Metallus Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 2/6
Metallus's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -40.9%, while the Metals and Mining industry saw earnings declining at 9.4% annually. Revenues have been declining at an average rate of 0.7% per year. Metallus's return on equity is 0.4%, and it has net margins of 0.2%.
Key information
-40.88%
Earnings growth rate
-40.29%
EPS growth rate
| Metals and Mining Industry Growth | 26.40% |
| Revenue growth rate | -0.74% |
| Return on equity | 0.42% |
| Net Margin | 0.24% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 25
MTUS: Future Returns Will Reflect Buybacks And Updated Margin Assumptions
Analysts have maintained their $21.00 price target on Metallus, citing updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that they view as supportive of the current valuation framework. What’s in the News for Metallus From January 1, 2026 to March 31, 2026, Metallus repurchased 277,178 shares for US$4.31 million, representing 0.67% of its shares, under its existing buyback program (source: Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jun 05
MTUS: Future Returns Will Reflect Sector Weighting Assumption And Ongoing Share Repurchases
Analysts have increased Metallus's fair value estimate from $20 to $21, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and forward P/E in light of recent sector level coverage. What's in the News From January 1, 2026 to March 31, 2026, Metallus repurchased 277,178 shares for US$4.31 million, representing 0.67% of shares, under its existing buyback program.Analysis Article • May 13
Statutory Profit Doesn't Reflect How Good Metallus' (NYSE:MTUS) Earnings Are
The subdued stock price reaction suggests that Metallus Inc.'s ( NYSE:MTUS ) strong earnings didn't offer any...
Narrative Update • Apr 25
MTUS: Sector Weight View Will Rely On Steady Execution And Buyback Discipline
Analysts have kept Metallus' fair value estimate essentially unchanged at $18.00 per share, citing recent Street research that assigns the stock a Sector Weight rating as the primary support for maintaining this price target. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research initiating coverage with a Sector Weight stance gives investors a neutral reference point around the US$18.00 fair value estimate.Narrative Update • Apr 10
MTUS: Buybacks And Labor Agreement Progress Will Support Sector Weight View
Analysts have revised their price target on Metallus to $18.00, aligning with prior fair value estimates. The new target reflects updated views on discount rates, future P/E assumptions, and the recent Sector Weight rating initiation from KeyBanc coverage.Narrative Update • Mar 27
MTUS: Buybacks And Labor Progress Will Support Sector Weight Case Into 2026
Analysts have adjusted their outlook on Metallus with a modestly refined price target of about $18.00, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E following the latest sector weight initiation from Street research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the sector weight stance as consistent with an $18.00 target, suggesting the stock is roughly aligned with peers on risk and return expectations.Narrative Update • Mar 13
MTUS: Buybacks And New Labor Agreement Will Support Upside Into 2026
Analysts have modestly lifted their price target on Metallus to $18.00, reflecting small adjustments to assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that leave their fair value view unchanged at $18.00. What's in the News From October 1, 2025 to December 31, 2025, Metallus repurchased 70,701 shares, representing 0.17% of shares, for US$1.21 million under its existing buyback program (company disclosure).Narrative Update • Feb 25
MTUS: Tentative Labor Agreement And Buybacks Will Underpin Balanced 2026 Outlook
Analysts have revised their price target on Metallus from $20.50 to $18.00, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples that point to a more reserved outlook for the shares. What's in the News From October 1, 2025 to December 31, 2025, Metallus repurchased 70,701 shares, representing 0.17% of shares, for $1.21 million under its existing buyback program.Seeking Alpha • Feb 25
Metallus Share Price Pullback Bring New Opportunity For Long-Term Investors
Summary Metallus upgraded to Strong Buy with a $32/share price target, reflecting optimism on 2026 growth drivers and undervaluation. MTUS is positioned for volume and pricing tailwinds as new production ramps up, supported by robust aerospace & defense demand and DoD munitions contracts. Operational enhancements, including automation and new furnaces, are set to boost melt utilization and cash flow positive status by e2h26. Risks include potential steel tariff rollbacks impacting pricing power. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Feb 08
MTUS: Future Returns Will Reflect Canton Labor Deal Progress And Steady Buybacks
Analysts have kept their Metallus fair value target steady at $20.00 while fine tuning assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E to reflect updated views on the company’s risk profile and earnings power. What's in the News Metallus and United Steelworkers (USW) Local 1123 reached a new tentative four year labor agreement after earlier proposals were rejected on October 30 and December 18, 2025.Narrative Update • Jan 24
MTUS: Future Returns Will Balance Canton Labor Deal Uncertainty And Ongoing Buybacks
Analysts have nudged their Metallus price target to US$20.00, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that collectively fine tune their outlook rather than overhaul it. What's in the News Metallus and United Steelworkers (USW) Local 1123 reached a new tentative four year labor agreement after earlier proposals were rejected on October 30 and December 18, 2025.Narrative Update • Jan 09
MTUS: Future Returns Will Balance Labor Contract Uncertainty And Measured Buyback Support
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Metallus from $17.00 to $20.00 per share, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E levels. What's in the News Members of United Steelworkers Local 1123 voted not to ratify a second tentative labor agreement reached on December 4, 2025.Narrative Update • Dec 25
MTUS: Future Returns Will Balance Labor Uncertainty And Modest Profit Expectations
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Metallus from 18.00 dollars to 17.00 dollars, reflecting a more cautious view on revenue growth and profit margins. This is partly offset by a higher assumed future earnings multiple.Narrative Update • Dec 11
MTUS: Labor Agreement Progress Will Support Share Upside Into 2026
Analysts have nudged their price target on Metallus modestly higher to approximately $20.50 per share, citing slightly increased discount rate and valuation multiple assumptions, while leaving core growth and margin expectations effectively unchanged. What's in the News Metallus and United Steelworkers (USW) Local 1123 reached a new tentative four year labor agreement after members rejected the prior proposal on October 30, 2025, with a second vote date to be announced and the current contract extended to January 29, 2026 (company filing).Narrative Update • Nov 27
MTUS: Labor Contract Extension Will Support Positive Momentum Into 2026
Analysts have maintained Metallus's price target at $20.50, citing small revisions to growth and profitability estimates. These changes offset each other and support continued confidence in the company's fair value.Narrative Update • Nov 13
MTUS: Ongoing Labor Negotiations Will Drive Momentum After Contract Extension
Narrative Update on Metallus Analysts have lowered their price target for Metallus from $21.00 to $20.50, citing more conservative growth and profit margin forecasts for the company. What's in the News Members of United Steelworkers (USW) Local 1123 voted not to ratify the tentative labor agreement with Metallus.Analysis Article • Oct 24
Metallus Inc.'s (NYSE:MTUS) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking
With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x Metallus Inc. ( NYSE:MTUS ) may be sending very bullish signals at the...Analysis Article • Jul 03
Estimating The Fair Value Of Metallus Inc. (NYSE:MTUS)
Key Insights Metallus' estimated fair value is US$16.95 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Metallus' US$16.58...Analysis Article • May 10
Market Cool On Metallus Inc.'s (NYSE:MTUS) Revenues
You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x Metallus Inc. ( NYSE:MTUS ) is a stock worth checking...Analysis Article • Apr 04
Metallus (NYSE:MTUS) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...Analysis Article • Mar 06
We Think You Can Look Beyond Metallus' (NYSE:MTUS) Lackluster Earnings
Investors were disappointed with the weak earnings posted by Metallus Inc. ( NYSE:MTUS ). However, our analysis...Analysis Article • Mar 04
Metallus (NYSE:MTUS) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Analysis Article • Dec 19
Is Metallus (NYSE:MTUS) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Nov 07
Metallus (NYSE:MTUS) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? In a...
New Narrative • Sep 18
Decisive Investments In Safety And Tech Set To Sharpen Competitive Edge In Aerospace And Defense
Strategic investments in safety and technology aim to enhance operational efficiencies and employee productivity, reducing costs and improving net margins.Analysis Article • Aug 15
The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Metallus Inc.'s (NYSE:MTUS) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 29%
Metallus Inc. ( NYSE:MTUS ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 29...Analysis Article • Aug 03
Is Metallus (NYSE:MTUS) Using Too Much Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Jul 16
Investors Will Want Metallus' (NYSE:MTUS) Growth In ROCE To Persist
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Analysis Article • Apr 17
Do Metallus' (NYSE:MTUS) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...Analysis Article • Dec 15
Investors Will Want TimkenSteel's (NYSE:TMST) Growth In ROCE To Persist
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'd want to identify a...Analysis Article • Oct 19
Calculating The Fair Value Of TimkenSteel Corporation (NYSE:TMST)
Key Insights TimkenSteel's estimated fair value is US$18.13 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Seeking Alpha • Oct 17
Additional Headwinds Lie Ahead For TimkenSteel
Summary TimkenSteel stock receives a Hold rating due to uncertain short-term outlook for the company and the steel producers in general. The company's profitability has underperformed with lower sales and decreased EBITDA margins. Adverse macroeconomic and operational factors are expected to push the share price lower in the near future. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Aug 27
TimkenSteel's (NYSE:TMST) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'd want to identify a...Analysis Article • Aug 05
Here's Why TimkenSteel (NYSE:TMST) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Seeking Alpha • Jul 09
TimkenSteel Corporation - Looks Like A Buy Despite Recent Run-Up
Summary TimkenSteel Corporation (TMST) has seen a rebound in its share price after a low point of $15.7 per share, with net sales increasing by 32% sequentially to $323 million. The company returned over $28 million to shareholders, more than its net income for the quarter, with strong shareholder incentives from management making TMST a recommended buy. Despite the cyclical nature of the steel industry and potential risks, TMST's strong financial position, zero debt, and ability to support strong yearly buybacks make it a good investment for exposure to the steel industry. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jun 07
Calculating The Fair Value Of TimkenSteel Corporation (NYSE:TMST)
Key Insights TimkenSteel's estimated fair value is US$16.99 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity TimkenSteel's...Analysis Article • Mar 13
TimkenSteel (NYSE:TMST) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...Seeking Alpha • Feb 22
TimkenSteel Q4 2022 Earnings Preview
TimkenSteel (NYSE:TMST) is scheduled to announce Q4 earnings results on Wednesday, February 22nd, after market close. The consensus EPS Estimate is -$0.26 and the consensus Revenue Estimate is $321.4M (-5.0% Y/Y). Over the last 2 years, TMST has beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time and has beaten revenue estimates 75% of the time. Over the last 3 months, EPS estimates have seen 0 upward revisions and 2 downward.Analysis Article • Feb 06
Investors Shouldn't Overlook TimkenSteel's (NYSE:TMST) Impressive Returns On Capital
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? In a perfect world, we'd...Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Metallus makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 1,186 | 3 | 89 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 1,158 | -1 | 95 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 1,132 | -8 | 95 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 1,053 | -22 | 93 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 1,043 | -21 | 92 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 1,084 | 1 | 92 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 1,172 | 24 | 126 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 1,299 | 55 | 123 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 1,361 | 79 | 122 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 1,362 | 69 | 121 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 1,280 | 35 | 79 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 1,242 | -3 | 78 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 1,301 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 1,330 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 1,423 | 155 | -15 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 1,450 | 219 | -20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 1,361 | 198 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 1,283 | 171 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 1,156 | 101 | 56 | 2 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 1,018 | 37 | 49 | 2 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 845 | -32 | 47 | 2 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 831 | -62 | 65 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 846 | -134 | 105 | 4 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 915 | -137 | 114 | 4 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 1,098 | -133 | 126 | 4 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 1,209 | -110 | 111 | 4 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 1,388 | -43 | 109 | 8 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 1,524 | -25 | 110 | 8 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 1,601 | -5 | 109 | 8 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 1,611 | -10 | 108 | 8 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 1,546 | -26 | 84 | 8 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 1,475 | -33 | 79 | 8 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 1,401 | -40 | 82 | 8 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 1,329 | -31 | 87 | 8 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 1,203 | -77 | 73 | 8 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 1,077 | -93 | 82 | 8 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 961 | -101 | 83 | 8 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 870 | -105 | 149 | 8 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 861 | -35 | 78 | 9 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 880 | -44 | 83 | 9 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 935 | -62 | 90 | 9 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 1,106 | -45 | 99 | 9 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 1,308 | -32 | 108 | 9 |
Quality Earnings: MTUS has a large one-off loss of $6.7M impacting its last 12 months of financial results to 31st March, 2026.
Growing Profit Margin: MTUS became profitable in the past.
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: MTUS has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by -40.9% per year.
Accelerating Growth: MTUS has become profitable in the last year, making the earnings growth rate difficult to compare to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: MTUS has become profitable in the last year, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Metals and Mining industry (82.4%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: MTUS's Return on Equity (0.4%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/06 22:32 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/06 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Metallus Inc. is covered by 11 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Seth Rosenfeld | BNP Paribas |
| Martin Englert | Jefferies LLC |
| Michael Gambardella | J.P. Morgan |