Group 1 Automotive Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Group 1 Automotive is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 15.7% and 4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 16.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.5% in 3 years.

Key information

15.7%

Earnings growth rate

16.60%

EPS growth rate

Specialty Retail earnings growth	10.9%
Revenue growth rate	4.0%
Future return on equity	15.52%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	10 Nov 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Group 1 Automotive: A Resilient , Compounding Enterprise In A Highly Fragmented Industry

Oct 06

Group 1 Automotive, Inc.'s (NYSE:GPI) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 64% Above Its Share Price

Apr 06

What Does Group 1 Automotive, Inc.'s (NYSE:GPI) Share Price Indicate?

Mar 21

Here's Why Group 1 Automotive (NYSE:GPI) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Feb 15

Group 1 Automotive Can Keep Driving Higher

Jan 05

Group 1 Automotive, Inc.'s (NYSE:GPI) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 91% Above Its Share Price

Jan 04

There Is A Reason Group 1 Automotive, Inc.'s (NYSE:GPI) Price Is Undemanding

Dec 11

Group 1 Automotive: Still Great, Still On Sale

Oct 21

Acquisitions And Critical Partnerships Propel Dealership Group To New Heights

Aug 30 Strategic acquisitions and focus on new vehicle dealerships are poised to significantly boost revenue growth and net margins by enhancing operational efficiencies.

Group 1 Automotive: Sell On Convergence Of Risks

Apr 11

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:GPI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027	24,435	602	516	687	3
12/31/2026	23,668	553	447	614	9
12/31/2025	22,694	418	586	725	9
9/30/2025	22,538	370	589	778	N/A
6/30/2025	21,976	472	750	867	N/A
3/31/2025	20,969	468	323	491	N/A
12/31/2024	19,934	486	407	586	N/A
9/30/2024	18,868	500	-15	171	N/A
6/30/2024	18,352	545	-161	81	N/A
3/31/2024	18,214	577	134	301	N/A
12/31/2023	17,874	587	51	190	N/A
9/30/2023	17,463	633	285	445	N/A
6/30/2023	16,921	665	325	465	N/A
3/31/2023	16,508	692	385	503	N/A
12/31/2022	16,222	733	470	586	N/A
9/30/2022	15,643	741	563	676	N/A
6/30/2022	14,892	716	771	868	N/A
3/31/2022	14,372	705	1,153	1,247	N/A
12/31/2021	13,482	607	1,162	1,260	N/A
9/30/2021	12,731	553	1,109	1,210	N/A
6/30/2021	12,358	508	765	869	N/A
3/31/2021	10,863	355	905	1,001	N/A
12/31/2020	10,600	286	726	805	N/A
9/30/2020	10,973	226	692	773	N/A
6/30/2020	11,052	141	719	806	N/A
3/31/2020	11,926	159	195	287	N/A
12/31/2019	11,598	163	269	371	N/A
9/30/2019	11,841	151	128	223	N/A
6/30/2019	11,612	148	N/A	260	N/A
3/31/2019	11,550	155	N/A	249	N/A
12/31/2018	11,601	152	N/A	270	N/A
9/30/2018	11,613	229	N/A	247	N/A
6/30/2018	11,736	225	N/A	407	N/A
3/31/2018	11,465	208	N/A	276	N/A
12/31/2017	11,124	206	N/A	197	N/A
9/30/2017	10,877	129	N/A	305	N/A
6/30/2017	10,688	134	N/A	264	N/A
3/31/2017	10,798	141	N/A	338	N/A
12/31/2016	10,888	141	N/A	384	N/A
9/30/2016	10,887	80	N/A	297	N/A
6/30/2016	10,864	89	N/A	233	N/A
3/31/2016	10,808	89	N/A	199	N/A
12/31/2015	10,633	90	N/A	141	N/A
9/30/2015	10,499	140	N/A	157	N/A
6/30/2015	10,325	122	N/A	148	N/A
3/31/2015	10,110	94	N/A	123	N/A
12/31/2014	9,938	89	N/A	198	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GPI's forecast earnings growth (15.7% per year) is above the savings rate (3.3%).

Earnings vs Market: GPI's earnings (15.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16% per year).

High Growth Earnings: GPI's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: GPI's revenue (4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (10.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GPI's revenue (4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GPI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.5%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/12/03 06:19
End of Day Share Price	2025/12/03 00:00
Earnings	2025/09/30
Annual Earnings	2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. is covered by 26 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
John Babcock	Barclays
Michael Albanese	Benchmark Company
Andrew Fung	Berenberg

Group 1 Automotive Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 15%, revenue upgraded

Price target increased by 7.6% to US$401

Recent updates

Third quarter dividend of US$0.50 announced

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (NYSE:GPI) announces an Equity Buyback for $500 million worth of its shares.

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 15%, revenue upgraded

Third quarter 2025 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Oct 28, 2025

Group 1 Automotive: A Resilient , Compounding Enterprise In A Highly Fragmented Industry

Now 23% overvalued

Is Group 1 Automotive (NYSE:GPI) Using Too Much Debt?

Not Many Are Piling Into Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (NYSE:GPI) Just Yet

Upcoming dividend of US$0.50 per share

Director recently sold US$3.3m worth of stock

Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Second quarter dividend of US$0.50 announced

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on September 16, 2025

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. Appoints Melkeya Mcduffie as Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer, Effective August 11

Some May Be Optimistic About Group 1 Automotive's (NYSE:GPI) Earnings

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (NYSE:GPI) acquired Mercedes Benz Of Buckhead, Inc.

Estimating The Fair Value Of Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (NYSE:GPI)

Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Is It Time To Consider Buying Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (NYSE:GPI)?

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Jul 24, 2025

Senior VP & CFO recently sold US$2.7m worth of stock

Senior VP & CFO notifies of intention to sell stock

Does Group 1 Automotive (NYSE:GPI) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

First quarter dividend of US$0.50 announced

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on June 16, 2025

Not Many Are Piling Into Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (NYSE:GPI) Just Yet

Senior Vice President of Aftersales recently sold US$654k worth of stock

Senior Vice President of Aftersales notifies of intention to sell stock

First quarter 2025 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Apr 24, 2025

Group 1 Automotive, Inc.'s (NYSE:GPI) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 64% Above Its Share Price

Group 1 Automotive, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 13, 2025

What Does Group 1 Automotive, Inc.'s (NYSE:GPI) Share Price Indicate?

Now 21% undervalued

CEO, President & Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. Announces Retirement of Michael D. Jones as Senior Vice President – Aftersales, Effective September 1, 2025

Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Georgica Auto Holdings, LLC acquired Bill Kolb Jr. Subaru, Inc.

Fourth quarter dividend increased to US$0.50

Here's Why Group 1 Automotive (NYSE:GPI) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on March 17, 2025

Full year 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Jan 29, 2025

Group 1 Automotive Can Keep Driving Higher

Group 1 Automotive, Inc.'s (NYSE:GPI) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 91% Above Its Share Price

Director recently sold US$2.6m worth of stock

Director notifies of intention to sell stock

There Is A Reason Group 1 Automotive, Inc.'s (NYSE:GPI) Price Is Undemanding

Third quarter dividend of US$0.47 announced

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on December 16, 2024

Insider notifies of intention to sell stock

Insider recently sold US$892k worth of stock

Insider notifies of intention to sell stock

Third quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Group 1 Automotive: Still Great, Still On Sale

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (NYSE:GPI) acquired Soper Of Lincoln Limited.

Price target increased by 7.6% to US$401

Acquisitions And Critical Partnerships Propel Dealership Group To New Heights

Senior Vice President of Aftersales recently sold US$421k worth of stock

Senior Vice President of Aftersales notifies of intention to sell stock

Second quarter dividend of US$0.47 announced

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on September 16, 2024

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (NYSE:GPI) completed the acquisition of Inchcape U.K. Dealerships from Inchcape plc (LSE:INCH).

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Jul 24, 2024

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (NYSE:GPI) completed the acquisition of Four Mercedes-Benz Dealerships located north of London in the county of Hertfordshire from L & L Automotive Group Limited.

Upcoming dividend of US$0.47 per share

Senior VP & CFO recently sold US$755k worth of stock

Senior VP & CFO notifies of intention to sell stock

First quarter dividend of US$0.47 announced