Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc

NasdaqGM:AVDL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.1b

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

Avadel Pharmaceuticals Valuation

Is AVDL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AVDL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: AVDL ($21.64) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($37.97)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: AVDL is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AVDL?

Key metric: As AVDL is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AVDL. This is calculated by dividing AVDL's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AVDL's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio8.5x
SalesUS$248.52m
Market CapUS$2.12b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AVDL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AVDL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.3x
TARS Tarsus Pharmaceuticals
6x16.64%US$3.8b
PHAT Phathom Pharmaceuticals
2.9x28.63%US$749.0m
WVE Wave Life Sciences
14.5x47.39%US$967.5m
SEPN Septerna
17.9x-10.69%US$1.7b
AVDL Avadel Pharmaceuticals
8.5x15.70%US$2.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AVDL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.5x) compared to the peer average (22.6x).

Historical Price to Sales Ratio

Historical Price to Sales Ratio compares a stock's price to its sales over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AVDL's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Pharmaceuticals Industry?

62 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VTRS Viatris
1.3x2.52%US$19.08b
HTSU.Y Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical
1.2xn/aUS$8.17b
OGN Organon
0.6x1.57%US$3.61b
BHC Bausch Health Companies
0.2x-2.15%US$2.40b
AVDL 8.5xIndustry Avg. 5.3xNo. of Companies62PS0612182430+
62 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AVDL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.5x) compared to the US Pharmaceuticals industry average (4.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AVDL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AVDL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio8.5x
Fair PS Ratio7.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AVDL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AVDL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$20.71
0%
8.64%US$23.00US$18.50n/a7
Sep ’27n/a
US$20.71
0%
8.64%US$23.00US$18.50n/a7
Aug ’27n/a
US$20.71
0%
8.64%US$23.00US$18.50n/a7
Jul ’27n/a
US$20.71
0%
8.64%US$23.00US$18.50n/a7
Jun ’27n/a
US$20.71
0%
8.64%US$23.00US$18.50n/a7
May ’27n/a
US$20.71
0%
8.64%US$23.00US$18.50n/a7
Apr ’27n/a
US$20.71
0%
8.64%US$23.00US$18.50n/a7
Mar ’27n/a
US$20.71
0%
8.64%US$23.00US$18.50n/a7
Feb ’27US$21.55
US$20.94
-2.84%
8.48%US$23.00US$18.50n/a8
Jan ’27US$21.55
US$20.94
-2.84%
8.48%US$23.00US$18.50n/a8
Dec ’26US$21.42
US$20.94
-2.25%
8.48%US$23.00US$18.50n/a8
Nov ’26US$18.89
US$19.13
+1.24%
7.01%US$20.00US$16.00n/a8
Oct ’26US$15.00
US$20.30
+35.33%
27.87%US$36.00US$16.00n/a10
Sep ’26US$14.76
US$19.13
+29.57%
13.69%US$24.00US$16.00n/a8
Aug ’26US$11.08
US$17.25
+55.69%
19.17%US$22.00US$13.00n/a8
Jul ’26US$8.81
US$16.57
+88.10%
17.92%US$22.00US$13.00n/a7
Jun ’26US$9.11
US$17.00
+86.61%
17.65%US$22.00US$13.00n/a8
May ’26US$8.61
US$17.50
+103.25%
20.96%US$22.00US$12.00n/a10
Apr ’26US$7.51
US$17.70
+135.69%
19.25%US$22.00US$13.00n/a10
Mar ’26US$7.91
US$17.60
+122.50%
20.20%US$22.00US$12.00n/a10
Feb ’26US$7.90
US$18.22
+130.66%
17.50%US$22.00US$13.00US$21.559
Jan ’26US$10.51
US$23.30
+121.69%
8.81%US$27.00US$20.00US$21.5510
Dec ’25US$11.06
US$23.60
+113.38%
11.40%US$30.00US$20.00US$21.4210
Nov ’25US$15.05
US$24.00
+59.47%
11.79%US$30.00US$20.00US$18.8910
Oct ’25US$13.16
US$23.90
+81.61%
10.98%US$29.00US$20.00US$15.0010
Sep ’25US$15.17
US$23.90
+57.55%
10.98%US$29.00US$20.00US$14.7610
US$20.71
Fair Value
4.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
7
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/14 19:17
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/11 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc is covered by 8 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
James MolloyBrean Capital Historical (Janney Montgomery)
Jason ButlerCitizens JMP Securities, LLC
Chase KnickerbockerCraig-Hallum Capital Group LLC