CarMax (KMX) Stock Overview
Through its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer of used vehicles and related products in the United States. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3/6 |
| Future Growth | 3/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 3/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
KMX Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 26 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
CarMax, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$39.91 |
| 52 Week High | US$71.99 |
| 52 Week Low | US$30.26 |
| Beta | 1.18 |
| 1 Month Change | -7.85% |
| 3 Month Change | -15.39% |
| 1 Year Change | -40.03% |
| 3 Year Change | -44.78% |
| 5 Year Change | -67.05% |
| Change since IPO | 277.85% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • May 01
KMX: Starboard Turnaround Push And New Leadership Will Drive Re Rating Potential
The updated analyst price target on CarMax reflects a modest reset, with a roughly $2 swing in recent targets as analysts factor in softer revenue growth assumptions, lower profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple based on the latest research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CarMax shows a mix of views, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets while others stay more cautious on the shares.Narrative Update • Apr 17
KMX: Starboard Turnaround Push And AI Rollout Will Drive Re Rating Potential
Analysts have adjusted the CarMax fair value estimate upward by about $1.73 to $77.89, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue trends, profit margins, and future P/E expectations following a mix of recent target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CarMax shows a mix of views, with several bullish analysts adjusting price targets upward while a few take a more cautious stance.Seeking Alpha • Apr 14
CarMax: Patience Can Be Rewarded After Cautious 2027 Guidance
Summary CarMax, Inc. remains a Buy in the low $40s, with a fair value of ~$50, offering 15%+ upside despite near-term headwinds. KMX faces margin compression from weak used car pricing, higher loan loss provisions, and a strategic shift toward Tier 2 borrowers in its financing arm. Cost-cutting initiatives, paused buybacks, and conservative guidance position KMX for improved cash flow and potential EPS recovery in fiscal 2028. New KMX management and activist involvement (Starboard) are expected to drive technology focus, operational efficiency, and future growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRecent updates
Narrative Update • May 01
KMX: Starboard Turnaround Push And New Leadership Will Drive Re Rating Potential
The updated analyst price target on CarMax reflects a modest reset, with a roughly $2 swing in recent targets as analysts factor in softer revenue growth assumptions, lower profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple based on the latest research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CarMax shows a mix of views, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets while others stay more cautious on the shares.Narrative Update • Apr 17
KMX: Starboard Turnaround Push And AI Rollout Will Drive Re Rating Potential
Analysts have adjusted the CarMax fair value estimate upward by about $1.73 to $77.89, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue trends, profit margins, and future P/E expectations following a mix of recent target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CarMax shows a mix of views, with several bullish analysts adjusting price targets upward while a few take a more cautious stance.Seeking Alpha • Apr 14
CarMax: Patience Can Be Rewarded After Cautious 2027 Guidance
Summary CarMax, Inc. remains a Buy in the low $40s, with a fair value of ~$50, offering 15%+ upside despite near-term headwinds. KMX faces margin compression from weak used car pricing, higher loan loss provisions, and a strategic shift toward Tier 2 borrowers in its financing arm. Cost-cutting initiatives, paused buybacks, and conservative guidance position KMX for improved cash flow and potential EPS recovery in fiscal 2028. New KMX management and activist involvement (Starboard) are expected to drive technology focus, operational efficiency, and future growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Apr 02
KMX: Activist Demands And Execution Risks Will Limit Future Share Returns
Analysts have lifted their price targets on CarMax by mid single digit dollar amounts, citing refreshed models following the recent investor meeting and updated views on the company's earnings power, as reflected in slightly adjusted revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around CarMax has centered on refreshed models following the investor meeting, with several firms revising their price targets by mid single digit dollar amounts.Narrative Update • Mar 19
KMX: Activist Pressure And Execution Risks Will Restrain Future Share Returns
Analysts have nudged CarMax price targets higher, with recent moves such as Evercore ISI raising its target to $39 from $37 and Baird moving to $48 from $44, reflecting updated views on the company following its investor meeting and other research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on CarMax show a mix of support and caution.Narrative Update • Mar 05
KMX: Refreshed Investor Day Plan And AI Initiatives Will Drive Re Rating Potential
Narrative Update on CarMax Analysts have lifted their price target for CarMax by $4 to $48, citing refreshed models after the recent investor meeting, improved revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a lower expected future P/E multiple in their updated views. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more constructive tone on CarMax, with several bullish analysts lifting their price targets after reviewing the latest investor meeting materials and updating their models.Narrative Update • Feb 18
KMX: Refreshed Investor Day Framework Will Drive Re Rating Potential
Analysts have raised their CarMax price targets, with recent updates moving one estimate to $48 from $44 and others higher by $2 to $4. They cited refreshed models following the company’s investor meeting and modestly adjusted expectations for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E.Narrative Update • Feb 04
KMX: Mixed Sector Backdrop And Weaker Margins Will Pressure Future Returns
Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their price targets on CarMax by a few dollars, citing mixed sector fundamentals, questions around the company’s direction, and lower assumptions for fair value, revenue growth, margins, and future P/E, which together support a more conservative but still constructive outlook. Analyst Commentary Street research around CarMax has centered on how the business fits into a mixed auto retail sector, with some firms taking a cautious stance even as they fine tune price targets.Narrative Update • Jan 21
KMX: Digital Auction Execution Will Drive Re Rating Potential Despite Sector Caution
The analyst price target for CarMax has been cut from about US$114 to roughly US$75, with analysts citing a reduced revenue growth outlook, a lower assumed future P/E multiple, and ongoing uncertainty around the company’s strategy. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage highlights that views on CarMax are cautious overall, but there are still a few angles that more optimistic investors might focus on.Analysis Article • Jan 18
CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX) Soars 27% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward
CarMax, Inc. ( NYSE:KMX ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand...
Narrative Update • Jan 06
KMX: Future Returns Will Hinge On Credit Risk And Execution Clarity
Narrative Update: CarMax Analyst Price Target Shift Analysts have reduced their average CarMax price target by $32, from $78 to $46. This reflects fresh concerns around the company's strategy and credit risk, even as they point to mixed but resilient sector fundamentals and updated earnings guidance.Narrative Update • Dec 20
KMX: Future Returns Will Depend On Credit Normalization Amid Execution Concerns
Analysts have trimmed their CarMax fair value estimate by about $1.50 per share to roughly $38, reflecting a series of reduced Street price targets in the $40s and $50s as concerns mount over slowing unit growth, weaker margins, and uncertainty around the company’s strategic execution. Analyst Commentary Street research on CarMax has shifted decisively toward caution, but views are not uniformly negative.Narrative Update • Dec 06
KMX: Future Recovery Will Hinge On Loan Loss And Credit Normalization
Analysts have trimmed their CarMax price target slightly, reflecting a modest reset in fair value to about $40 per share as they factor in weaker unit trends, persistent credit headwinds, and increased uncertainty around the company’s strategic execution. Analyst Commentary Research coverage around CarMax has tilted more cautious in recent weeks, with multiple firms cutting price targets and downgrading ratings as they recalibrate expectations for growth, margins, and credit performance.Narrative Update • Nov 22
KMX: Recovery Will Depend On Resolution Of Loan Loss Headwinds
CarMax's analyst price target has been reduced significantly from approximately $55 to $40 per share, as analysts cite weaker revenue growth, margin compression, and persistent headwinds in retail trends and credit quality. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst coverage on CarMax reflects a divided outlook in the wake of disappointing financial results and evolving market dynamics.Analysis Article • Nov 18
Not Many Are Piling Into CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX) Stock Yet As It Plummets 25%
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the CarMax, Inc. ( NYSE:KMX ) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days...Narrative Update • Nov 07
KMX: Future Recovery Will Rely on Easing Loan Loss Pressures
CarMax's analyst price target has been lowered significantly, with the consensus now reflecting a cut of more than $20 per share. Analysts cite continued earnings misses, weaker retail sales, and growing uncertainty around the company’s recovery outlook.Narrative Update • Oct 24
Auto Credit Trends And Digital Expansion Will Shape Dealer Reach Ahead
CarMax’s analyst fair value target has been lowered from $57.79 to $55.50. Analysts cite continued softness in earnings, elevated loan losses, and weaker retail sales forecasts following recent quarterly results.Narrative Update • Oct 10
Auto Finance And Digital Sales Will Expand Dealer Reach
CarMax's fair value estimate has been revised sharply lower, dropping from $76.93 to $57.79. Analysts point to mounting sales uncertainty, downward earnings revisions, and lack of visible turnaround strategies following weaker-than-expected Q2 results and multiple price target cuts across the Street.Analysis Article • Sep 27
CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 28%
The CarMax, Inc. ( NYSE:KMX ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 28%. The...Narrative Update • Sep 26
Auto Finance And Digital Sales Will Expand Dealer Reach
CarMax’s consensus price target has been reduced from $81.44 to $76.93 as weaker-than-expected Q2 results, increased uncertainty around future strategy, and ongoing operating headwinds overshadow cautious optimism regarding operational improvements and growth initiatives. Analyst Commentary Weak Q2 results, including a broad earnings miss and underperformance across key metrics, have raised doubts about CarMax's ability to sustain market leadership and deliver additional growth.Analysis Article • Sep 10
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, CarMax fair value estimate is US$66.00 Current share price of...Analysis Article • Aug 09
Investors Could Be Concerned With CarMax's (NYSE:KMX) Returns On Capital
NYSE:KMX 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore CarMax's Fair Values from the Community and select yours If you're...Analysis Article • Jun 15
Earnings Tell The Story For CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX)
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.8x CarMax, Inc. ( NYSE:KMX ) may be sending bearish signals at the...Analysis Article • May 25
Why CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX) Could Be Worth Watching
CarMax, Inc. ( NYSE:KMX ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during...Seeking Alpha • Mar 28
CarMax: Tariff Benefits Appear Priced In
Summary CarMax shares have declined 12% in the past year due to a stagnant used car market and rising credit losses. President Trump's 25% auto tariffs could indirectly benefit CarMax by increasing used car prices, though this may not boost long-term profitability. Higher used car prices may provide a one-time windfall for CarMax, but affordability issues could reduce sales volumes. Despite potential short-term gains, CarMax stock remains overvalued; I maintain a sell rating, cautious of extrapolating temporary benefits. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 22
CarMax: Near-Term Growth Outlook Is Not Great
Summary I recommend a sell rating for CarMax due to affordability challenges and fierce competition, which are significant growth headwinds. KMX faces declining revenues and affordability issues, with average selling prices of used vehicles dropping for eight consecutive quarters. Competition from Carvana is intensifying, with CVNA showing better growth and profitability, putting additional pressure on KMX. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 19
CarMax Delivers Despite Lower Car Prices, Lock In Gains
Summary CarMax, Inc.'s fiscal Q2 2025 revenues increased slightly, with a $170 million beat versus consensus, driven by higher volumes despite lower pricing. Comparable store used unit sales rose 4.3%, and total retail used vehicle unit sales increased 5.4%, showing positive momentum. Gross profit increased 10.6% year-over-year, with retail gross profit per used unit flat and wholesale gross profit per unit up $54. CarMax repurchased 1.5 million shares for $114.8 million in Q2, with $2.04 billion remaining for repurchase, supporting a long-term investment thesis. The author has provided multiple winning trades on CarMax and suggests letting some profit run. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Sep 29
Revamping Retail Experience And Finance Innovation Fuels Company's Growth Path
The new order processing system and omnichannel retail strategy emphasize operational efficiency and digital sales growth, aiming for increased margins and sales.Seeking Alpha • Sep 27
CarMax: Still Overvalued Relative To Peers
Summary CarMax lacks competitive advantages and has underperformed the market, with stagnant stock prices, while the S&P 500 gained 30% over the same period. CarMax's Q2 results showed mixed performance, with retail used unit sales up but overall revenue down 4.3% due to a strong decline in wholesale vehicles. KMX's margins and ROIC are significantly lower than its peers, indicating a weaker competitive position and capital allocation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 05
CarMax: Mixed Signs Of Stabilization
Summary CarMax, Inc.'s sales continue to be pressured by a weak automotive sales industry, but the company's focus on gross profit has already started stabilizing the gross margin. The industry outlook remains cloudy regarding used car prices, the consumer sentiment, and interest rates. A fair midterm earnings recovery is still priced into CarMax's stock price. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jun 19
CarMax: Continued Share Loss Should Drive De-Rating
Summary KMX is underperforming the industry and continued share loss should drive de-rating going forward. The industry is facing supply headwinds and it's not looking good for the company as it doesn't have the flexibility to ramp up older cars. KMX is trading at 18.5x FY2 P/E, above the industry mean of 15x, which is too high given the current backdrop. Sell. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 11
CarMax: Buy The Q4 Earnings Dip, Here's Why
Summary We last suggested a buy of sub-$70 in CarMax, Inc. in late September 2023, and strong trading gains were had for savvy swing traders. Q4 earnings were mixed, light on profit notably, and long-term targets were pushed back, crushing shares. Repurchases, stabilizing margins, and a return to growth this year suggests paying 20X FWD EPS is compelling. Pick your spots, scale in, and dump CarMax, Inc. stock when you have tangible gains. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| KMX | US Specialty Retail | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 1.5% | 0.2% | 3.2% |
| 1Y | -40.0% | 7.6% | 31.0% |
Return vs Industry: KMX underperformed the US Specialty Retail industry which returned 7.6% over the past year.
Return vs Market: KMX underperformed the US Market which returned 31% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| KMX volatility | |
|---|---|
| KMX Average Weekly Movement | 7.7% |
| Specialty Retail Industry Average Movement | 7.4% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.1% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: KMX has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: KMX's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1993 | 27,796 | Keith Barr | www.carmax.com |
CarMax, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer of used vehicles and related products in the United States. The company operates in two segments: CarMax Sales Operations and CarMax Auto Finance. The CarMax Sales Operations segment offers customers a range of makes and models of used vehicles, including domestic, imported, and luxury vehicles, as well as hybrid and electric vehicles; used vehicle auctions; extended protection plans to customers at the time of sale; and reconditioning and vehicle repair services.
CarMax, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| KMX fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$5.59b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$247.29m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$27.76b |
22.9x
P/E Ratio0.2x
P/S RatioIs KMX overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| KMX income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$27.76b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$23.07b |
| Gross Profit | US$3.37b |
| Other Expenses | US$3.12b |
| Earnings | US$247.29m |
Last Reported Earnings
Feb 28, 2026
Next Earnings Date
Jun 17, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 1.74 |
| Gross Margin | 12.14% |
| Net Profit Margin | 0.89% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 297.8% |
How did KMX perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 23:12 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/02/28 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/02/28 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
CarMax, Inc. is covered by 35 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| null null | Argus Research Company |
| Craig Kennison | Baird |
| John Babcock | Barclays |