Freeport-McMoRan Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 3/6
Freeport-McMoRan's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -14.8%, while the Metals and Mining industry saw earnings declining at 8.4% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 5.6% per year. Freeport-McMoRan's return on equity is 15.1%, and it has net margins of 10.3%.
Key information
-14.80%
Earnings growth rate
-14.37%
EPS growth rate
| Metals and Mining Industry Growth | 26.40% |
| Revenue growth rate | 5.60% |
| Return on equity | 15.06% |
| Net Margin | 10.31% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 06
FCX: Copper Euphoria Will Be Capped By Prolonged Grasberg Production Constraints
Analysts have inched up the Fair Value estimate for Freeport-McMoRan by about $0.50, reflecting modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. This move is supported by a wave of higher Street price targets and new Overweight ratings that highlight copper exposure as a key driver.Seeking Alpha • May 26
Freeport-McMoRan: Copper Exposure Without Southern Copper's Premium
Summary Freeport-McMoRan offers the best balance among large-cap copper miners, combining valuation, recovery torque, and liquidity. Copper demand drivers—electrification, grid investment, and AI—support FCX's operating leverage, with EBITDA highly sensitive to copper prices. Grasberg mine execution is a key swing factor; recovery is visible but subject to timing and operational risks. U.S. leach initiatives and brownfield projects provide lower-risk growth, while FCX's valuation remains attractive versus SCCO's premium multiple. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • May 23
FCX: Copper Demand Theme And Mixed Mine Execution Will Shape Future Returns
Analysts have nudged the Freeport-McMoRan fair value estimate higher from $67.40 to $67.95, citing fresh Street research that points to copper-focused demand themes and a series of higher price targets from firms that see support from sector-wide metal price assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Freeport-McMoRan highlights a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as they update metal price assumptions and reassess execution risks.Narrative Update • May 02
FCX: Grasberg Agreement And Production Cuts Will Limit Upside Despite Copper Strength
The analyst price target for Freeport-McMoRan has been raised from $36.50 to $48.50, reflecting updated views from recent research, where several firms lifted targets on revised metal price assumptions and copper demand expectations, while others cited mine production cuts and valuation concerns in more cautious calls. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Freeport-McMoRan shows a mix of supportive and cautious views, with some firms raising price targets and others trimming expectations or downgrading the shares.
Narrative Update • Apr 16
FCX: Copper Strength And Grasberg Agreement Will Drive More Skewed Upside Outlook
Freeport-McMoRan's updated analyst price target moves from $70 to $81, with analysts pointing to revised metal price forecasts, higher assumed revenue growth, stronger profit margins, and recent positive views on copper demand and Grasberg asset clarity as key drivers behind the change. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Freeport-McMoRan shows a cluster of bullish revisions, with several firms lifting price targets and upgrading ratings while only a few have trimmed targets or turned more cautious.Narrative Update • Apr 02
FCX: Copper Upswing And Grasberg Agreement Will Shape Balanced Future Returns
Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for Freeport-McMoRan reflects a modest adjustment in fair value to $67.40. This is supported by recent research that cites higher copper price assumptions, Grasberg clarity in Indonesia, and a series of price target revisions across the Street.Narrative Update • Mar 19
FCX: Copper Price Strength And Grasberg Accord Will Shape Future Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Freeport-McMoRan up by $1 to $67.47, citing refreshed copper price assumptions, improved long-term clarity around Grasberg, and a series of higher Street price targets that reflect updated metals forecasts and recent modeling changes. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Freeport-McMoRan has leaned toward higher valuation ranges, with several firms updating models to reflect revised copper price decks, Grasberg developments, and company specific data points.Narrative Update • Mar 05
FCX: Copper Price Tailwinds And Grasberg Clarity Will Guide Balanced Future Returns
Our updated analyst price target for Freeport-McMoRan moves from $64.02 to $66.47. This reflects a series of higher Street targets tied to stronger long-term copper price assumptions, improved clarity around the Grasberg asset, and refreshed models that point to a modestly higher future P/E of 24.48x, despite slightly lower forecast revenue growth and profit margins.Narrative Update • Feb 19
FCX: Stronger Copper And Grasberg Progress Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target on Freeport-McMoRan to $64.02 from $48.52, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and forward P/E that reflect recent copper price strength, progress at the Grasberg ramp-up and a series of target increases across major Wall Street firms. Analyst Commentary Street research on Freeport-McMoRan has been active, with several firms updating their models and targets around copper pricing, the Grasberg ramp and recent quarterly metrics.Narrative Update • Feb 04
FCX: Copper Strength And Grasberg Progress Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward Outlook
Analysts have nudged our fair value estimate for Freeport-McMoRan to $70, reflecting higher assumed revenue growth and profit margins, as well as a lower future P/E multiple that aligns with a series of recent price target increases from major firms and updated views on copper pricing and Grasberg ramp progress. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Freeport-McMoRan has skewed constructive, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets and leaning into copper leverage and Grasberg execution as key supports for higher valuation.Narrative Update • Jan 21
FCX: Grasberg Execution And Legal Risks Will Constrain Upside Despite Copper Tailwinds
Analysts have nudged their implied fair value for Freeport-McMoRan higher to about $36.50 from roughly $35.60, tying the shift to updated copper price assumptions, progress at Grasberg, and higher projected margins that more than offset a lower forward P/E input. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Freeport-McMoRan has centered on copper pricing assumptions, Grasberg execution, and how these feed into valuation models.Narrative Update • Jan 07
FCX: Copper Price Strength And Grasberg Clarity Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their Fair Value estimate for Freeport-McMoRan from $57.00 to about $67.43. They point to higher updated Street price targets and refreshed models that factor in recent copper price realizations, revised commodity forecasts, and evolving views on Grasberg related risks and multi year visibility.Analysis Article • Dec 27
Freeport-McMoRan Inc.'s (NYSE:FCX) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 26% Share Price Bounce
Despite an already strong run, Freeport-McMoRan Inc. ( NYSE:FCX ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in...Narrative Update • Dec 23
FCX: Grasberg Disruptions Will Keep Shares Under Pressure Despite Tighter Copper Market
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target for Freeport McMoRan, trimming fair value from approximately $37.62 to $35.59 per share. They are factoring in a higher discount rate amid Grasberg related operational risks, while still seeing upside from improving margins, slightly stronger growth, and tighter copper and gold markets.Narrative Update • Dec 09
FCX: Higher Copper Prices Will Gradually Balance Grasberg Disruption And Policy Support Risks
Analysts have nudged their blended price target for Freeport McMoRan slightly higher to about $48.50 from roughly $47.90. This reflects a wave of recent upgrades and higher copper and gold price assumptions that more than offset lingering concerns around Grasberg related production cuts and macro headwinds.Narrative Update • Nov 25
FCX: Higher Copper Prices Will Help Offset Grasberg Mine Production Disruption
Analysts have slightly increased their fair value estimate for Freeport-McMoRan to $47.87, citing a mixed outlook. Reduced production guidance and macro headwinds are expected to be partially offset by resilient copper prices and demand recovery in key markets.Narrative Update • Nov 06
FCX: Higher Copper And Gold Prices Will Offset Grasberg Production Risks
Freeport-McMoRan's analyst price target has increased modestly from $46.77 to $47.71. Analysts cite the benefit of higher copper and gold price assumptions, which is partially offset by lower near-term production at the Grasberg mine.Narrative Update • Oct 23
Analyst Commentary Highlights Upgraded Price Targets and Risks for Freeport-McMoRan Amid Recent Events
The analyst price target for Freeport-McMoRan has increased modestly by $0.18 to $46.77, as analysts point to improving copper prices, higher profit margin forecasts, and a stronger revenue growth outlook. Analyst Commentary Analysts have weighed in on Freeport-McMoRan amid recent developments in the copper and gold markets as well as company-specific events.Narrative Update • Oct 09
New Indonesian Smelter Will Fuel Integrated Global Copper Production
Freeport-McMoRan's analyst price target has been lowered from approximately $50.06 to $46.59, as analysts adjust their outlook in response to recent operational disruptions and a more cautious forecast for revenue growth. Some firms have highlighted potential support from higher long-term copper prices.Narrative Update • Sep 25
New Indonesian Smelter Will Fuel Integrated Global Copper Production
Analyst price targets for Freeport-McMoRan edged down slightly to $50.06 as operational disruptions at Grasberg, reduced production outlooks, and force majeure weigh on near-term estimates and sentiment despite some optimism around higher copper prices and North American supply tightness. Analyst Commentary Downward revisions to Freeport-McMoRan’s copper and gold production outlook, particularly due to significant operational disruptions at the Grasberg mine following a mud rush incident, are pressuring near-term estimates and keeping an overhang on the stock into at least 2026.Analysis Article • Jul 10
Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE:FCX)
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? In a perfect world, we'd...Analysis Article • Jun 25
Freeport-McMoRan Inc.'s (NYSE:FCX) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 37% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Freeport-McMoRan fair value estimate is US$57.72...Seeking Alpha • Apr 20
Freeport-McMoRan: A Quality Copper Miner Somewhat Out Of Favor
Summary Freeport-McMoRan Inc. has a strong operating history with significant copper, gold, and molybdenum revenues, but has concentration risk in Indonesia. 2024 financials show increased revenues and operating income, but weaker 2025 guidance for copper and gold sales, and higher cash costs may explain recent stock price underperformance. FCX's valuation is attractive with an EV to EBITDA around 5 in 2026-2027, but geopolitical risks in Indonesia might warrant a cautious approach. Despite the recent stock price weakness, FCX is a quality company with good downside protection, but not cheap enough for a buy rating yet. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 31
Freeport-McMoRan: The Market Teaches Copper Bulls A Lesson
Summary Copper futures surged to new highs in March, but FCX stock has remained in its doldrums. FCX believes it can navigate the impending copper tariffs, but what about possible disruptions to the US economy? Analysts have already downgraded FCX's estimates, and its valuations have likely contemplated significant downside possibilities. FCX has a solid chance of bottoming out, unless we really fall into a hard landing, but not my base case for now. I argue why FCX offers a keen lesson into copper market dynamics, and also presents an opportune moment for bulls to load up. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 20
Freeport-McMoRan - Undervalued: Copper With A Gold Kicker
Summary Freeport-McMoRan is a leading global producer of copper, gold, and molybdenum, with significant gold production often overlooked by the market. Despite a fire at a new project in Indonesia, FCX received a 6-month permit to export copper concentrate, yet the stock remains weak. The stock has lagged recent rallies in gold and copper prices, and is actually down ~11% over the past year. FCX is a BUY as the prices of its primary products, copper and gold, are rising even as the stock has remained flat to down. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 27
Freeport-McMoRan: The Copper Market Could Plunge As Chinese Stimulus Hopes Fade
Summary Freeport-McMoRan recently lowered sales guidance and raised projections for capital expenditures. The company continues to struggle with production. China's stimulus efforts moving forward should continue to disappoint traders and investors for multiple reasons. The copper market is likely to remain well supplied in 2025 and 2026. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 05
Freeport-McMoRan Remains Overvalued Post Earnings
Summary Freeport-McMoRan Inc.'s earnings show continued execution and a reasonably strong balance sheet. The company is actually seeing production drop in 2025 with a modest recovery into 2026-2027 but no exciting growth. The company's flat positioning and single-digit FCF yield makes FCX stock overvalued in the current environment. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 25
Freeport-McMoRan: Swing Trade Potential Remains - Supply Tightness Likely To Ease
Summary FCX's swing trade potential has been excellent, as observed in the established support and resistance levels, thanks to the tight copper supply & increased smelting capacity. For now, copper futures remain promising, with spot prices likely to be well supported at $4s per lb ranges through September 2024. On the other hand, the ongoing capacity expansions in Kamoa-Kakula Copper Complex, Oyo Tolgoi, and Russia are likely to trigger intermediate term volatility in supply/ demand balance. This is on top of the uncertain US policies surrounding renewables over the next four years, with FCX unlikely to be a buy and hold forever stock. We shall further discuss in detail. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 19
Freeport-McMoRan: A Good Option To Capitalize On The Future Of Copper
Summary Freeport-McMoRan is a leading U.S.-based copper miner with 104 billion lbs of proven copper reserves and operations in North America, South America, and Indonesia. The company generates 74% of its revenue from copper and 15% from gold, with significant production risks tied to key mines in Arizona, Peru, and Indonesia. Freeport's copper production is geographically diversified, with 32% in North America, 29% in South America, and 40% in Indonesia. Key risks include political, social, and geological factors affecting major mines and fluctuations in copper prices impacting overall profitability. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 09
Freeport's Stock Is Likely Fully-Priced At These Levels
Summary Freeport has struggled with lower ore grades at some US operations, up to 10% lower than in 2Q23. About half Freeport’s copper is sold as concentrate but that will change when its new smelter comes online. The innovative new copper leach methods are producing over 50Mlbs per quarter. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 29
Freeport-McMoRan: Exciting And Concerning At The Same Time
Summary Copper prices have been volatile yet positive in 2024, impacting Freeport-McMoRan's stock, which has moved in lockstep with copper prices. Freeport's earnings are promising but face political risks, especially from the Indonesian government's share of profits and potential regulatory changes. Despite higher copper and gold prices, Freeport's high earnings multiple and political risks are a real risk to investors. The long-term copper demand outlook is strong, but Freeport's weak bargaining position in Indonesia limits the benefits to shareholders. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 03
Freeport-McMoRan: Revoking Dr. Copper's Honorary Ph.D.? (Technical Analysis)
Summary Copper demand will surge due to electrical infrastructure and electric vehicles, driven by government mandates in Europe and the U.S., with significant growth in India. Copper supply faces challenges from long development times, environmental regulations, and local protests, impacting production costs and timelines. Freeport-McMoRan is a strong investment due to steady production, low debt, excellent cash flow, and strategic financial policies, including dividends and stock buybacks. Technical analysis shows Freeport-McMoRan's stock follows reliable long-term patterns, presenting high-probability targets for bullish commodity trends in the 2020s. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 26
Freeport-McMoRan: Lowered FY2024 Guidance Implies Minimal Chance For Raised Dividends
Summary FCX remains fully baked in, as copper prices pull back and inventory levels are elevated, implying further volatility in the near term. At the same time, the management has lowered their FY2024 sales guidance and raised the capex guidance, with it suggesting minimal chances for raised variable dividends. With the electrification trend now stuttering and things potentially changing post US election in November 2024, we may see more uncertainty for copper spot prices. Combined with the ongoing copper wiring replacement with aluminium wiring, we believe that there may be a minimal margin of safety at current levels. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jul 22
Freeport-McMoRan: Don't Get Stuck Focusing On Q2 Results
Summary Freeport-McMoRan expects disappointing Q2 results due to copper export disruptions in Indonesia. Despite short-term challenges, the copper miner plans to increase copper production by up to 50% by 2030, with the potential for significant cash flows if copper prices rise. The stock is a buy due to the massive copper reserves and potential for higher copper prices from the current demand growth cycle outstripping supply. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Freeport-McMoRan makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 26,421 | 2,725 | 744 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 25,915 | 2,197 | 737 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 26,002 | 2,059 | 722 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 25,820 | 1,912 | 691 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 24,862 | 1,756 | 681 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 25,455 | 1,883 | 669 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 25,640 | 1,996 | 694 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 24,674 | 1,925 | 687 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 23,787 | 1,652 | 681 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 22,855 | 1,842 | 616 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 22,708 | 2,151 | 621 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 21,887 | 2,101 | 609 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 21,566 | 2,598 | 577 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 22,780 | 3,461 | 559 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 23,186 | 3,870 | 506 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 24,266 | 4,866 | 487 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 24,598 | 5,107 | 463 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 22,845 | 4,299 | 431 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 21,176 | 3,902 | 451 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 18,944 | 2,833 | 414 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 16,250 | 1,805 | 422 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 14,198 | 596 | 441 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 13,614 | -104 | 483 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 12,916 | -641 | 529 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 13,408 | -766 | 543 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 14,402 | -245 | 551 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 14,175 | 229 | 514 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 15,930 | 996 | 516 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 17,552 | 1,941 | 526 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 18,628 | 2,613 | 559 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 19,985 | 3,155 | 573 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 19,387 | 2,873 | 587 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 17,930 | 2,260 | 609 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 16,403 | 1,751 | 573 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 15,739 | 1,040 | 632 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 15,306 | 1,008 | 613 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 14,929 | 462 | 597 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 14,830 | -3,901 | 638 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 13,969 | -8,280 | 577 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 13,474 | -12,364 | 602 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 14,078 | -13,932 | 641 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 14,607 | -12,251 | 665 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 16,326 | -11,036 | 672 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 18,640 | -6,643 | 711 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: FCX has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: FCX's current net profit margins (10.3%) are higher than last year (7.1%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: FCX's earnings have declined by 14.8% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: FCX's earnings growth over the past year (55.2%) exceeds its 5-year average (-14.8% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: FCX earnings growth over the past year (55.2%) did not outperform the Metals and Mining industry 82.4%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: FCX's Return on Equity (15.1%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/09 17:06 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/09 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. is covered by 42 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| David Coleman | Argus Research Company |
| Peter Ward | Barclays |
| Richard Garchitorena | Barclays |