GLOBALFOUNDRIES Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
GLOBALFOUNDRIES is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 25.9% and 12% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 29.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.5% in 3 years.
Key information
25.9%
Earnings growth rate
29.64%
EPS growth rate
| Semiconductor earnings growth | 30.7% |
| Revenue growth rate | 12.0% |
| Future return on equity | 11.53% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 11 Sep 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Sep 17
GFS: Quantum And Power Partnerships Will Support Higher Future P E Multiples
Analysts have raised the GLOBALFOUNDRIES fair value estimate from about $110.91 to roughly $119.38, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and sector positioning following a mix of higher and lower price targets across recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on GLOBALFOUNDRIES shows a mix of views, although there is a clear cluster of bullish analysts who see room for further upside based on execution, valuation support, and exposure to key growth areas like AI hardware and optical networking.
Narrative Update • Sep 03
GFS: AI Hardware Bottleneck Demand And New Platforms Will Support Margins
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for GLOBALFOUNDRIES from $81 to $76, reflecting a slightly higher discount rate, a lower assumed future P/E multiple, and updated views on revenue growth and profit margins following mixed but generally constructive Street research on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on GlobalFoundries shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several price target changes and rating shifts that feed directly into how investors may think about valuation, execution risk, and growth prospects.Seeking Alpha • Aug 21
Recent Pullback Could Be An Appealing Entry Point For GlobalFoundries
Summary GlobalFoundries remains a buy after the recent selloff, though upside is now more modest and valuation is less compelling than last year. GFS's growth is driven by surging data center revenue (+62% YoY) and new optical networking wins, offset by cyclical weakness in automotive. CapEx is rising sharply to support quantum and silicon photonics initiatives, creating long-term growth potential but introducing near-term cash flow risk. GFS's 1% dividend signals financial health, but yield and upside are limited until speculative investments begin to pay off. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Aug 18
GFS: Quantum Awards And AI Demand Will Support Balanced Future Returns
Analysts now place fair value for GlobalFoundries at $55, down $2 from the prior $57, reflecting a blend of lower P/E assumptions and price target trims from several firms, even as some research points to healthier margins and a more supportive mix outside of weaker mobile demand. Analyst Commentary Street research on GlobalFoundries points to a split view.Analysis Article • Aug 12
There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of GLOBALFOUNDRIES' (NASDAQ:GFS) Earnings
GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. ( NASDAQ:GFS ) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that...Narrative Update • Aug 04
GFS: Quantum Awards And AI Custom Chips Will Drive Future Returns
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for GLOBALFOUNDRIES from $60 to $57, as they factor in a slightly higher discount rate alongside mixed read-throughs from mobile exposure. They still cite AI demand, tight trailing edge capacity, and potential benefits from quantum computing initiatives as key supports for the updated view.Narrative Update • Jul 15
GFS: AI Inference Shift And Quantum Funding Will Support Margin Stability
Analysts have lifted the GLOBALFOUNDRIES fair value estimate from $51.30 to $81.00, citing higher assumed revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, a richer future P/E framework, and a series of recent price target increases and rating upgrades that highlight expectations for tighter foundry capacity and improving pricing power across the sector. Analyst Commentary Recent research on GLOBALFOUNDRIES centers on how foundry capacity, pricing power, and exposure to emerging workloads like AI inference and quantum computing could influence the company’s valuation and execution risk.Narrative Update • Jul 01
GFS: Quantum Funding And Specialty Capacity Expansion Will Support Higher Future P E Multiples
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for GlobalFoundries from $60.00 to about $110.91, citing higher assumed revenue growth, slightly firmer discount and profit margin inputs, as well as a richer future P/E multiple supported by recent price target increases and upgrades across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on GlobalFoundries highlights a cluster of bullish views, with several firms revisiting their assumptions on growth, utilization and long term positioning in key chip markets.Narrative Update • Jun 17
GFS: Quantum Awards And AI Custom Chips Will Pressure Future Returns
Analysts have raised their average price targets on GlobalFoundries stock into the $80+ range, citing expectations for tighter foundry pricing as utilization stays high across both leading and lagging edge capacity, and highlighting potential benefits from government backed quantum computing initiatives and growing interest in custom AI chips. Analyst Commentary on GlobalFoundries Recent Street research on GlobalFoundries points to a mix of optimism around utilization, pricing power and AI exposure, alongside a steady drumbeat of caution on execution and how much of that story is already reflected in the stock.Analysis Article • Jun 16
GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GFS) Stock Could Be 56% Overvalued After AI And Europe Manufacturing Deals
GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GFS) stock is in focus after three new partnerships in AI-enabled chip design, silicon photonics and secure European manufacturing raised fresh questions about how the foundry’s model prices in technology and supply chain risk. See our latest analysis for GLOBALFOUNDRIES. Those partnerships have landed alongside a sharp swing in sentiment, with GLOBALFOUNDRIES posting a 90 day share price return of 88.14% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 118.32%, even after a 1 day...Narrative Update • Jun 03
GFS: Quantum Awards And Custom AI ASIC Ambitions Will Constrain Future Returns
Analyst price targets for GLOBALFOUNDRIES have moved higher, with one firm lifting its target to $85 from $58 as analysts highlight quantum computing awards and growing interest in custom AI chips and alternative accelerators as key supports for the stock's long-term positioning. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around GLOBALFOUNDRIES has centered on two themes investors are likely watching closely: exposure to quantum computing funding and positioning for custom AI silicon.Narrative Update • May 19
GFS: AI Inference ASIC Execution Will Limit Future Share Price Upside
Analysts have lifted the GLOBALFOUNDRIES fair value estimate to $60 from $43, citing a wave of higher Street price targets that link the stock to growing interest in AI inference workloads and custom ASIC demand. Analyst Commentary Across recent reports, Street research has generally tied higher GLOBALFOUNDRIES price targets to interest in AI inference workloads and custom ASICs, with several firms lifting their valuation frameworks accordingly.Narrative Update • Apr 29
GFS: Earnings Execution Versus Refined P E Assumptions Will Restrain Upside Potential
Analysts have raised their average price targets on GLOBALFOUNDRIES by a mid to high single digit dollar range, citing updates to revenue growth and margin assumptions, along with refined P/E expectations that support a fair value estimate of approximately $43.00 per share. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has clustered around mid to high single digit adjustments to GLOBALFOUNDRIES price targets, with several firms referencing updates to revenue growth assumptions, margin frameworks, and P/E multiples.Narrative Update • Apr 14
GFS: U.S. Manufacturing Demand And Policy Tailwinds Will Support Higher P E Multiples
Analysts have lifted the GLOBALFOUNDRIES fair value estimate from $46.56 to $60.00. They point to updated assumptions on revenue growth, profitability and future P/E multiples that are also reflected in a series of recent price target increases across the Street.Narrative Update • Mar 31
GFS: Rising Street Conviction Will Support Execution On Margin Stability
Analysts have raised GLOBALFOUNDRIES' price target to a fair value estimate of $51.30, citing updated modeling of discount rates, revenue growth assumptions, profit margins and future P/E expectations as the main drivers of this change. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on GLOBALFOUNDRIES clusters around a series of higher price targets across multiple firms, with analysts revisiting their models on discount rates, revenue trajectories, margin profiles and future P/E assumptions.Narrative Update • Mar 17
GFS: Evolving Expectations On Execution And Capital Actions Will Shape Future Upside
Analysts have raised their average price targets on GLOBALFOUNDRIES by a range of $4 to $20, citing updated expectations on growth, profitability and valuation, even though the model fair value estimate remains at $43.00. Analyst Commentary Street research on GLOBALFOUNDRIES has been active, with several firms adjusting their price targets across a wide range, including both increases and at least one very large downward move.Narrative Update • Mar 03
GFS: Elevated Capital Needs And Execution Risks Will Limit Future Upside Potential
Analysts have raised their price target for GlobalFoundries from $35 to $43, citing revised assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple as the main factors behind the update. Analyst Commentary Street research on GlobalFoundries has recently skewed toward higher price targets, but not all commentary is positive.Narrative Update • Feb 16
GFS: Balancing Repriced Expectations With U.S. Manufacturing And Defense Contracts
The analyst price target for GlobalFoundries has been raised by about $10 to $50.62, with analysts citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E as key factors behind the change. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on GlobalFoundries shows multiple firms revisiting their models and adjusting price targets by a wide range, from modest single digit moves to a US$20 increase.Narrative Update • Feb 02
GFS: Weighing Sluggish Recovery Against U.S. Manufacturing And Defense Contracts
Narrative Update on GlobalFoundries The analyst price target for GlobalFoundries has edged higher by about $0.85. Analysts are factoring in slightly higher fair value estimates, an adjusted discount rate, and expectations for modestly stronger profit margins, along with updated views from recent research that highlight mixed spending and demand trends.Analysis Article • Jan 22
GlobalFoundries Inc.'s (NASDAQ:GFS) Shares Bounce 28% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry
GlobalFoundries Inc. ( NASDAQ:GFS ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 28% share price jump in the...Narrative Update • Jan 19
GFS: Sluggish Recovery And Higher Spending Will Restrain Near Term Upside
Narrative Update: GlobalFoundries The analyst price target for GlobalFoundries has been reset to US$35, reflecting a neutral stance as analysts balance solid recent results with expectations for a sluggish cyclical recovery and higher spending that may limit near term upside. Analyst Commentary Recent research on GlobalFoundries points to a more cautious mood, even as the company delivers results that line up with guidance.Narrative Update • Jan 05
GFS: Sluggish Recovery And Spending Weigh While Capacity Expansion Supports Long-Term Outlook
Narrative Update on GlobalFoundries The analyst price target for GlobalFoundries has moved to US$35.00, a cut of US$5.00 from the prior US$40.00 level, as analysts factor in a sluggish cyclical recovery, rising spending that offsets near term margin benefits, and the longer timeline for U.S. manufacturing demand to translate into revenues. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on GlobalFoundries show a cluster of lower price targets, with several bearish analysts resetting expectations closer to US$33 to US$35.Narrative Update • Dec 14
GFS: U.S. Manufacturing Demand And Policy Tailwinds Will Drive Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target on GlobalFoundries by about $8 to approximately $47 per share, citing a sluggish cyclical recovery, higher near term spending that offsets margin gains, and the longer runway before U.S. manufacturing advantages fully translate into revenue growth. Analyst Commentary Analyst reactions to the latest results have been mixed, with headline price targets moving lower but commentary emphasizing that GlobalFoundries continues to execute steadily against a challenging cyclical backdrop.Analysis Article • Nov 15
GlobalFoundries Inc. Just Recorded A 52% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next
Last week, you might have seen that GlobalFoundries Inc. ( NASDAQ:GFS ) released its quarterly result to the market...Narrative Update • Aug 06
Expanding US And European Capacity Will Unlock New Demand
Despite slightly improved revenue growth forecasts, a notable reduction in forward P/E multiples suggests increased valuation caution, resulting in a lower consensus analyst price target for GlobalFoundries, down from $44.32 to $41.54. What's in the News GlobalFoundries provided Q3 2025 earnings guidance, expecting net revenue of $1,675 million (±$25 million) and diluted EPS of $0.28 (±$0.05).Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 9,338 | 1,553 | 1,254 | 2,912 | 14 |
| 12/31/2027 | 8,222 | 1,168 | 749 | 2,376 | 21 |
| 12/31/2026 | 7,307 | 722 | 635 | 2,056 | 22 |
| 6/30/2026 | 6,938 | 716 | 796 | 1,916 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 6,840 | 778 | 1,074 | 1,942 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 6,791 | 885 | 1,009 | 1,731 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 6,791 | -44 | 1,165 | 1,814 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 6,842 | -115 | 972 | 1,594 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 6,786 | -188 | 1,003 | 1,565 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 6,750 | -265 | 1,097 | 1,722 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 6,774 | 742 | 1,231 | 1,949 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 6,887 | 814 | 1,110 | 1,990 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 7,100 | 899 | 954 | 2,134 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 7,392 | 1,020 | 321 | 2,125 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 7,639 | 1,411 | -635 | 1,932 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 7,861 | 1,499 | -661 | 2,195 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 8,009 | 1,523 | -1,011 | 2,258 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 8,108 | 1,448 | -435 | 2,624 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 7,854 | 823 | 563 | 3,280 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 7,480 | 492 | 1,214 | 3,711 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 7,107 | 55 | 1,428 | 3,536 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 6,585 | -250 | 1,072 | 2,839 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 5,800 | -815 | 571 | 1,892 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 5,191 | -1,114 | -2 | 1,049 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,920 | -1,207 | 123 | 884 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 4,851 | -1,350 | 412 | 1,004 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 5,813 | -1,371 | N/A | 497 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 6,196 | -2,554 | N/A | 279 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: GFS's forecast earnings growth (25.9% per year) is above the savings rate (3.7%).
Earnings vs Market: GFS's earnings (25.9% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (17.4% per year).
High Growth Earnings: GFS's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: GFS's revenue (12% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (13.5% per year).
High Growth Revenue: GFS's revenue (12% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: GFS's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.5%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/19 03:30 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/18 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. is covered by 28 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Janco Venter | Arete Research Services LLP |
| James Fontanelli | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Tristan Gerra | Baird |