Warrior Met Coal, Inc.

NYSE:HCC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.0b

Warrior Met Coal Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Warrior Met Coal is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 38.5% and 16.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 39.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 17.3% in 3 years.

Key information

38.5%

Earnings growth rate

39.73%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth14.0%
Revenue growth rate16.1%
Future return on equity17.34%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated27 Mar 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Warrior Met Coal: Assessing Blue Creek's Impact On Its Costs And Cash Flow

Jan 29

Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC)

Nov 12
Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC)

Revenues Tell The Story For Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) As Its Stock Soars 28%

Nov 09
Revenues Tell The Story For Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) As Its Stock Soars 28%

Investors Could Be Concerned With Warrior Met Coal's (NYSE:HCC) Returns On Capital

Oct 27
Investors Could Be Concerned With Warrior Met Coal's (NYSE:HCC) Returns On Capital

Further Upside For Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 26% Bounce

Jul 22
Further Upside For Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 26% Bounce

Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

Jul 07
Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.08

May 01
Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.08

Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Apr 24
Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Warrior Met Coal: Low-Cost Producer With Upside

Mar 31

Warrior Met Coal: Will Blue Creek Mine, A Large CAPEX Investment, Be Profitable?

Feb 13
User avatar

Blue Creek's Promise Battles Analyst Skepticism Amid Global Steelmaking Uncertainties

Strategic expansions and operational enhancements point towards significant revenue and cash flow growth through increased production and sales volumes.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:HCC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20282,305481370N/A4
12/31/20272,2454625196575
12/31/20262,1254185417665
12/31/20251,31257-100229N/A
9/30/20251,22435-159207N/A
6/30/20251,22440-225165N/A
3/31/20251,324105-152274N/A
12/31/20241,525251-90367N/A
9/30/20241,59337851558N/A
6/30/20241,689422137635N/A
3/31/20241,67043389612N/A
12/31/20231,677479209701N/A
9/30/20231,656449255651N/A
6/30/20231,623462429760N/A
3/31/20231,870677698965N/A
12/31/20221,739641633842N/A
9/30/20221,810680674822N/A
6/30/20221,622620521637N/A
3/31/20221,224318318376N/A
12/31/20211,059151294352N/A
9/30/2021856-21158207N/A
6/30/2021834-74111174N/A
3/31/2021770-7963137N/A
12/31/2020783-3625113N/A
9/30/2020775196107N/A
6/30/202088378124228N/A
3/31/20201,117213322427N/A
12/31/20191,268302426533N/A
9/30/20191,426655N/A639N/A
6/30/20191,411663N/A591N/A
3/31/20191,336629N/A492N/A
12/31/20181,378697N/A559N/A
9/30/20181,252420N/A520N/A
6/30/20181,291487N/A534N/A
3/31/20181,332525N/A563N/A
12/31/20171,164455N/A435N/A
9/30/20171,083392N/A355N/A
6/30/2017823239N/A247N/A
3/31/201755259N/A56N/A
12/31/2016369-50N/A-50N/A
9/30/2016273-202N/A-116N/A
12/31/2015545-311N/A-132N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: HCC's forecast earnings growth (38.5% per year) is above the savings rate (3.4%).

Earnings vs Market: HCC's earnings (38.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: HCC's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: HCC's revenue (16.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (10.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: HCC's revenue (16.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: HCC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (17.3%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/04/06 07:02
End of Day Share Price 2026/04/02 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nathan MartinBenchmark Company
Mark LevinBenchmark Company
Katja JancicBMO Capital Markets Equity Research