Welltower Inc.

NYSE:WELL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$169.8b

Welltower Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Welltower is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 17.3% and 13.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 17.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.5% in 3 years.

Key information

17.3%

Earnings growth rate

17.52%

EPS growth rate

Health Care REITs earnings growth18.7%
Revenue growth rate13.6%
Future return on equity6.49%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated07 Sep 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Sep 03

WELL: Higher Multiple And Ongoing Equity Issuance Will Temper Forward Returns

Analysts have raised their price target for Welltower to $231.61 from $210.69, citing updated assumptions for fair value, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E as the main drivers of this change. What’s in the News for Welltower Welltower completed a follow on equity offering of approximately US$6.63b through an at the market program, issuing multiple tranches of common stock at price ranges from about US$186.60 to US$233.16 per share.
Seeking Alpha • Aug 28

Welltower: Put On Your Running Shoes (Rating Downgrade)

Summary WELL is trading at historically high valuations, now over 3x the sector average FFO multiple. WELL's shift to the SHOP model and strong senior housing demand have driven double-digit dividend and NOI growth, with Q2 SHOP NOI up 20.5%. Despite operational strength and raised guidance, WELL faces significant downside risk if market sentiment or growth expectations falter. I assign WELL a Strong Sell, citing extreme overvaluation, execution risk, and historical precedent of sharp REIT repricing after exuberant cycles. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Aug 19

WELL: Rich Multiple And Equity Issuance Will Pressure Future Returns

Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Welltower to $210.69 from $202.13. This reflects updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update • Aug 05

WELL: Dividend Reliability And Equity Issuance Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have raised their price target for Welltower from $280 to $292 after updating their models to reflect a different revenue growth outlook, a slightly adjusted discount rate, a revised profit margin assumption and a higher future P/E estimate. What’s in the News for Welltower Welltower completed a follow-on equity offering totaling about US$6.63b through at-the-market issuances of common stock at various share prices, including US$186.60, US$203.15, US$211.26 and US$233.16.
Narrative Update • Jul 22

WELL: Premium Pricing And Dividend Growth Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Welltower to $280.00, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What’s in the News for Welltower Recent coverage highlights that Welltower, as a large senior housing REIT, has reported strong NOI and NFFO growth alongside Q1 2026 results.
Narrative Update • Jul 07

WELL: Senior Housing Momentum And 2026 Dividend Outlook Will Support Balanced View

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Welltower to about $238.73 per share from $233.50, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What’s in the News for Welltower Analysts are watching for Welltower’s Q2 2026 earnings, with expectations for a double digit profit increase and continued focus on senior housing performance, according to recent earnings previews.
Narrative Update • Jun 18

WELL: Medium Term Guidance And Capital Recycling Will Drive Fair Value

Analysts have raised their price target for Welltower stock from $191.07 to $202.13 as they refine their models around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions. What’s in the News for Welltower Welltower reported Q1 2026 normalized funds from operations of $1.47 per share, a 23% year-over-year increase, with revenue growth above 38% and total portfolio same-store NOI growth of 16.4%, driven largely by its senior housing operating portfolio, according to recent earnings coverage.
Narrative Update • Jun 03

WELL: Data Platform And Higher Margins Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have lifted their price target on Welltower from $260.00 to about $271.37, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that collectively support a higher valuation framework. What's in the News Welltower reported Q1 2026 normalized FFO of $1.47 per share, 23% higher year over year, with revenue growth of 38.3% and same store NOI growth of 16.4%, supported by seniors housing occupancy at 88.8% (Source: Q1 2026 earnings reports).
Narrative Update • May 14

WELL: Data Science Partnership And 2026 Earnings Outlook Will Support Balanced View

Analysts have raised their price target for Welltower to $233.50 from $229.25, citing updated assumptions related to revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and future P/E levels. What's in the News Welltower updated its earnings guidance for the year ending December 31, 2026, with net income attributable to common stockholders now guided to a range of $3.24 to $3.38 per diluted share, compared with the prior range of $3.11 to $3.27 (company guidance).
Narrative Update • Apr 29

WELL: Data Science Partnership And 2026 Guidance Will Support Balanced Outlook

Analysts have made a small adjustment to Welltower's price target to $229.25. This reflects updated views on fair value, discount rate assumptions, profit margin expectations, and a revised future P/E estimate.
Narrative Update • Apr 14

WELL: Data Partnership And Higher Margins Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts now see Welltower's fair value at $260.00, compared with $251.51 previously. This reflects their updated views on growth, margins, discount rate and future P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update • Mar 31

WELL: Data Science Alliance And 2026 Earnings Outlook Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for Welltower from $228.10 to $229.30, reflecting updated assumptions related to discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Welltower and Public Storage announced a data science partnership that combines Welltower's capital allocation models with Public Storage's operational and pricing analytics to support more targeted real estate investments and operations (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Mar 17

WELL: 2026 Earnings Outlook And Data Partnership Will Shape Future Income

Analysts have raised their price target on Welltower to $228.10 from $218.80, reflecting updated assumptions that include a slightly lower discount rate, a modest adjustment to revenue growth expectations, firmer profit margin inputs near 14%, and a higher future P/E of about 98x. What's in the News Welltower and Public Storage announced a data science partnership that combines Welltower's capital allocation modeling with Public Storage's operational analytics to support capital deployment and operating decisions across both businesses (Key Developments).
New Narrative • Mar 16

Leveraging the Senior Housing Supply Gap

Business Overview Welltower is one of the largest healthcare real estate investment trusts globally, with a market capitalization of approximately US$145 billion. The company owns a diversified portfolio of senior housing communities, outpatient medical facilities and post-acute care properties across the United States, Canada and the United Kingdom.
Narrative Update • Mar 03

WELL: Medium Term Guidance And Updated Assumptions Will Shape Fair Value

Analysts have lifted their price target for Welltower from about $145 to roughly $191, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, which together support a higher long term valuation framework. What's in the News Welltower issued earnings guidance for the year ending December 31, 2026, giving investors a frame of reference for its medium term outlook.
Narrative Update • Feb 16

WELL: 2026 Earnings Outlook And Higher Fair Value Will Shape Future Income

Analysts now set their price target for Welltower at $218.80, up from $207.38. This reflects updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update • Feb 02

WELL: Higher Profitability Assumptions Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Welltower to $251.51, citing slightly higher assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and future P/E as the basis for the updated price target. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate was adjusted from $248.75 to $251.51, reflecting a small upward revision in the modeled valuation.
Narrative Update • Jan 19

WELL: Expanded Equity Will Fund Prospective UK Care Acquisition Opportunity

Analysts have inched their price target for Welltower lower by about US$0.05. This reflects small updates to their fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update • Jan 05

WELL: Expanded Equity Capacity Will Support Prospective UK Senior Care Acquisition

Analysts have nudged their price target on Welltower slightly lower to US$248.80 from US$250.84, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Welltower filed a follow on equity offering for up to US$7.5b in common stock, structured as an at the market program.
Narrative Update • Dec 18

WELL: Expanded Equity Capacity Will Support Prospective UK Senior Care Acquisition

Analysts have lifted their price target on Welltower materially, from approximately $208 to $251 per share, citing expectations for slightly faster revenue growth, stronger profit margins, and a modestly lower future P/E multiple despite a higher discount rate. What's in the News Filed a new at-the-market follow-on equity shelf for up to $7.5 billion of common stock, expanding financial flexibility for future investments and debt reduction (regulatory filing).
Narrative Update • Dec 04

WELL: Equity Issuance And Acquisition Plans Will Shape Future Income Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target for Welltower by approximately $8.40 per share to about $207.40. This reflects expectations for stronger revenue growth that more than offset a modestly lower profit margin outlook and a slightly higher assumed valuation multiple.
Narrative Update • Nov 20

WELL: Equity Offerings And Margin Improvement Will Offset Lower Income Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target for Welltower from $192.90 to $198.95, citing improved profit margins and a modestly higher discount rate in their latest assessment. What's in the News Welltower has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering totaling $7.5 billion, issuing common stock through an at-the-market offering.
Narrative Update • Nov 05

WELL: Forward Equity Offerings And Margin Gains Will Balance Lower Guidance

Analysts have raised their price target for Welltower from $187.43 to $192.90. They cite improved profit margins and a lowered discount rate, even though revenue growth expectations are moderating.
Narrative Update • Oct 22

Analysts Lift Welltower Price Target Amid Raised Guidance and Improved Valuation Metrics

Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Welltower. They now estimate fair value at $187.43 per share, compared to the previous $186.81, citing incremental improvements in key valuation metrics.
Narrative Update • Oct 08

Private Fund Management And Acquisitions Will Improve Operational Efficiency

Analysts have raised their price target for Welltower to $186.81 from $184.60, reflecting modest improvements in projected fair value and slightly lower discount rate assumptions. What's in the News On July 28, 2025, Welltower's Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.74 per share.
Narrative Update • Sep 24

Private Fund Management And Acquisitions Will Improve Operational Efficiency

Welltower’s consensus price target increased as improved net profit margin and a modestly lower future P/E signal incremental enhancements in profitability and valuation, lifting fair value from $180.37 to $184.60. What's in the News Welltower did not repurchase any shares in the latest buyback tranche, completing 0% of the previously announced buyback program.
Narrative Update • Sep 04

Private Fund Management And Acquisitions Will Improve Operational Efficiency

With analyst reasoning unavailable and both revenue growth and discount rate estimates unchanged, the consensus analyst price target for Welltower remained steady at $178.47. What's in the News Welltower repurchased 0 shares for $0 million from April 1, 2025 to June 30, 2025, completing 0% of the buyback announced earlier.
Seeking Alpha • Feb 19

Welltower Stock: Long-Term Potential Vs. Near-Term Risks

Summary Welltower has shown impressive operational performance, particularly in its senior housing segment, but its current valuation suggests waiting for a better entry point. WELL benefits from favorable demographics and strong growth in senior housing, with significant occupancy gains and margin expansion driving its success. Despite strong financial metrics and a robust balance sheet, Welltower’s stock price appears overvalued, trading at a high multiple compared to sector averages. Long-term growth prospects remain strong, but the current price leaves little margin of safety, making it prudent to wait for a more attractive entry point. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 01

Welltower REIT Became Too Pricey

Summary Welltower Inc. has shown strong financial performance, driven by impressive growth in its senior housing operating portfolio (SHOP) and strategic acquisitions. The company has successfully deleveraged its balance sheet, maintaining significant liquidity and funding acquisitions, while enhancing its operating system and paying dividends. Despite strong growth and favorable demographic trends, WELL's stock appears overvalued, with a premium price and lower-than-historical dividend yield. Given the current valuation, I recommend a "Hold" rating, suggesting the stock needs to drop about 20% to become a "Buy" again. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 16

Welltower: Senior Housing Isn't A Growth Stock

Summary Welltower, Inc. is a REIT focused on senior housing and medical properties, benefiting from an aging population but currently offering a modest 2% dividend yield. The company's dividend has declined from $3.48 per share (2017-2019) to $2.44 in 2023, despite revenue recovery post-COVID. Concerns include low property yields, leverage risks, and reliance on private-pay residents, which may not support long-term dividend growth. Given these issues and the lack of a compelling margin of safety, I rate WELL as a Hold. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:WELL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202818,7742,868N/A5,7604
12/31/202716,7652,396N/A5,0807
12/31/202614,4492,129N/A3,9377
6/30/202612,7631,5513,1863,186N/A
3/31/202611,7671,4082,9532,953N/A
12/31/202510,8389372,8822,882N/A
9/30/20259,9089602,7872,787N/A
6/30/20259,2781,1302,6132,613N/A
3/31/20258,5541,0822,4492,449N/A
12/31/20247,9919522,2562,256N/A
9/30/20247,4909162,0682,068N/A
6/30/20247,0315931,8221,822N/A
3/31/20246,8724421,6331,633N/A
12/31/20236,5733401,6021,602N/A
9/30/20236,2832521,4851,485N/A
6/30/20236,1601181,4021,402N/A
3/31/20235,9731051,3801,380N/A
12/31/20225,8611411,3291,329N/A
9/30/20225,6192041,3591,359N/A
6/30/20225,3853901,3561,356N/A
3/31/20225,0533271,2961,296N/A
12/31/20214,7373361,2751,275N/A
9/30/20214,5554411,2471,247N/A
6/30/20214,3525871,1921,192N/A
3/31/20214,3937401,2571,257N/A
12/31/20204,5879791,3651,365N/A
9/30/20204,7471,0391,4361,436N/A
6/30/20204,9761,3041,4931,493N/A
3/31/20205,1081,262N/A1,604N/A
12/31/20195,1211,232N/A1,536N/A
9/30/20195,1001,110N/A1,583N/A
6/30/20195,070584N/A1,600N/A
3/31/20194,865601N/A1,559N/A
12/31/20184,700758N/A1,584N/A
9/30/20184,553545N/A1,483N/A
6/30/20184,408555N/A1,428N/A
3/31/20184,351589N/A1,417N/A
12/31/20174,317464N/A1,434N/A
9/30/20174,291908N/A1,521N/A
6/30/20174,2781,169N/A1,628N/A
3/31/20174,2961,176N/A1,644N/A
12/31/20164,2811,012N/A1,639N/A
9/30/20164,232812N/A1,617N/A
6/30/20164,132659N/A1,610N/A
3/31/20164,013777N/A1,528N/A
12/31/20153,860818N/A1,383N/A
9/30/20153,698874N/A1,321N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: WELL's forecast earnings growth (17.3% per year) is above the savings rate (3.7%).

Earnings vs Market: WELL's earnings (17.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (17.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: WELL's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: WELL's revenue (13.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (13.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: WELL's revenue (13.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: WELL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/14 18:25
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Welltower Inc. is covered by 48 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Amanda SweitzerBaird
David RodgersBaird
Bryan SekinoBarclays