DexCom, Inc.

NasdaqGS:DXCM Stock Report

Market Cap: US$27.8b

DexCom Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

DexCom is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 14.7% and 10.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 13.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 33% in 3 years.

Key information

14.7%

Earnings growth rate

13.76%

EPS growth rate

Medical Equipment earnings growth16.1%
Revenue growth rate10.7%
Future return on equity33.01%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated20 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Analysis Article Nov 02

Earnings Beat: DexCom, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

As you might know, DexCom, Inc. ( NASDAQ:DXCM ) just kicked off its latest quarterly results with some very strong...

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha May 22

DexCom Might Finally Be Cheap Enough

Summary DexCom is now rated a 'Buy' as improved fundamentals and a 15% lower stock price present a more attractive entry. Q1/26 results showed 15% revenue growth, and 90.9% operating income growth and raised 2026 guidance for both revenue and margins. Key growth drivers include international expansion, increased U.S. coverage for type 2 diabetics, and a $1B share buyback in 2026. With a P/FCF of 20 and intrinsic value estimates up to $115, DXCM appears slightly undervalued with high double-digit growth prospects. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update May 07

DXCM: Share Repurchases And Guidance Reaffirmation Will Support Future Healthcare Momentum

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on DexCom by about $3 to reflect slightly lower modeled revenue growth, a modestly reduced future P/E assumption, and updates to discount rate and margin expectations following a series of recent target changes across Wall Street firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research on DexCom has centered on fine tuning price targets and valuation assumptions rather than making wholesale changes to fundamental views.
New Narrative May 02

Type 2 Coverage Expansion And AI Features Will Shape A Balanced Long Term Outlook

Catalysts About DexCom DexCom develops and sells continuous glucose monitoring systems used by people with diabetes around the world. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update Apr 22

DXCM: AI Coaching And Share Repurchases Will Support Future Healthcare Momentum

Analysts have made a small trim to DexCom's implied value, cutting the analyst price target by about $0.25, as they balance slightly softer modeled growth and margins with generally supportive recent research, including multiple target increases following the latest medtech sector updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research on DexCom reflects a mix of optimism and caution as analysts adjust their models and targets across the medtech group.
Narrative Update Apr 05

DXCM: AI Coaching And Buybacks Will Support Future Healthcare Momentum

Analysts have nudged DexCom's fair value estimate higher to $87.13 from $86.12, citing a series of upward price target revisions that cluster around the low to mid $80s, while one firm maintains a more cautious view focused on rising competition. Analyst Commentary Recent research on DexCom reflects a split view, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets into the low to mid US$80s, while at least one bearish voice is positioning closer to the low US$70s.
Narrative Update Mar 22

DXCM: AI Coaching And Buybacks Will Support Future Market Share Confidence

DexCom's fair value estimate edges up by about $0.27 as analysts fine tune assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, following a mix of price target changes across the Street, including recent upward revisions toward $84 to $86 and a lower $71 target tied to competition concerns. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on DexCom reflects a split view, with some firms nudging targets higher into the mid $80s and others pushing back toward the low $70s on competition concerns.
Narrative Update Mar 08

DXCM: AI Coaching And Share Repurchases Will Support Long-Term Confidence

DexCom's intrinsic value estimate nudged higher to $85.85, with analysts modestly lifting price targets, often in the $1 to $12 range, as they weigh recent target increases against a Barclays downgrade that highlights rising competitive pressure in continuous glucose monitoring. Analyst Commentary Recent research on DexCom reflects a split tape, with several firms adjusting price targets higher by amounts in the low single digits to low teens, while one major firm has moved to a more cautious stance with a lower target and an Underweight rating.
Narrative Update Feb 21

DXCM: Medicare Support And AI Coaching Rollout Will Sustain Long-Term Confidence

Our updated DexCom narrative reflects a small increase in fair value to $85.46. Analysts point to a mix of modestly lower assumed revenue growth, slightly higher profit margin expectations, a reduced future P/E multiple, and a series of recent price target adjustments that are mostly higher in dollar terms despite some concerns around rising competition.
Analysis Article Feb 19

The Strong Earnings Posted By DexCom (NASDAQ:DXCM) Are A Good Indication Of The Strength Of The Business

Even though DexCom, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:DXCM ) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't seem to notice. Our...
Narrative Update Feb 05

DXCM: Medicare Support And AI Coaching Features Will Sustain Long-Term Confidence

Analysts made only a slight upward tweak to the DexCom price target to about US$85, reflecting small adjustments to their growth, margin and P/E assumptions as they balance caution on rising competition with support from recent positive research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research on DexCom reflects a split view, with some analysts highlighting supportive policy signals and valuation upside, while others focus on intensifying competition and reduced price targets.
Narrative Update Jan 22

DXCM: Medicare Support And 2026 Sensor Expansion Will Sustain Long-Term Confidence

Our DexCom price target edges down to about $85 from $85.27, reflecting slightly lower assumed profit margins and P/E multiple, partly offset by analysts citing supportive Medicare reimbursement commentary and mixed Street views on competition, valuation, and 2026 guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent research on DexCom highlights a clear split between bullish and bearish analysts, with views clustering around competition, execution on guidance, and how much investors are willing to pay for the stock through the P/E multiple.
Narrative Update Jan 07

DXCM: Medicare Support And New Sensor Duration Will Sustain Long-Term Confidence

Analysts nudged their fair value estimate for DexCom slightly higher to about $85 per share, citing a generally supportive regulatory backdrop for continuous glucose monitors and noting that recent price target cuts still reflect confidence in the company’s long term patient growth and product profile. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on DexCom highlight a mix of optimism around the core continuous glucose monitor franchise and caution around guidance, pricing, and execution into 2026.
Narrative Update Dec 15

DXCM: Medicare Reimbursement Stability Will Support Confidence Despite Emerging Legal And Safety Headlines

Analysts have nudged our DexCom fair value estimate slightly higher, from $84.31 to $84.85, as they balance recent price target cuts with continued Buy and Outperform ratings that point to resilient growth, stable margins, and a favorable regulatory and product backdrop. Analyst Commentary Street research continues to reflect a constructive long term view on DexCom, even as recent reports incorporate more conservative assumptions and lower base case price targets.
Narrative Update Nov 29

DXCM: Medicare Payment Developments Will Drive Confidence Despite Recent Short-Term Weakness

DexCom's analyst price target has decreased modestly to approximately $84.31 from $84.96, as analysts cite a mix of positive Medicare policy developments and tempered optimism following company guidance updates and recent survey data. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst research on DexCom reflects both optimism about the company's long-term prospects and concerns regarding near-term execution and growth trends.
Narrative Update Nov 15

DXCM: Share Recovery Likely With Positive Setup Expected For 2026

Analysts have lowered their price targets for DexCom, reducing the fair value estimate from $98.40 to $84.96. This reflects a reaction to recent conservative guidance, weaker growth outlook, and updated margin expectations.
Analysis Article Nov 02

Earnings Beat: DexCom, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

As you might know, DexCom, Inc. ( NASDAQ:DXCM ) just kicked off its latest quarterly results with some very strong...
Narrative Update Oct 31

DXCM: Expanding Reimbursement Will Drive Gains Despite Market Uncertainty

The consensus analyst price target for DexCom was recently lowered, with the average fair value estimate moving down by less than $1 to approximately $98.40. Analysts cite investor concerns around the company’s conservative guidance and gross margin pressure, but remain generally positive on long-term growth and patient retention trends.
Narrative Update Oct 17

Insurance Reimbursement And Digital Health Integration Will Unlock Global Potential

DexCom's average analyst price target has decreased by approximately $1.58 to around $98.96. Analysts are recalibrating their outlook in light of mixed survey results and a shift in assumptions around reimbursement trends and profitability expectations.
Narrative Update Oct 03

Insurance Reimbursement And Digital Health Integration Will Unlock Global Potential

Analysts have modestly reduced DexCom's fair value estimate by approximately $1.54 to $100.54 per share. This change reflects slightly lower revenue growth projections and recent adjustments in price targets based on mixed survey data and evolving reimbursement trends.
Analysis Article Jul 22

We Think DexCom (NASDAQ:DXCM) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Analysis Article Jul 09

DexCom's (NASDAQ:DXCM) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd...
Seeking Alpha Mar 04

DexCom: Valuation Does Not Factor In Slowing Growth

Summary DexCom's growth is slowing, with 2024 marking the slowest growth year in a decade and 2025 expected to follow suit with ~14% growth. Intensifying competition from Abbott and Medtronic and the rise of GLP-1 drugs pose significant threats to DXCM's market position and growth projections. The valuation of DXCM at 43x non-GAAP forward P/E and 7.5x forward price to sales does not adequately factor in these emerging risks. Given the current competitive landscape and potential market disruptions, I recommend a sell rating on DXCM to lock in gains. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 17

DexCom: Fairly Priced In 2025; Why I'm Not Expecting A Share Price Comeback

Summary DexCom, Inc.'s growth is impressive but limited by its niche market, with my projected ceiling being ~$7.5bn in peak annual revenues. Despite positive Q4 2024 results, DexCom's stock is fairly valued, with muted enthusiasm from Wall Street today, and a "Hold" rating for me for 2025. I suspect the market overestimated DexCom's mass-market potential, leading to a reality check and a savage bear run on its stock in the past year. Future growth hinges on expanding into new markets and developing diverse products, but significant breakthroughs are likely years away. This is a great product for a specific market, not a mass-market. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 10

DexCom: Brighter 2025 From Stelo Ramp

Summary DexCom faces challenges in 2024 due to competition and missteps, but the long-term outlook for continuous glucose monitors remains strong. Q3 revenue grew only 2% y/y to $994.2 million, with temporary and long-lasting headwinds impacting growth and margins. The new over-the-counter Stelo CGM launched in August, offering a new growth vector and targeting non-insulin users, with significant ramp-up expected in 2025. Despite current difficulties, improved execution and a successful Stelo ramp-up in 2025 are crucial for DexCom to regain its growth trajectory. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 25

DexCom Growing Into Its Valuation, But Still No Bargain

Summary DexCom's stock has declined 35% since my last bearish article, validating my "Sell" rating, though past bearish calls were incorrect as the stock previously doubled and tripled. Q3 results showed disappointing 2% revenue growth and a 26% decline in operating income, with U.S. revenue down 1.6% but international revenue up 11.8%. Increased competition from Medtronic and Abbott Laboratories, along with slowing growth rates, raises concerns about Dexcom's ability to maintain its market share. Despite improved valuation multiples, Dexcom remains overvalued; thus, I shift my rating from "Sell" to "Hold" but still consider it a watchlist candidate. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 16

DexCom Q3 Preview: Walking On Eggshells With Its Channel Relationships

Summary DexCom's Q2 earnings report was disastrous, revealing internal sales channel issues and competitive pressures, leading to a Hold rating and lowered price targets. The company's reliance on channel sales, particularly DME partners, is crucial, and management's efforts to revitalize these relationships will be closely watched. Elevated inventory levels and potential margin pressures from expanding the sales force could further impact DexCom's financial performance in upcoming quarters. Key Q3 earnings factors include Stelo sales, updates on sales channels, and potential share buybacks amidst a challenging sales environment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 19

DexCom: Investors Discounting Long CGM Growth Runway

Summary DexCom's revised FY24 sales guidance in the Q2 earnings call led to a $18bn valuation reset, but management are optimistic about rebuilding BME sales channel. DexCom's newest G7 CGM competes closely with Abbott's FreeStyle Libre 3, both products have very similar features and design innovations. DexCom's forward multiples suggest the company is trading at a discount to slower growing peers Abbott Laboratories & Medtronic. Using Wall St estimates, by FY27, DexCom's valuation will have converged with peers but will experience significantly faster growth. The rise of GLP-1 drugs poses some risk to DexCom's T2D market, but CGMs are still likely to see a bigger T2D cohort overtime, as forecasted by multiple health agencies. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:DXCM - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20286,5161,3761,5171,94620
12/31/20275,8311,1571,2431,65626
12/31/20265,2279649931,43026
3/31/20264,8189301,4291,783N/A
12/31/20254,6628361,0771,441N/A
9/30/20254,5167211,0621,448N/A
6/30/20254,301572571988N/A
3/31/20254,148535575964N/A
12/31/20244,033576631990N/A
9/30/20243,954681535822N/A
6/30/20243,935667666891N/A
3/31/20243,802639584802N/A
12/31/20233,622542512749N/A
9/30/20233,403377500747N/A
6/30/20233,198358466771N/A
3/31/20233,023293416754N/A
12/31/20222,910341305670N/A
9/30/20222,793244261643N/A
6/30/20222,673230216597N/A
3/31/20222,57225895486N/A
12/31/20212,44921753443N/A
9/30/20212,319577140509N/A
6/30/20212,170562101409N/A
3/31/20212,027530236502N/A
12/31/20201,927550277476N/A
9/30/20201,821231264447N/A
6/30/20201,716205209394N/A
3/31/20201,601148131305N/A
12/31/20191,476101N/A315N/A
9/30/20191,351-171N/A205N/A
6/30/20191,222-170N/A167N/A
3/31/20191,128-130N/A144N/A
12/31/20181,032-127N/A123N/A
9/30/201891543N/A131N/A
6/30/2018833-5N/A110N/A
3/31/2018761-33N/A83N/A
12/31/2017719-50N/A92N/A
9/30/2017669-48N/A64N/A
6/30/2017633-65N/A51N/A
3/31/2017599-88N/A57N/A
12/31/2016573-66N/A56N/A
9/30/2016533-57N/A54N/A
6/30/2016490-80N/A49N/A
3/31/2016445-64N/A45N/A
12/31/2015402-58N/A49N/A
9/30/2015356-58N/A46N/A
6/30/2015319-20N/A40N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: DXCM's forecast earnings growth (14.7% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: DXCM's earnings (14.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: DXCM's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: DXCM's revenue (10.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: DXCM's revenue (10.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: DXCM's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (33%)


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/24 12:42
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/22 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

DexCom, Inc. is covered by 53 analysts. 26 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jeffrey JohnsonBaird
Travis SteedBarclays
Matthew MiksicBarclays