Johnson & Johnson

NYSE:JNJ Stock Report

Market Cap: US$537.4b

Johnson & Johnson Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Johnson & Johnson is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 8.3% and 6.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 8.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 32.5% in 3 years.

Key information

8.3%

Earnings growth rate

8.68%

EPS growth rate

Pharmaceuticals earnings growth14.6%
Revenue growth rate6.3%
Future return on equity32.47%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated04 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 23

Johnson & Johnson: A Dividend King, But Priced Appropriately, Big Conference Slate

Summary Johnson & Johnson is rated Hold, trading near intrinsic value with limited upside based on a 20x multiple and $12 normalized EPS. Q1 results showed 10% sales growth and a $450M revenue beat, with management raising FY 2026 guidance and extending the dividend growth streak to 64 years. JNJ faces headwinds from biosimilar and generic competition, MedTech challenges, and commercial sluggishness, but maintains strong FCF yield and a robust product pipeline. Technicals are mixed but lean bullish, with $235 as near-term resistance and investors advised to monitor upcoming conference commentary and sector momentum. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • May 14

JNJ: Future Drug Cycle And Legal Outcomes Are Expected To Shape Returns

Analysts have nudged their average price target on Johnson & Johnson slightly higher to about $253, citing stronger momentum from new drugs like Icotyde and Inlexzo, along with increased confidence in the pipeline highlighted in recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Johnson & Johnson clusters around the same core themes you are seeing in price target moves, with most commentary tied to execution on new products, confidence in the pipeline, and how the company is positioned within healthcare more broadly.
Narrative Update • Apr 24

JNJ: Fair Outlook Balances Healthcare Demand With Legal And Portfolio Reshaping Risks

The analyst price target for Johnson & Johnson has been raised by about $11 to $252.42. Analysts point to stronger modeled revenue growth, higher projected profit margins, and a slightly richer future P/E multiple as key drivers of the update.
Narrative Update • Apr 09

JNJ: Fair Outlook Sees Healthcare Demand And Legal Outcomes Shape Resilience

Analysts have made a modest upward adjustment to the fair value estimate for Johnson & Johnson, supported by a series of recent price target increases that reflect their updated views on the product pipeline, medical technology trends, and the broader appeal of healthcare stocks. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Johnson & Johnson show a cluster of higher price targets and fresh coverage that investors are watching closely.
Narrative Update • Mar 25

JNJ: Fair Outlook Balances Legal Overhang With Core Healthcare Resilience

Analysts lifted the Johnson & Johnson fair value estimate by about $3.79 to $241.08, citing higher assumed revenue growth, slightly adjusted profit margin expectations, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple supported by recent upward price target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Johnson & Johnson has leaned more constructive, with a series of higher price targets clustered above the latest fair value estimate.
New Narrative • Mar 18

Oncology Reliance And MedTech Execution Will Threaten Long Term Earnings Stability

Catalysts About Johnson & Johnson Johnson & Johnson is a global health care company focused on pharmaceuticals and medical technology across Oncology, Immunology, Neuroscience, Cardiovascular, Surgery and Vision. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update • Mar 11

JNJ: Pharma Pipeline Momentum Balanced By Talc And Orthopedics Uncertainty

Analysts have nudged their average price target on Johnson & Johnson higher by about $5 per share, reflecting updated views on the company’s pharmaceutical pipeline, including stronger expectations around Tremfya and other near term therapies such as Tecvayli, Inlexzo and Darzalex treatment duration. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Johnson & Johnson has centered on how the pharma pipeline feeds into valuation, with analysts updating targets around specific products rather than broad macro calls.
Narrative Update • Feb 25

JNJ: Oncology Pipeline Sale Plans And Talc Cases Will Shape Future Risk

The analyst price target for Johnson & Johnson has been raised by $1 to $232.50, as analysts factor in slightly higher revenue growth expectations, a modest adjustment to profit margin assumptions, and an updated future P/E of 25.94 following a series of recent target increases and an upgrade from major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Johnson & Johnson has leaned positive, with several firms lifting price targets and one issuing an upgrade, while a smaller group of voices remains more cautious on how much upside is already reflected in the valuation.
Narrative Update • Feb 10

JNJ: Oncology Pipeline And Talc Litigation Will Shape Future Risk Balance

Analysts have lifted their Johnson & Johnson fair value estimate by about US$7 to roughly US$231, reflecting research that points to slightly higher assumed revenue growth, modestly stronger profit margins, and a marginally higher future P/E multiple following a series of recent price target increases and an upgrade from several firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Johnson & Johnson has leaned more positive, with several firms adjusting price targets higher and one new initiation that frames the shares as a preferred large cap pharmaceutical name.
Narrative Update • Jan 27

JNJ: Oncology Pipeline And Talc Litigation Will Shape Future Balanced Risk Reward

Analysts have raised their Johnson & Johnson fair value estimate by about US$13 to roughly US$224. This reflects slightly higher modeled revenue growth, a marginally higher future P/E, and supportive Street research that includes multiple recent price target increases from major firms across the sector.
New Narrative • Jan 25

Broad MedTech And Complex Therapy Platforms Will Define A Stronger Future Trajectory

Catalysts About Johnson & Johnson Johnson & Johnson is a global health care company that develops and sells pharmaceuticals and medical devices across Oncology, Immunology, Neuroscience, Cardiovascular, Surgery and Vision. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update • Jan 09

JNJ: Ortho Separation And Talc Risks Will Shape Balanced Forward Risk Reward

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Johnson & Johnson slightly higher to about US$211 per share, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profitability, and future P/E assumptions informed by recent price target increases and supportive research commentary on the company's pipeline and planned ortho separation. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Johnson & Johnson points to a mix of optimism around the pipeline, margin profile, and planned ortho separation, alongside ongoing attention to litigation and product risk.
Narrative Update • Dec 19

JNJ Future Portfolio Separation And Litigation Resolution Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward Outlook

Analysts have raised their average price target on Johnson & Johnson by about $7 to roughly $209, reflecting slightly faster expected revenue growth, a modestly higher future earnings multiple, and confidence that portfolio reshaping and pipeline execution can offset near term margin pressure. Analyst Commentary Street research on Johnson & Johnson has turned incrementally more constructive, with multiple firms lifting price targets in response to stronger fundamentals and portfolio actions that are viewed as supportive of a faster growth profile.
Narrative Update • Dec 05

JNJ: Future Reorganization And Litigation Outcomes Will Shape Risk Reward Balance

The analyst price target for Johnson & Johnson has been nudged higher, with fair value rising from approximately $200.82 to $202.54 per share, as analysts highlight slightly stronger long term revenue growth, modestly higher profit margins, and a richer future P/E multiple supported by an improving innovation pipeline and portfolio reshaping efforts. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a broadly constructive stance on Johnson & Johnson, with a growing number of firms highlighting improving fundamentals, a stronger growth profile, and a more compelling risk reward setup following the latest results and guidance.
Narrative Update • Nov 21

JNJ: Upcoming Business Reorganization and Legal Risks Will Influence Future Performance

Johnson & Johnson's analyst price target has increased slightly from $199.56 to $200.82, as analysts cite stronger-than-expected sector performance and a constructive long-term industry outlook, which support the adjustment. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst commentary on Johnson & Johnson highlights a variety of perspectives related to the company's valuation, strategic direction, and future growth potential.
Narrative Update • Nov 05

JNJ: Upcoming Portfolio Shifts and Legal Uncertainties Will Shape Risk-Reward Balance

Johnson & Johnson's fair value estimate has increased by $1.52 to $199.56, as analysts point to improving core growth metrics, recent strong quarterly results, and expectations for higher margins following portfolio changes. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reveals a mix of optimism and caution among analysts following Johnson & Johnson’s latest results, portfolio changes, and evolving sector dynamics.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:JNJ - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028114,82826,12831,56037,35217
12/31/2027107,27424,34529,45134,07323
12/31/2026100,89322,05226,54431,99721
3/29/202696,36221,04017,41322,870N/A
12/28/202594,19326,80419,31324,530N/A
9/28/202592,14925,11918,67924,204N/A
6/29/202590,62722,66116,39723,028N/A
3/30/202589,33121,81018,57424,783N/A
12/29/202488,82114,06618,05924,266N/A
9/29/202487,69614,76719,18725,146N/A
6/30/202486,57616,38219,99524,642N/A
3/31/202485,64817,07218,39623,191N/A
12/31/202385,15913,32617,94022,791N/A
10/1/202383,70312,42115,73720,278N/A
7/2/202382,34812,42214,54719,073N/A
4/2/202377,45810,73016,20720,472N/A
1/1/202379,99016,37017,48821,194N/A
10/2/202284,85517,87917,73921,576N/A
7/3/202288,19717,23619,95023,582N/A
4/3/202294,88019,83019,73323,315N/A
1/2/202278,74017,80119,75823,410N/A
10/3/202191,44617,88022,46126,021N/A
7/4/202189,19017,76722,56426,114N/A
4/4/202184,21415,11520,85324,252N/A
1/3/202182,58414,71420,18923,536N/A
9/27/202080,85616,98618,30721,591N/A
6/28/202080,50315,18517,44320,735N/A
3/29/202082,72917,16619,76423,231N/A
12/29/201982,05915,119N/A23,416N/A
9/29/201981,70614,151N/A23,262N/A
6/30/201981,32516,332N/A22,007N/A
3/31/201981,59314,679N/A22,138N/A
12/30/201881,58115,297N/A22,201N/A
9/30/201881,3821,542N/A22,062N/A
7/1/201880,6841,372N/A22,056N/A
4/1/201878,6931,245N/A21,749N/A
12/31/201776,4501,300N/A21,056N/A
10/1/201774,36115,827N/A21,604N/A
7/2/201772,53116,335N/A20,699N/A
4/2/201772,17416,505N/A19,491N/A
1/1/201771,89016,540N/A18,767N/A
10/2/201671,59515,941N/A17,199N/A
7/3/201670,87715,027N/A17,978N/A
4/3/201670,18215,546N/A18,886N/A
1/3/201670,07415,409N/A19,569N/A
9/27/201570,51714,715N/A18,849N/A
6/28/201571,88216,106N/A17,363N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: JNJ's forecast earnings growth (8.3% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: JNJ's earnings (8.3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: JNJ's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: JNJ's revenue (6.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: JNJ's revenue (6.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: JNJ's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (32.5%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/04 04:03
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/04 00:00
Earnings2026/03/29
Annual Earnings2025/12/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Johnson & Johnson is covered by 53 analysts. 23 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David ToungArgus Research Company
Matthew MiksicBarclays
Lee HambrightBernstein