Greenfire Resources Ltd.

NYSE:GFR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$783.9m

Greenfire Resources Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Greenfire Resources is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 105.9% and 29.8% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 106.6% per annum.

Key information

105.9%

Earnings growth rate

106.59%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth3.8%
Revenue growth rate29.8%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated06 Aug 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Aug 01

Greenfire Resources: Connacher Changes The Scale Of The Bull Thesis

Summary Greenfire Resources is transforming from a subscale oil sands operator into a regional thermal oil platform through the acquisition of Connacher Oil & Gas. The Connacher deal creates a contiguous asset base, enabling C$30 million in annual synergies, improved infrastructure utilization, and a credible path to 65,000 b/d long-term capacity. While near-term dilution and execution risk exist, GFR's forward EV/EBITDA of 4.78x reflects a 20.81% sector discount, contingent on successful integration and synergy realization. Post-acquisition, GFR will hold 551 million barrels of proved reserves and C$2.8 billion in tax pools, positioning it for scale-driven cost reductions and deferred cash taxes until after 2030. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article • Mar 08

Greenfire Resources Ltd. (NYSE:GFR) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x Greenfire Resources Ltd. ( NYSE:GFR ) is a stock...
Analysis Article • Nov 23

Greenfire Resources Ltd.'s (NYSE:GFR) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x Greenfire Resources Ltd. ( NYSE:GFR ) may be sending bullish signals at...
Analysis Article • Apr 23

Does Greenfire Resources (NYSE:GFR) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...
Analysis Article • Feb 27

Improved Revenues Required Before Greenfire Resources Ltd. (NYSE:GFR) Shares Find Their Feet

When close to half the companies operating in the Oil and Gas industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:GFR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CAD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20281,0893534206101
12/31/20271,2242332744822
12/31/20267263-4602192
6/30/2026581-37-60121N/A
3/31/2026551-42-32103N/A
12/31/20255844825136N/A
9/30/202565613594161N/A
6/30/20257042022495N/A
3/31/202577318480162N/A
12/31/202479112157145N/A
9/30/20247453816110N/A
6/30/2024713-15987170N/A
3/31/2024672-16645108N/A
12/31/2023652-1365387N/A
9/30/2023670-625278N/A
6/30/20237141885586N/A
3/31/202383514375111N/A
12/31/2022949132125165N/A
12/31/20212616612732N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GFR is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.7%).

Earnings vs Market: GFR is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: GFR is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: GFR's revenue (29.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (13.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GFR's revenue (29.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if GFR's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/11 22:15
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Greenfire Resources Ltd. is covered by 8 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Tariq SaadBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Randy OllenbergerBMO Capital Markets Equity Research