Valvoline Inc.

NYSE:VVV Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.9b

Valvoline Valuation

Is VVV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of VVV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: VVV ($38.73) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value ($12.16)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: VVV is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VVV?

Key metric: As VVV is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VVV. This is calculated by dividing VVV's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VVV's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio55.6x
EarningsUS$88.70m
Market CapUS$4.93b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VVV's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VVV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.2x
ABG Asbury Automotive Group
8.9x12.12%US$4.4b
GPI Group 1 Automotive
12.6x18.38%US$4.0b
LAD Lithia Motors
8.7x10.86%US$7.1b
AN AutoNation
10.8x10.68%US$7.0b
VVV Valvoline
55.6x44.37%US$4.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VVV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (55.6x) compared to the peer average (10.2x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VVV's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LUXE LuxExperience B.V
2.3x-101.03%US$1.33b
TLF Tandy Leather Factory
2.4xn/aUS$25.01m
TKLF Tokyo Lifestyle
2.8xn/aUS$12.36m
SSOK Sunstock
0.09xn/aUS$69.18k
VVV 55.6xIndustry Avg. 21.9xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VVV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (55.6x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (21.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VVV's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VVV PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio55.6x
Fair PE Ratio35.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VVV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (55.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VVV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$38.73
US$41.60
+7.41%
7.59%US$48.00US$35.00n/a15
Feb ’27US$32.72
US$39.13
+19.60%
10.47%US$48.00US$30.00n/a15
Jan ’27US$29.06
US$39.07
+34.43%
10.55%US$48.00US$30.00n/a15
Dec ’26US$30.29
US$39.15
+29.26%
11.42%US$48.00US$30.00n/a13
Nov ’26US$33.01
US$44.04
+33.41%
7.95%US$50.00US$38.00n/a13
Oct ’26US$35.82
US$44.19
+23.37%
7.81%US$50.00US$38.00n/a13
Sep ’26US$38.78
US$43.73
+12.77%
6.90%US$48.00US$38.00n/a13
Aug ’26US$35.02
US$42.75
+22.07%
7.88%US$48.00US$37.00n/a12
Jul ’26US$39.28
US$42.23
+7.51%
7.94%US$48.00US$37.00n/a13
Jun ’26US$34.59
US$41.85
+20.98%
7.89%US$48.00US$37.00n/a13
May ’26US$33.76
US$42.81
+26.80%
7.63%US$48.00US$38.00n/a13
Apr ’26US$35.07
US$43.46
+23.92%
6.86%US$48.00US$38.00n/a12
Mar ’26US$36.88
US$43.46
+17.84%
6.86%US$48.00US$38.00n/a12
Feb ’26US$37.11
US$43.31
+16.70%
8.51%US$49.00US$37.00US$32.7213
Jan ’26US$36.18
US$43.62
+20.55%
7.76%US$49.00US$37.00US$29.0613
Dec ’25US$39.71
US$43.75
+10.17%
7.98%US$49.00US$37.00US$30.2912
Nov ’25US$40.37
US$46.50
+15.18%
7.21%US$52.00US$40.00US$33.0112
Oct ’25US$41.39
US$45.91
+10.92%
6.47%US$50.00US$40.00US$35.8211
Sep ’25US$42.20
US$45.91
+8.79%
6.47%US$50.00US$40.00US$38.7811
Aug ’25US$45.99
US$47.60
+3.50%
8.09%US$54.00US$40.00US$35.0210
Jul ’25US$42.08
US$46.70
+10.98%
6.97%US$50.00US$40.00US$39.2810
Jun ’25US$40.60
US$46.44
+14.40%
7.18%US$50.00US$40.00US$34.599
May ’25US$42.50
US$44.91
+5.67%
7.76%US$50.00US$39.00US$33.7610
Apr ’25US$44.77
US$44.67
-0.23%
8.04%US$50.00US$39.00US$35.079
Mar ’25US$43.17
US$41.63
-3.58%
7.69%US$46.00US$36.00US$36.888
Feb ’25US$36.96
US$40.56
+9.73%
8.55%US$46.00US$36.00US$37.119
US$41.6
Fair Value
6.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
15
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/22 22:38
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/20 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Valvoline Inc. is covered by 22 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Craig KennisonBaird
Peter BenedictBaird
Justin KleberBaird