Baidu, Inc.

NasdaqGS:BIDU Stock Report

Market Cap: US$41.2b

Baidu Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Baidu is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 28.4% and 5.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 28.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.4% in 3 years.

Key information

28.4%

Earnings growth rate

28.57%

EPS growth rate

Interactive Media and Services earnings growth11.6%
Revenue growth rate5.5%
Future return on equity6.36%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated28 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

BIDU: AI Transition And Global Robotaxi Expansion Will Reshape Legacy Headwinds

Analysts have slightly trimmed Baidu's implied fair value to about $240 per share. This reflects recent price target resets that balance cautious views on its legacy online marketing business with continued interest in its AI-first transition story.

BIDU: AI Transition Will Gradually Overtake Legacy Marketing Headwinds

Analyst fair value for Baidu has shifted from $219.25 to $244.55 as analysts factor in higher projected revenue growth tied to AI related products, while also acknowledging continued pressure on the legacy online marketing business and adjusting assumptions such as the discount rate and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Baidu points to a split view, with some firms trimming price targets while others highlight upside tied to the company’s push into AI related products.

Baidu: Pivoting To AI Infrastructure, Robotaxis, And Embodied Robotics At A Discount

Apr 06

BIDU: AI Transition And Chip Spinoff Will Reshape Equity Narrative

Analysts made a small trim to the fair value estimate, alongside mixed price target moves. Some raised Baidu targets up to $180 on AI transition and chip spinoff potential, while others nudged targets lower as legacy online marketing softness and a slightly higher discount rate offset stronger assumptions for AI driven revenue growth and future P/E.

BIDU: AI Transition Will Likely Lag Persistent Weakness In Legacy Advertising

Analysts have nudged Baidu's fair value estimate higher to about $110 as they update price targets, citing the ongoing shift toward AI driven businesses, including chips and related products, while still accounting for pressure in the legacy online marketing segment. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Baidu reflects a mix of optimism around its AI pivot and caution around execution risk and the health of its legacy businesses.

BIDU: Chip Spinoff And AI Scale Are Expected To Reprice Shares

Analysts have raised their Baidu price targets by a few dollars, citing support from increasing Street targets related to the proposed Kunlun Chip spinoff and expectations for steadier long term profitability that, in their view, support a slightly higher future P/E of around 25x. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the proposed Kunlun Chip spinoff as a key reason for higher valuation, with one large bank explicitly tying a US$180 target to this business being valued more fully on a standalone basis.

BIDU: AI Cloud And Chip Spinoff Are Expected To Reprice Shares

The analyst fair value estimate for Baidu has moved from $151.99 to $176.93, as analysts point to a higher assumed future P/E multiple and a growing emphasis on Baidu's AI and chip assets, including the Kunlun business and cloud, supported by a series of recent price target raises and upgrades. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Baidu has turned more constructive, with several firms lifting price targets and, in some cases, upgrading ratings as they reassess the value of Baidu's AI, cloud, and chip assets.

BIDU: AI Pivot And Chip Spinoff May Not Offset Weak Ad Core

We lift our Baidu fair value estimate to US$106.46 from US$94.75, reflecting analysts' higher price targets tied to expectations for stronger AI, cloud and Kunlun chip contributions, slightly improved revenue growth and profit margins, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Baidu points to a generally constructive stance on the stock, with many firms lifting price targets and highlighting AI, cloud, and the Kunlun chip business as key parts of the equity story.

BIDU: AI And Cloud Ambitions Will Struggle To Offset Ad Weakness

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Baidu from US$71.17 to US$94.75. This reflects higher assumed revenue growth, a slightly adjusted discount rate, modestly stronger profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple in light of increased optimism around AI, cloud, and the Kunlun chip business.

BIDU: AI Cloud And Robotaxis Will Reshape Earnings Mix

Analysts have significantly raised their price targets on Baidu, increasing our fair value estimate from US$140.55 to US$219.25 as they highlight the potential for faster growth in AI-driven cloud services, improving profit margins, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to a clear shift in tone around Baidu, with several bullish analysts lifting ratings and price targets as they reassess the company’s AI and cloud roadmap, capital allocation, and segment mix.

Investors Appear Satisfied With Baidu, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BIDU) Prospects As Shares Rocket 28%

Jan 03
Investors Appear Satisfied With Baidu, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BIDU) Prospects As Shares Rocket 28%

BIDU: AI Cloud And Robotaxis Will Drive Future Earnings Multiple Expansion

Analysts have nudged our Baidu fair value estimate slightly higher to approximately $152 per share, citing a wave of price target hikes and upgrades. They note growing confidence that accelerating AI cloud growth, emerging robotaxi monetization, and potential capital returns could support sustained earnings expansion and margin recovery into 2026.

BIDU: AI Cloud And Chips Will Drive Future Earnings Multiple Expansion

We raise our Baidu fair value estimate to approximately $152 from $147 as analysts lift price targets. This is based on growing conviction that AI cloud, autonomous driving, and Kunlun chip initiatives will drive faster top line growth and support a modestly higher future earnings multiple, despite some near term margin pressure.

BIDU: AI and Chip Advances Will Drive Future Margin Recovery and Expansion

Baidu's analyst price target has been raised from approximately $141 to $147 per share. This increase reflects analysts' increased optimism, which is driven by stronger AI momentum, improving margins, and expectations for earnings growth in the coming quarters.

BIDU: Future AI Chip Progress Will Drive Upside Despite Advertising Weakness

Baidu's fair value estimate has been raised by approximately $1 to $140.57. Analysts point to a wave of price target upgrades, driven by progress in AI chip development and solid performance in cloud computing, despite ongoing advertising headwinds.

Analysts Raise Baidu Price Targets on AI and Cloud Optimism Despite Advertising Concerns

Baidu's analyst fair value estimate has increased from $127.36 to $139.50. Analysts cite rising price targets driven by optimism around AI chip potential, strong cloud growth, and a favorable re-evaluation of the company’s business segments.

China Digital Boom Will Fuel AI Cloud Potential Amid Risks

Baidu's fair value estimate has been raised to $127.36 from $117.66. Analysts cite growing momentum in AI initiatives and the strengthening of its chip and enterprise cloud businesses as key drivers for their upward price target revisions.

China Digital Boom Will Fuel AI Cloud Potential Amid Risks

Analysts have raised Baidu’s price target from $101.76 to $117.66, citing progress in AI, strong Kunlun chip momentum—especially in enterprise cloud and notable customer wins like China Mobile—which are expected to offset lingering online advertising headwinds and support a higher valuation. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite Baidu's recent advancements in artificial intelligence, including securing large customers for AI partnerships and progress on the Kunlun chip.

China Digital Boom Will Fuel AI Cloud Potential Amid Risks

Analysts have modestly raised Baidu's price target to $101.76, citing ongoing monetization headwinds in online marketing due to the AI search transition, which are partially offset by strong momentum in the AI cloud business and a relatively attractive valuation. Analyst Commentary Continued monetization headwinds in Baidu's online marketing business due to the transition toward AI-powered search.

Baidu: We Have Seen A Business Like This Before

Mar 26

Baidu: Phoenix Is Rising From The Ashes

Mar 20

Baidu: Struggling A Bit, But Is Undervalued With Long-Term Potential

Feb 19

Baidu: Big AI Upside With Downside Protection

Feb 04

Baidu: Too Cheap To Ignore

Jan 07

Baidu Is Cheap And Has Low Growth, But AI Is A Wildcard

Dec 27
User avatar

ERNIE 40 Turbo And AI Cloud Fuel A Promising Transformation Toward Growth And Innovation

AI-driven transformation and ERNIE expansion could boost revenue and user engagement through enhanced product offerings and enterprise adoption.

Baidu Q3 2024 Review: The Good, The Bad, And The Ugly

Nov 22

The Big Short's Michael Burry: Betting On China With Baidu And Others

Nov 15

Baidu: Buy After The Post-Stimulus-News Dip, Big FCF Yield

Nov 06

It's Time To Buy Baidu Again

Oct 25

Baidu: Re-Evaluating The AI Outlook

Oct 02

Baidu: Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful

Sep 17

Baidu: 7.4X P/E, Strong FCF And Capital Return Potential

Sep 01

Baidu Stock: Why Some Institutional Investors Have Been Loading Up

Aug 23

Baidu: China's AI And Robotaxi Leader Is In The Discount Bin

Aug 15

Baidu: GenAI May Take Years To Drive Overall Revenue Growth

Jul 15

It's Time To Buy Baidu

Jul 02

Baidu: Very Deep Safety Margin

Jun 22

Baidu: Facing Competition In AI But Potential Seasonality-Led Upside

Jun 10

Baidu Q1 Earnings: The Turnaround Is Finally Gaining Momentum

May 17

Baidu Is Poised To Make The Most Of China's AI Comeback

May 07

Baidu: Buy The AI Story Without Paying For It

Apr 18

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:BIDU - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028153,59321,02732,18137,72720
12/31/2027141,43918,09326,50532,38534
12/31/2026132,78215,82316,67230,02835
12/31/2025129,0794,663-16,430-3,013N/A
9/30/2025130,4638,411-15,825-3,266N/A
6/30/2025132,84627,275-11,046-243N/A
3/31/2025134,06425,441-1089,013N/A
12/31/2024133,12523,17212,97521,234N/A
9/30/2024133,95220,45019,93029,496N/A
6/30/2024134,84219,49923,29234,742N/A
3/31/2024134,96719,22124,95736,995N/A
12/31/2023134,59819,59825,32036,615N/A
9/30/2023132,72422,07824,28433,850N/A
6/30/2023130,81715,25124,83933,064N/A
3/31/2023126,40813,67822,42930,138N/A
12/31/2022123,6756,96817,77726,170N/A
9/30/2022123,6863,97112,09323,031N/A
6/30/2022123,067-12,4426,23317,647N/A
3/31/2022124,770-16,6626,15717,877N/A
12/31/2021124,4939,8768,88220,122N/A
9/30/2021121,66813,643N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2021117,97943,88018,09025,867N/A
3/31/2021112,66347,99619,83526,120N/A
12/31/2020107,07422,38418,86924,200N/A
9/30/2020105,69523,555N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2020105,5433,50419,73430,218N/A
3/31/2020105,8352,34812,30128,994N/A
12/31/2019107,4131,9809,33728,458N/A
9/30/2019105,724-2,244N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2019106,05516,525N/A28,918N/A
3/31/2019107,09320,422N/AN/AN/A
12/31/2018103,87727,443N/A35,967N/A
9/30/2018100,93729,714N/A36,857N/A
6/30/201896,59525,733N/A36,355N/A
3/31/201890,72523,235N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201786,70918,318N/A32,828N/A
9/30/201780,66617,540N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201774,85012,227N/AN/AN/A
3/31/201771,61910,986N/A22,031N/A
12/31/201670,54911,075N/A22,480N/A
9/30/201671,03631,952N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201671,16631,624N/AN/AN/A
3/31/201669,47832,752N/A21,863N/A
12/31/201566,38233,335N/A19,771N/A
9/30/201561,73312,072N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201556,87013,097N/AN/AN/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: BIDU's forecast earnings growth (28.4% per year) is above the savings rate (3.4%).

Earnings vs Market: BIDU's earnings (28.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: BIDU's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: BIDU's revenue (5.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11% per year).

High Growth Revenue: BIDU's revenue (5.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: BIDU's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.4%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/04/30 10:59
End of Day Share Price 2026/04/30 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Baidu, Inc. is covered by 71 analysts. 35 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Zixiao YangArete Research Services LLP
null nullArgus Research Company
Alicia YapBarclays