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Updated 1h ago
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Fermi Inc.NasdaqGS:FRMI Stock Report

Market Cap US$3.5b
Updated 1h ago
Share Price
n/a
1Yn/a
7D7.4%
1D2.0%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Fermi Inc.

NasdaqGS:FRMI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.5b

  • Company Overview
  • Valuation
  • Future Growth
  • Past Performance
  • Financial Health
  • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Fermi (FRMI) Stock Overview

Develops next-generation private electric grids that deliver highly redundant power at gigawatt scale to support next-generation intelligence and AI compute. More details

FRMI fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth5/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health1/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Trading at 97.1% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 63.52% per year

Risk Analysis

Has less than 1 year of cash runway

Highly volatile share price over the past 3 months compared to the US market

Makes less than USD$1m in revenue ($0)

Significant insider selling over the past 3 months


FRMI Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 56 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
67.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•1mo ago

Surging AI Power Demand And Scarce Grid Capacity Will Support Long Term Tenant Contracts

729
0
17
AN
AnalystHighTarget
84.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•5mo ago

Large Scale AI Power Infrastructure Will Transform Long Term Cash Flows And Tenant Demand

157
0
3
AN
AnalystLowTarget
31.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•4mo ago

Gas Power Permits And Tenant Delays Will Eventually Support Large Scale AI Infrastructure

91
0
2

Top Analyst Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
67.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•1mo ago

Surging AI Power Demand And Scarce Grid Capacity Will Support Long Term Tenant Contracts

729
0
17
AN
AnalystHighTarget
84.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•5mo ago

Large Scale AI Power Infrastructure Will Transform Long Term Cash Flows And Tenant Demand

157
0
3
AN
AnalystLowTarget
31.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•4mo ago

Gas Power Permits And Tenant Delays Will Eventually Support Large Scale AI Infrastructure

91
0
2
View all narratives

Fermi Inc. Competitors

Digital Realty Trust

Symbol: NYSE:DLR
Market cap: US$70.0b

Equinix

Symbol: NasdaqGS:EQIX
Market cap: US$101.0b

Four Corners Property Trust

Symbol: NYSE:FCPT
Market cap: US$2.6b

EPR Properties

Symbol: NYSE:EPR
Market cap: US$4.5b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Fermi
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$5.50
52 Week HighUS$36.99
52 Week LowUS$4.47
Beta0
1 Month Change-16.67%
3 Month Change-22.97%
1 Year Changen/a
3 Year Changen/a
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO-83.09%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha • Aug 17

Fermi: Hyper Moore's Law For Power May Dwarf The Governance Issues

Summary Fermi Inc. is rated Strong Buy, with a transformative tenant deal and major project catalysts sharply improving its risk-reward profile. FRMI's turbine and permit capacity position it to capture surging AI compute demand. Governance drama has eased, and Fermi 2.0 delivered, opening the path for further tenant signings and a re-rating. Near-term price targets of $30-40 are supported by GW-to-revenue math, with blue-sky scenarios offering 50-100x upside if execution continues. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Aug 17

Fermi: Hyper Moore's Law For Power May Dwarf The Governance Issues

Summary Fermi Inc. is rated Strong Buy, with a transformative tenant deal and major project catalysts sharply improving its risk-reward profile. FRMI's turbine and permit capacity position it to capture surging AI compute demand. Governance drama has eased, and Fermi 2.0 delivered, opening the path for further tenant signings and a re-rating. Near-term price targets of $30-40 are supported by GW-to-revenue math, with blue-sky scenarios offering 50-100x upside if execution continues. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 30

FRMI: First Project Matador Lease And Turbine Milestone Will Drive Repricing

Fermi's analyst price target has shifted lower, with new estimates around $17 that reflect updated assumptions on the timing of tenant signings, higher expected capex for turnkey requirements, and analysts' continued view of the stock as a high-risk, high-reward, pre-revenue story. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Fermi shows a mix of optimism about potential tenant signings and caution around execution risk, valuation resets, and the timing of cash flows for this pre revenue story.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 26

FRMI: Future Lease Win At Project Matador Will Drive Repricing

The analyst price target for Fermi has been cut from $23.11 to $19.00 as analysts factor in continued contract timing uncertainty and recent target reductions from $29 to $17 and from $20 to $11, even as they acknowledge potential upside if a large initial lease is secured. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Fermi highlights a split between optimism around its potential data center leases and caution around execution risk, reflected in the series of reduced price targets and rating changes.
Analysis Article • Jun 17

Fermi (FRMI) Stock Could Be 65.9% Undervalued After OpenAI Lease Reports

Fermi (FRMI) stock has been in focus after reports that OpenAI may lease capacity at its Project Matador campus, while a parallel proxy fight with former CEO Toby Neugebauer adds a governance angle for investors. See our latest analysis for Fermi. The recent OpenAI headlines and the escalating proxy dispute have coincided with a sharp swing in sentiment toward Fermi. The stock’s 7 day share price return of 14.37% and 30 day share price return of 20.31% contrast with a weaker year to date...
User avatar
New Narrative • Apr 30

Gas Power Permits And Tenant Delays Will Eventually Support Large Scale AI Infrastructure

Catalysts About Fermi Fermi develops and finances large scale power and data center infrastructure to serve energy intensive computing and artificial intelligence customers. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
User avatar
New Narrative • Apr 15

Surging AI Power Demand And Scarce Grid Capacity Will Support Long Term Tenant Contracts

Catalysts About Fermi Fermi is building a large scale private power grid and related infrastructure to supply electricity to energy intensive tenants such as data centers and chip ecosystem players. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
User avatar
New Narrative • Mar 31

Large Scale AI Power Infrastructure Will Transform Long Term Cash Flows And Tenant Demand

Catalysts About Fermi Fermi develops large scale power and data infrastructure to support tenants focused on artificial intelligence and high intensity computing. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?

Shareholder Returns

FRMIUS Specialized REITsUS Market
7D7.4%-0.6%-1.0%
1Yn/a1.7%14.1%

Return vs Industry: Insufficient data to determine how FRMI performed against the US Specialized REITs industry.

Return vs Market: Insufficient data to determine how FRMI performed against the US Market.

Price Volatility

Is FRMI's price volatile compared to industry and market?
FRMI volatility
FRMI Average Weekly Movement16.4%
Specialized REITs Industry Average Movement3.2%
Market Average Movement6.9%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.3%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: FRMI's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: FRMI's weekly volatility (16%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
202535Lee McIntirewww.fermiamerica.com

Fermi Inc. develops next-generation private electric grids that deliver highly redundant power at gigawatt scale to support next-generation intelligence and AI compute. The company combines cutting-edge technology with a deep bench of proven world-class multidisciplinary leaders with a combined 25 GW of experience to create one of the world's largest 17 GW next-generation private grids, helping ensure America's energy and AI dominance. The behind-the-meter Project Matador campus is expected to integrate the nation's largest combined-cycle natural gas project, one of the largest clean new nuclear power complexes in America, utility grid power, solar power, and battery energy storage to support hyperscale AI and advanced computing.

Fermi Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Fermi's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
FRMI fundamental statistics
Market capUS$3.53b
Earnings (TTM)-US$737.89m
Revenue (TTM)n/a
0.0x
P/S Ratio
-4.8x
P/E Ratio

Is FRMI overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
FRMI income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$0
Cost of RevenueUS$0
Gross ProfitUS$0
Other ExpensesUS$737.90m
Earnings-US$737.89m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-1.15
Gross Margin0.00%
Net Profit Margin0.00%
Debt/Equity Ratio50.4%

How did FRMI perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/12 01:31
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Fermi Inc. is covered by 10 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Andrew FisherBerenberg
Brett KnoblauchCantor Fitzgerald & Co.
Derek SoderbergCantor Fitzgerald & Co.

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