MSCI Inc. (NYSE:MSCI) Third-Quarter Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year

Investors in MSCI Inc. ( NYSE:MSCI ) had a good week, as its shares rose 8.2% to close at US$583 following the release...
Narrative Update Oct 18

Global ETF Demand And ESG Mandates Will Reshape Asset Allocation

The analyst price target for MSCI has increased slightly by $4 to $627.81, as analysts cite ongoing growth in target markets and a favorable long-term outlook, despite recent margin and subscription growth concerns. Analyst Commentary Recent street research highlights a mix of optimism and concern among analysts following MSCI's latest earnings and developments.
Narrative Update Oct 03

Global ETF Demand And ESG Mandates Will Reshape Asset Allocation

The analyst price target for MSCI has increased slightly to $623.81 from $619.07. Analysts cite continued growth potential and recent buy ratings despite moderate output from recent earnings and mixed sector sentiment.
Analysis Article Jun 25

Earnings Not Telling The Story For MSCI Inc. (NYSE:MSCI)

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 39x MSCI Inc. ( NYSE:MSCI ) may be sending very bearish signals at the...
Seeking Alpha Apr 06

MSCI: Fairly Priced, But Will Wait For A Better Entry Point

Summary The decline in stock prices will impact revenues, driving lower than expected asset-based fees. The analyst consensus might be overoptimistic with MSCI, and I expect minor growth during 2025. MSCI stock is fairly priced with an estimated value of $510 per share, but I will wait for an extra margin of safety. Despite the short-term headwinds, I still consider MSCI an outstanding business due to its asset-light model, strong competitive position, and aligned management. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 29

MSCI Earnings: Solid 2024, But Investors May Reprice The Stock Lower Against Organic Growth

Summary MSCI has outperformed its peers in recent years, delivering strong returns and demonstrating superior growth and operating efficiency. However, that success has also made the stock more expensive than peers on numerous metrics. MSCI's international exposure positions it well for potential capital redistribution towards global markets, contrasting with S&P Global's U.S.-centric revenue base. Despite MSCI's solid results and prospects, I rate the stock a Hold due to its premium valuation. I'd be eager to buy on any significant price dips. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 25

Unlocking Value From MSCI, The Index Fund Powerhouse

Summary MSCI is a highly profitable financial analytics company with a strong brand, delivering 45% net profit margins on $2.5 billion in annual revenue. The company benefits from recurring subscriptions and organic growth, although net new subscriptions outside the Americas are slightly down. MSCI's focus on institutional investors and high dividend yield make it a compelling investment compared to competitors like Morningstar. Despite trading at a high P/E ratio, MSCI's strong brand and monopolistic profit margins justify its premium valuation in the saturated index fund industry. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 04

MSCI: Quality Business At A Decent Valuation

Summary MSCI remains a "strong buy" due to its duopolistic market position, sustainable growth, and undervaluation despite recent price increases. The company boasts a strong revenue CAGR of 13% and a free cash flow margin of 48.5%, driven by its asset-light business model. Risks include cyclical demand in the ESG segment and elevated net debt, though debt maturity is well-managed with conservative interest coverage. MSCI's valuation remains attractive, with a price-to-free cash flow ratio 15.8% lower than the historical average, indicating continued undervaluation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 10

MSCI: It'll Take A Little Longer For Fundamentals To Catch Up

Summary MSCI's third-quarter results showed revenue acceleration and margin improvements but didn't indicate a significant trend change relative to competition. Despite good results, MSCI's valuation remains high compared to peers like S&P Global, which have more diversified and wide-moat businesses. At 35 times '25 earnings, MSCI is above a 2x PEG, making it unattractive; thus, I maintain a 'Hold' rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 30

MSCI: Reiterate Buy Rating On Positive Demand Recovery Trend

Summary I maintain a buy rating for MSCI due to strong underlying growth, solid demand outlook, and improved fund inflows despite a challenging macro environment. MSCI's 3Q24 revenue grew 15.9% y/y, beating expectations, with robust growth in index and analytics segments, and expanding profit margins. Elevated cancellations and longer sales cycles are near-term challenges, but the recovery in fund inflows and record high AUM balances are positive indicators. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 09

MSCI: Dividend Yield On Cost Might Surprise You

Summary MSCI's strong business model and subscription-based index offerings drive predictable, high-margin revenues, making it a dominant player in the financial industry. The company's financial performance is outstanding, with consistent revenue growth, high profitability ratios, and impressive free cash flow margins. Despite its strengths, MSCI's current share price is overvalued; a fair value is estimated at $397 per share, suggesting a wait for a price drop. MSCI's rapid dividend growth and buybacks make it attractive for long-term investors, but it should be bought at a more reasonable price. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Aug 21

MSCI: How 'The Customer Is Always Right' Leads To Shareholder Returns

Summary MSCI provides investment decision support tools and solutions for institutional investors globally. Their products include indices, portfolio construction software, ESG solutions, and private asset data analysis. MSCI's revenues are leveraged to stock market capitalization levels, with a focus on integrated offerings and excellent service. MSCI's balance sheet has significant negative tangible book value, which I would understand as a vote of confidence from bondholders who are willing to hold unsecured notes in MSCI. MSCI knows that the customer is always right - no matter how controversial, self-contradictory, or ineffective the customers' desires happen to be. Happy customers lead to good profit. MSCI, by an operating cash flow yield metric, is currently trading near an extreme high relative market valuation, but still has great long-term buy-and-hold prospects. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

MSCIUS Capital MarketsUS Market
7D-0.8%-0.5%-3.3%
1Y9.8%9.0%22.3%

Return vs Industry: MSCI matched the US Capital Markets industry which returned 9% over the past year.

Return vs Market: MSCI underperformed the US Market which returned 22.3% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is MSCI's price volatile compared to industry and market?
MSCI volatility
MSCI Average Weekly Movement3.7%
Capital Markets Industry Average Movement3.6%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.6%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.1%

Stable Share Price: MSCI has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: MSCI's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
19986,319Henry Fernandezwww.msci.com

MSCI Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides research-based data, analytics, and indexes, supported by advanced technology worldwide. The Index segment provides indexes for use in various areas of the investment process, including indexed financial products, such as ETFs, mutual funds, annuities, futures, options, structured products, and over-the-counter derivatives; performance benchmarking; portfolio construction and rebalancing; and asset allocation, as well as licenses GICS and GICS Direct. The Analytics segment offers risk management, performance attribution and portfolio management content, application, an integrated view of risk and return service, and an analysis of market, credit, liquidity, counterparty, and climate risk across asset classes; managed services, including consolidation of client portfolio data, review and reconciliation of input data and results, and customized reporting; and HedgePlatform to measure, evaluate, and monitor the risk of hedge fund investments.

MSCI Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do MSCI's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
MSCI fundamental statistics
Market capUS$44.23b
Earnings (TTM)US$1.32b
Revenue (TTM)US$3.24b
33.6x
P/E Ratio
13.7x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
MSCI income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$3.24b
Cost of RevenueUS$555.37m
Gross ProfitUS$2.68b
Other ExpensesUS$1.36b
EarningsUS$1.32b

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

Jul 21, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)18.13
Gross Margin82.86%
Net Profit Margin40.74%
Debt/Equity Ratio-230.8%

How did MSCI perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

1.3%
Current Dividend Yield
43%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/10 21:55
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/10 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

MSCI Inc. is covered by 28 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Manav PatnaikBarclays
Arnaud Maurice GiblatBNP Paribas
Gregory SimpsonBNP Paribas