Selective Insurance Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Selective Insurance Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 13.2% and 5.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 13.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 13.6% in 3 years.

Key information

13.2%

Earnings growth rate

13.56%

EPS growth rate

Insurance earnings growth	6.8%
Revenue growth rate	5.7%
Future return on equity	13.60%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	24 Oct 2025

Recent future growth updates

Earnings Miss: Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Missed EPS By 6.6% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Jul 28

Recent updates

Investors Continue Waiting On Sidelines For Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:SIGI)

Sep 23

Earnings Miss: Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Missed EPS By 6.6% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Jul 28

The Price Is Right For Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:SIGI)

May 23

Here's Why We Think Selective Insurance Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SIGI) CEO Compensation Looks Fair for the time being

Apr 24

Selective Insurance: Leaving 2024 Behind And Seizing 2025

Feb 24

Selective Insurance Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SIGI) Popularity With Investors Is Clear

Jan 12

Balancing Growth And Headwinds: Selective Insurance Group's Review

Oct 30

Disciplined Underwriting And Tech Investments Set To Propel Profitability And Growth

Aug 29 Investments in technology in the Excess and Surplus segment are set to enhance operational efficiency and scale, targeting top-line growth and profitability.

Selective Insurance: Time To Be Selective

May 09

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:SIGI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027	5,952	552	N/A	N/A	5
12/31/2026	5,635	493	N/A	N/A	5
12/31/2025	5,333	447	N/A	N/A	5
9/30/2025	5,228	398	1,153	1,189	N/A
6/30/2025	5,113	374	1,133	1,170	N/A
3/31/2025	4,982	225	1,232	1,270	N/A
12/31/2024	4,862	198	1,069	1,100	N/A
9/30/2024	4,716	227	973	1,004	N/A
6/30/2024	4,553	224	819	846	N/A
3/31/2024	4,397	346	714	737	N/A
12/31/2023	4,232	356	736	759	N/A
9/30/2023	4,074	318	820	839	N/A
6/30/2023	3,888	271	831	853	N/A
3/31/2023	3,712	252	822	845	N/A
12/31/2022	3,558	216	776	802	N/A
9/30/2022	3,476	228	685	714	N/A
6/30/2022	3,446	259	696	722	N/A
3/31/2022	3,421	342	709	734	N/A
12/31/2021	3,379	394	749	771	N/A
9/30/2021	3,308	425	697	716	N/A
6/30/2021	3,219	423	630	649	N/A
3/31/2021	3,061	338	627	645	N/A
12/31/2020	2,922	246	532	554	N/A
9/30/2020	2,853	201	518	542	N/A
6/30/2020	2,787	187	483	510	N/A
3/31/2020	2,812	226	439	470	N/A
12/31/2019	2,846	272	447	477	N/A
9/30/2019	2,761	236	449	479	N/A
6/30/2019	2,715	235	N/A	528	N/A
3/31/2019	2,658	221	N/A	509	N/A
12/31/2018	2,586	179	N/A	455	N/A
9/30/2018	2,577	163	N/A	382	N/A
6/30/2018	2,534	155	N/A	376	N/A
3/31/2018	2,496	137	N/A	347	N/A
12/31/2017	2,470	169	N/A	380	N/A
9/30/2017	2,419	178	N/A	415	N/A
6/30/2017	2,379	170	N/A	338	N/A
3/31/2017	2,333	172	N/A	313	N/A
12/31/2016	2,284	158	N/A	330	N/A
9/30/2016	2,247	165	N/A	300	N/A
6/30/2016	2,206	173	N/A	275	N/A
3/31/2016	2,159	163	N/A	335	N/A
12/31/2015	2,132	166	N/A	382	N/A
9/30/2015	2,082	162	N/A	334	N/A
6/30/2015	2,057	168	N/A	326	N/A
3/31/2015	2,042	164	N/A	258	N/A
12/31/2014	2,027	142	N/A	233	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SIGI's forecast earnings growth (13.2% per year) is above the savings rate (3.3%).

Earnings vs Market: SIGI's earnings (13.2% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16% per year).

High Growth Earnings: SIGI's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: SIGI's revenue (5.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (10.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SIGI's revenue (5.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SIGI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (13.6%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/11/14 12:05
End of Day Share Price	2025/11/14 00:00
Earnings	2025/09/30
Annual Earnings	2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. is covered by 18 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Michael Zaremski	BMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Grace Carter	BofA Global Research
Matthew Carletti	Citizens JMP Securities, LLC

Selective Insurance Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target decreased by 10% to US$85.00

Earnings Miss: Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Missed EPS By 6.6% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Price target decreased by 7.9% to US$94.57

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Updates Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2024

Price target decreased by 7.9% to US$96.86

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 40%

Recent updates

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Announces Executive Changes

Upcoming dividend of US$0.43 per share

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Appoints Julie Parsons as Independent Director, Effective November 3, 2025

Third quarter dividend of US$0.43 announced

Third quarter 2025 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend on Common Stock, Payable on December 1, 2025

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Oct 22, 2025

Investors Continue Waiting On Sidelines For Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:SIGI)

Upcoming dividend of US$0.38 per share

Price target decreased by 10% to US$85.00

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Announces Resignation of Wole Coaxum from the Board of Directors, Effective Immediately

Earnings Miss: Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Missed EPS By 6.6% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Second quarter dividend of US$0.38 announced

Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Announces A Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on September 15, 2025

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Jul 23, 2025

The Price Is Right For Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:SIGI)

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Announces Retirement of Brenda M. Hall, Standard Lines EVP and COO, Effective January 5, 2026

First quarter dividend of US$0.38 announced

First quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Here's Why We Think Selective Insurance Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SIGI) CEO Compensation Looks Fair for the time being

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on June 2, 2025

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Apr 23, 2025

Selective Insurance Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Apr 30, 2025

Selective Insurance: Leaving 2024 Behind And Seizing 2025

Price target decreased by 7.9% to US$94.57

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.38 announced

Full year 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on March 3, 2025

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Jan 29, 2025

Selective Insurance Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SIGI) Popularity With Investors Is Clear

Upcoming dividend of US$0.38 per share

Balancing Growth And Headwinds: Selective Insurance Group's Review

Third quarter dividend of US$0.38 announced

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Updates Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2024

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 21, 2024

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Announces Chief Financial Officer Changes

Disciplined Underwriting And Tech Investments Set To Propel Profitability And Growth

Upcoming dividend of US$0.35 per share

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Price target decreased by 7.9% to US$96.86

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on September 3, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 40%

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Jul 25, 2024

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Appoints Kate Sampson to its Board of Directors

Selective Insurance: Time To Be Selective

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%

First quarter dividend of US$0.35 announced

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on June 3, 2024

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 01, 2024

Selective Insurance Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 01, 2024

Upcoming dividend of US$0.35 per share at 1.4% yield

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.35 announced

Full year 2023 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Jan 31, 2024

CEO, President & Chairman recently sold US$2.1m worth of stock

CEO, President & Chairman notifies of intention to sell stock

Upcoming dividend of US$0.35 per share at 1.3% yield

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Announces Dividend for Third Quarter 2023 , Payable December 1, 2023

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Announces Chief Financial Officer Changes

New minor risk - Insider selling

Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Now 22% undervalued

Upcoming dividend of US$0.30 per share at 1.2% yield