Macy's Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 4/6
Macy's has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 14.8%, while the Multiline Retail industry saw earnings growing at 11.6% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 0.6% per year. Macy's's return on equity is 13.2%, and it has net margins of 2.8%.
Key information
14.81%
Earnings growth rate
14.60%
EPS growth rate
| Multiline Retail Industry Growth | 12.60% |
| Revenue growth rate | 0.55% |
| Return on equity | 13.21% |
| Net Margin | 2.84% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Jan 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Macy's: Valuation Has Limited Upside With Technical And Macroeconomic Risks
Apr 22
M: Dividend Increase And Buybacks Will Support A Steady Outlook
Analysts have inched their price target for Macy's up to about $19.40 from roughly $19.30, reflecting small adjustments to fair value estimates, discount rate assumptions, profit margin expectations, and forward P/E inputs. What's in the News Macy's issued earnings guidance for 2026, projecting net sales in a range of US$21.4b to US$21.65b (Key Developments).M: Higher Dividend And Buybacks Will Support A Steady Future
Analysts now place Macy's fair value at $19.30, reduced from $21.80. This reflects revised expectations for softer revenue growth with a 6.40% decline and a higher discount rate of 11.76%, even as the projected profit margin edges up to 3.52% and the assumed future P/E shifts to 9.94.Macy's' (NYSE:M) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues
Apr 03
M: Ongoing Share Repurchases And Dividend Increases Will Support Higher Future P/E Multiple
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Macy's from $27.00 to $24.00, reflecting updated views that incorporate softer revenue assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate, modestly higher profit margins, and a revised future P/E of 12.15 from 13.09. What's in the News Macy's updated its share repurchase activity, buying 2,300,000 shares for US$50 million between November 2, 2025 and January 31, 2026, and reported total repurchases of 43,158,000 shares for US$876.2 million under the buyback program announced on February 22, 2022 (Key Developments).M: Higher Regular Dividend Will Support A Steady Future
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Macy's by $0.10 to $21.80, citing updated assumptions that reflect a slightly higher discount rate, a small change in expected revenue contraction, a marginally stronger profit margin outlook, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Macy's board declared a regular quarterly dividend of $0.1915 per share on common stock, described as a 5% increase, payable on April 1, 2026 to shareholders of record as of March 13, 2026 (company announcement).M: Ongoing Share Repurchases Will Support Higher Future P/E Multiple
Analysts are keeping Macy's price target steady at $27.00. They point to only slight tweaks in their assumptions on discount rate, long term revenue trends, profit margins, and future P/E expectations rather than a change in their overall view of the stock.M: Buybacks And Updated Sales Outlook Will Support A Steady Future
Analysts have slightly raised their fair value estimate for Macy's, with the target moving from US$21.80 to US$21.90. This change reflects small adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth expectations and projected profit margins, along with a slightly revised assumed future P/E multiple.M: Share Repurchases And Margin Outlook Will Support A Higher Future P/E
Analysts have raised their price target for Macy's from $22.92 to $27.00, citing slightly less steep revenue declines, a modestly higher profit margin outlook, a lower discount rate, and an increased assumed future P/E multiple in their models. What's in the News Macy's reported that from August 3, 2025 to December 3, 2025 it repurchased 2,783,000 shares for $50 million, bringing total repurchases under its February 22, 2022 authorization to 40,858,000 shares (14.36%) for $826.2 million (Key Developments).M: Buybacks And New Fulfillment Center Will Support A Steady Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target for Macy's by about US$0.20 per share, citing only slight tweaks to assumptions on the discount rate, long-run revenue contraction, profit margin, and future P/E as they refine their valuation work. What's in the News Macy's has updated investors on its share repurchase program, completing the buyback of 40,858,000 shares, or 14.36% of shares, for US$826.2m under the authorization announced on February 22, 2022.M: Ongoing Buybacks And Supply Chain Modernization Will Support A Stable Outlook
Narrative Update Analysts have nudged their price target on Macy's slightly higher to approximately 21.80 dollars, reflecting marginally improved long term revenue expectations and a modestly higher future earnings multiple, despite largely stable profit margin assumptions. What's in the News Macy's completed a major tranche of its ongoing share repurchase program, buying back 2,783,000 shares for 50 million dollars in the latest period and bringing total repurchases under the February 2022 authorization to 40,858,000 shares, or 14.36 percent of shares outstanding, for 826.2 million dollars (company filing).M: Improving Outlook And Store Investments Will Offset Ongoing Revenue Pressures
Analysts have raised their price target on Macy's by approximately 25 percent to around $21.70 per share, citing a slightly lower perceived risk profile, moderating revenue declines, and expectations for a higher future earnings multiple despite marginally softer profit margins. What's in the News Macy's tightened its fourth quarter 2025 outlook, guiding net sales to approximately $7.35 billion to $7.5 billion (corporate guidance).M: Modest Earnings Outlook And Shrinking Sales Will Weigh On Performance
Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Macy's, raising it from $16.59 to $17.32 per share. They cite modest improvements in the company’s discount rate and future earnings expectations as the reason for this adjustment.M: Rising Costs And Slowing Retail Demand Will Challenge Performance
Analysts have raised their price target for Macy's from $16.13 to $16.59 per share. They cite slight adjustments in discount rate and forward price-to-earnings forecasts, which reflect cautious optimism about the retailer's outlook.New Partnerships And Fulfillment Upgrades Will Drive Improved Margins And Retail Performance
Analysts have nudged Macy's fair value estimate upward from $15.79 to $16.13 per share. This change reflects subtle improvements in expected profit margins and a modest reduction in the discount rate used in their models.Omni-channel Investments And Store Modernization Will Secure Long-Term Retail Success
Upward revisions to Macy’s analyst price target reflect a combination of less negative revenue growth forecasts and a lower discount rate, resulting in an increased fair value estimate from $14.77 to $15.79. What's in the News Macy's provided third quarter 2025 net sales guidance of $4.5 billion to $4.6 billion.Omni-channel Investments And Store Modernization Will Secure Long-Term Retail Success
With both revenue growth forecasts and future P/E stable, analyst sentiment on Macy’s has remained unchanged, leaving the consensus price target steady at $14.77. What's in the News Macy's raised full-year 2025 net sales guidance to $21.15–$21.45 billion from previous $21.0–$21.4 billion.Macy's: An Undervalued Hidden Asset Play
Apr 28Macy's: Attractive Even With Mixed Guidance
Mar 12Wall Street Lunch: ICR Conference Brings In Holiday Sales Results
Jan 13Macy's: Growth Is Likely To Inflect Moving Forward (Rating Upgrade)
Dec 13Macy's Bold New Chapter Strategy Faces Too Many Uncertainties
Oct 07Macy's, Inc.: Potential For Growth Inflection, But I Am Hold Rated
Sep 24
Investing In Growth And Digital Efficiency Amidst Economic Challenges Shows Promise For Future Success
Macy's strategic focus on revamping its top stores and adapting to consumer demand shows potential for revenue growth and improved net margins.Macy's: Margins And Go-Forward Sales Growth Critical To Q2 Results
Aug 19Macy's: Broken Market
Jul 15Macy's Remains On Sale After An Upsized Bid Pushes Shares Higher
Jul 05Macy's: Encouraging Q1 Points To Brighter Long-Term Prospects
May 21Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Macy's makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 26 | 22,621 | 642 | 8,224 | 0 |
| 01 Nov 25 | 22,712 | 477 | 8,247 | 0 |
| 02 Aug 25 | 22,701 | 494 | 8,286 | 0 |
| 03 May 25 | 22,799 | 558 | 8,316 | 0 |
| 01 Feb 25 | 23,006 | 582 | 8,314 | 0 |
| 02 Nov 24 | 23,374 | 112 | 8,340 | 0 |
| 03 Aug 24 | 23,509 | 124 | 8,318 | 0 |
| 04 May 24 | 23,693 | -48 | 8,325 | 0 |
| 03 Feb 24 | 23,866 | 45 | 8,364 | 0 |
| 28 Oct 23 | 24,074 | 682 | 8,417 | 0 |
| 29 Jul 23 | 24,503 | 749 | 8,460 | 0 |
| 29 Apr 23 | 25,057 | 1,046 | 8,489 | 0 |
| 28 Jan 23 | 25,449 | 1,146 | 8,441 | 0 |
| 29 Oct 22 | 25,796 | 1,411 | 8,396 | 0 |
| 30 Jul 22 | 25,982 | 1,543 | 8,270 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 22 | 25,992 | 1,613 | 8,146 | 0 |
| 29 Jan 22 | 25,399 | 1,430 | 8,088 | 0 |
| 30 Oct 21 | 23,399 | 847 | 7,596 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 21 | 21,931 | 516 | 7,353 | 0 |
| 01 May 21 | 19,814 | -260 | 6,857 | 0 |
| 30 Jan 21 | 18,097 | -3,944 | 6,713 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 20 | 19,637 | -3,764 | 7,187 | 0 |
| 01 Aug 20 | 20,808 | -3,671 | 7,669 | 0 |
| 02 May 20 | 22,803 | -3,153 | 8,451 | 0 |
| 01 Feb 20 | 25,331 | 564 | 8,967 | 0 |
| 02 Nov 19 | 25,449 | 964 | 8,996 | 0 |
| 03 Aug 19 | 25,682 | 1,025 | 9,047 | 0 |
| 04 May 19 | 25,717 | 1,105 | 9,033 | 0 |
| 02 Feb 19 | 25,739 | 1,108 | 9,000 | 0 |
| 03 Nov 18 | 25,945 | 1,715 | 9,003 | 0 |
| 04 Aug 18 | 25,782 | 1,683 | 8,931 | 0 |
| 05 May 18 | 25,828 | 1,627 | 8,925 | 0 |
| 03 Feb 18 | 25,641 | 1,566 | 8,897 | 0 |
| 28 Oct 17 | 25,255 | 694 | 8,171 | 0 |
| 29 Jul 17 | 25,455 | 681 | 8,275 | 0 |
| 29 Apr 17 | 25,518 | 581 | 8,356 | 0 |
| 28 Jan 17 | 26,564 | 627 | 9,202 | 0 |
| 29 Oct 16 | 26,132 | 688 | 7,165 | 0 |
| 30 Jul 16 | 26,380 | 789 | 7,113 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 16 | 26,618 | 995 | 7,138 | 0 |
| 30 Jan 16 | 27,079 | 1,072 | 8,468 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 15 | 27,574 | 1,321 | 8,166 | 0 |
| 01 Aug 15 | 27,895 | 1,420 | 7,923 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: M has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: M's current net profit margins (2.8%) are higher than last year (2.5%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: M has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 14.8% per year.
Accelerating Growth: M's earnings growth over the past year (11.3%) is below its 5-year average (14.8% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: M earnings growth over the past year (11.3%) exceeded the Multiline Retail industry 1.3%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: M's Return on Equity (13.2%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/03 07:01 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/01 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/01/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/01/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
Macy's, Inc. is covered by 27 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Christopher Graja | Argus Research Company |
| Wayne Hood | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |
| Lorraine Corrine Hutchinson | BofA Global Research |