Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc.

NYSE:RYAN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$8.6b

Ryan Specialty Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Ryan Specialty Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 63.5% and 7.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 32.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 61% in 3 years.

Key information

63.5%

Earnings growth rate

32.55%

EPS growth rate

Insurance earnings growth2.1%
Revenue growth rate7.6%
Future return on equity60.98%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated02 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 03

RYAN: Expanded Buyback And AI Productivity Are Expected To Support Earnings

Ryan Specialty Holdings' updated analyst price target has shifted as analysts weigh a $2 change in Street targets, Ryan Specialty's expanded $300M buyback, and group wide revisions tied to slower premium growth and AI related concerns about broker disruption. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Ryan Specialty reflects a mix of caution on premium trends and AI related disruption, alongside a cluster of target changes that still frame the stock within an active rerating debate.
Narrative Update Apr 29

RYAN: AI Productivity And M&A Pipeline Are Expected To Sustain Earnings

Analysts have reduced the fair value estimate for Ryan Specialty Holdings from about $80.34 to $69.03. This reflects updated assumptions for slower revenue growth, slightly softer margins, and a modestly higher discount rate following a series of price target cuts across the Street.
Narrative Update Apr 14

RYAN: AI Risk Repricing Will Meet Capital Returns And M&A Execution

Ryan Specialty Holdings' analyst price target has been revised lower to $36 from $43, as analysts incorporate more cautious assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples following a broad series of recent target cuts across the broker group. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a clear shift toward more cautious assumptions on Ryan Specialty Holdings, with several firms trimming price targets and at least one downgrade reflecting concern around growth durability, margins, and valuation support.
Narrative Update Mar 31

RYAN: AI Productivity And Capital Returns Will Support Future Repricing

Analysts have lowered price targets on Ryan Specialty Holdings by roughly $5 to $15 to reflect concerns about slower excess and surplus market growth and fears of AI-related disruption, even as some point to potential support from AI-driven productivity and margins that appear more resilient than recent trading suggests. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ryan Specialty reflects a clear tilt toward more cautious views, with several firms cutting price targets and, in at least one case, lowering the stock rating.
Narrative Update Mar 17

RYAN: Core Brokerage Role Will Benefit From AI Productivity Tailwind

The updated analyst price target for Ryan Specialty Holdings edges up to $55.25 from $54.88, as analysts weigh softer revenue growth assumptions against slightly higher margin expectations and a modestly lower future P/E. They are also factoring in recent sector wide target cuts tied to AI disruption concerns and excess and surplus market deceleration.
Narrative Update Mar 03

RYAN: Core Brokerage Role Will Withstand Softer P And C Cycle

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Ryan Specialty Holdings from about $66.53 to $54.88, reflecting lower Street price targets in the $43 to $65 range and updated expectations for slower revenue growth, softer profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Ryan Specialty Holdings has turned more cautious overall, with several firms cutting price targets and, in one case, lowering the rating.
Narrative Update Feb 17

RYAN: Softening P&C Cycle And Capital Moves Will Shape Future Repricing

Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Ryan Specialty Holdings to $43 from $52, reflecting updated views on slower revenue growth assumptions, slightly lower profit margins, and a reduced future P/E multiple across recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ryan Specialty Holdings has shifted in a more cautious direction, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and highlighting potential pressure on growth, margins, and valuation multiples.
Narrative Update Feb 03

RYAN: Double Digit Organic Expansion Is Expected To Sustain Earnings Through Softer P&C Cycle

Analysts now estimate Ryan Specialty Holdings' fair value at about $80.34, up from $76.00. This change reflects updated assumptions for slower revenue growth, lower profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple across recent P&C insurance sector research.
Narrative Update Jan 19

RYAN: Softening P&C Cycle And Governance Shift Will Shape Future Share Repricing

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Ryan Specialty Holdings to $52 from $58, reflecting a lower future P/E assumption, while updated models still factor in steady revenue growth and margins across a softening property and casualty cycle. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ryan Specialty presents a mixed picture, with several firms trimming price targets even as some maintain positive ratings.
Narrative Update Jan 05

RYAN: Double Digit Organic Expansion Outlook Will Drive Future Share Repricing

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Ryan Specialty Holdings to $58 from $60, reflecting updated views on revenue growth potential, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple after a mix of recent target cuts and raises across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ryan Specialty Holdings shows a mix of optimism on the business model and caution on how much investors should be willing to pay for the stock.
Narrative Update Dec 18

RYAN: Double Digit Organic Expansion Is Expected To Drive Strong Earnings Ahead

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Ryan Specialty Holdings to $76 from $90, reflecting a modestly higher discount rate and more measured revenue growth expectations, even as they highlight resilient profit margins, double digit organic growth prospects into 2025 and 2026, and a still supportive earnings backdrop for property and casualty insurers. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts acknowledge a reset in valuation assumptions but continue to frame Ryan Specialty as a long term compounder, citing durable organic growth, expanding distribution, and a supportive earnings environment for specialty focused intermediaries.
Narrative Update Dec 04

RYAN: Double Digit Organic Expansion Will Outlast Softening Property And Casualty Cycle

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Ryan Specialty Holdings by about $2 to roughly $66.50. This reflects slightly lower assumptions for growth and margins amid softening property and casualty pricing, even as they continue to highlight the company's double digit organic revenue prospects and generally favorable long term earnings outlook.
Narrative Update Nov 20

RYAN: Earnings Strength Will Overcome Sector Headwinds Into 2025

Ryan Specialty Holdings' analyst price target saw a modest increase to $68.46, reflecting analyst expectations for slightly improved revenue growth and profit margins in light of resilient earnings and favorable industry conditions. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst coverage of Ryan Specialty Holdings reflects a nuanced perspective, with sentiment split between optimism about the firm's growth prospects and caution stemming from broader sector challenges.
Narrative Update Nov 05

RYAN: Ongoing Earnings Resilience And Sector Demand Will Drive Upside Momentum

The average analyst price target for Ryan Specialty Holdings has been revised downward by approximately $3.69 to $68.31. This reflects more cautious near-term assumptions on margin and sector growth trends, despite ongoing buy ratings and optimism around resilient earnings and organic growth.
Analysis Article Nov 03

Ryan Specialty Holdings (NYSE:RYAN) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.12

The board of Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:RYAN ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 25th of...
Narrative Update Oct 22

Analysts Weigh Resilient Margins and Growth Outlook for Ryan Specialty Holdings Amid Valuation Shifts

Analysts have slightly lowered their average price target for Ryan Specialty Holdings, noting resilient profit margins and earnings support from lighter catastrophe losses even as the sector faces growth headwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ryan Specialty Holdings highlights a mix of optimism and caution, reflecting varying outlooks for the company as growth moderates in the broader insurance sector.
Narrative Update Oct 08

Emerging Risks And Data Analytics Will Expand Future Opportunities

Analysts have modestly reduced their price target for Ryan Specialty Holdings, citing commercial property growth headwinds and a slight decrease in projected revenue growth. The fair value estimate is now lowered by approximately $1.42 to $72.00 per share.
Narrative Update Sep 04

Emerging Risks And Data Analytics Will Expand Future Opportunities

Amid increased competition in personal auto, softened reinsurance pricing, and pressure on underwriting margins for carriers, analysts have adopted a more cautious outlook for the sector—though brokers like Ryan Specialty are expected to demonstrate relative earnings resilience—with the consensus price target remaining unchanged at $73.42. Analyst Commentary Increased competition in the personal auto insurance market and softened reinsurance pricing, resulting in a more cautious outlook and modest reductions of price targets.
Analysis Article Aug 04

Ryan Specialty Holdings (NYSE:RYAN) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.12

Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:RYAN ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.12 per share on the 26th of...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:RYAN - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20283,838N/A7455297
12/31/20273,52239163241016
12/31/20263,25925546632616
3/31/20263,101109552619N/A
12/31/20252,99563573644N/A
9/30/20252,90671569640N/A
6/30/20252,75558510571N/A
3/31/20252,59451432489N/A
12/31/20242,45695468515N/A
9/30/20242,325102439482N/A
6/30/20242,22478440487N/A
3/31/20242,11764485520N/A
12/31/20232,02761447477N/A
9/30/20231,93557408435N/A
6/30/20231,85574294316N/A
3/31/20231,77368218242N/A
12/31/20221,71262313336N/A
9/30/20221,663-19255270N/A
6/30/20221,608-32-25330N/A
3/31/20221,5086-70283N/A
12/31/20211,432-7-79273N/A
9/30/20211,38151-64288N/A
6/30/20211,26563166175N/A
3/31/20211,121508393N/A
12/31/20201,01768118135N/A
12/31/201975864N/A150N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: RYAN's forecast earnings growth (63.5% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: RYAN's earnings (63.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (16.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: RYAN's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: RYAN's revenue (7.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: RYAN's revenue (7.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: RYAN's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (61%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/08 20:13
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/05 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. is covered by 24 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Tracy Dolin-BenguiguiBarclays
Taylor ScottBarclays
Michael ZaremskiBMO Capital Markets Equity Research