Nova Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 2/6
Nova has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 23.3%, while the Semiconductor industry saw earnings growing at 0.9% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 17.5% per year. Nova's return on equity is 18.5%, and it has net margins of 28.8%.
Key information
23.34%
Earnings growth rate
21.76%
EPS growth rate
| Semiconductor Industry Growth | 27.66% |
| Revenue growth rate | 17.50% |
| Return on equity | 18.45% |
| Net Margin | 28.84% |
| Last Earnings Update | 30 Jun 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Aug 07
NVMI: Advanced Packaging And Hybrid Bonding Momentum Will Drive Future Cash Generation
The analyst price target for Nova is revised from $597.63 to $574.50 as analysts weigh slightly higher modeled growth and margins against a lower future P/E assumption and recent Street target adjustments clustered around $600. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Nova clusters around price targets in the high US$500s to US$600 range, with most adjustments tied to how analysts view the company’s growth drivers, margin profile, and current valuation multiples.
Narrative Update • Jul 24
NVMI: Advanced Packaging And Memory Upside Will Drive Future Upswing
The analyst fair value estimate for Nova has been raised from $500 to $640. This reflects higher Street price targets around $595 to $640 and analyst views that Q1 execution, stronger Memory and advanced packaging trends, and leverage to advanced logic justify using a richer future P/E assumption, despite a slightly higher discount rate and marginally lower profit margin outlook.
Narrative Update • Jul 10
NVMI: Advanced Logic And Memory Exposure Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Nova stock from $335.00 to about $544.73, citing higher price targets across the Street, supported by Q1 strength, improving margins, and what they see as company specific growth drivers in advanced logic, memory, and packaging. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Nova points to broad support for the stock at higher levels, with several firms lifting price targets into the US$594 to US$640 range following the Q1 earnings release.Seeking Alpha • Jul 03
Nova Ltd.: Will Likely Ride The AI Wave Higher, So Keep Holding
Summary Nova Ltd. remains a strong AI-levered semiconductor metrology play, but its current valuation appears stretched with a forward PE of over 44x. Recent revenue growth is robust, driven by advanced memory demand and advanced packaging, yet margin improvement has plateaued over the last year. NVMI's financial position is excellent, boasting $1.67B in liquid assets and no long-term debt, supporting operational flexibility. I am cautious on adding NVMI at current multiples; holding or trimming positions is prudent amid AI-driven market volatility. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Jun 25
NVMI: Advanced Packaging And Hybrid Bonding Momentum Will Shape Future Cash Generation
Analysts have raised their average price target on Nova to about $598, a move toward the recent $600+ targets from several firms that is supported by strong Q1 execution, higher expectations around advanced DRAM and logic investments, and faster than expected traction in hybrid bonding and advanced packaging. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Nova highlights a clear skew toward higher valuation frameworks after the Q1 report, with several firms lifting price targets into the high US$500s and low US$600s.Analysis Article • Jun 18
Nova (NVMI) Stock Could Be 7% Below Fair Value After Semiconductor Pullback
Nova (NasdaqGS:NVMI) stock was hit by a sector wide pullback after survey data flagged semiconductors as the most crowded trade, prompting some investors to trim positions despite the company’s recent strong quarterly update. See our latest analysis for Nova. Even after the recent sector driven pullback, Nova’s 30 day share price return of 13.90% and year to date share price return of 59.62% point to strong momentum, supported by a 1 year total shareholder return of 138.92% and very large 3...Narrative Update • Jun 06
NVMI: Advanced Packaging And Metrology Intensity Will Shape Future Cash Generation
Analysts have lifted the central price target for Nova to about $598 from roughly $497, citing stronger expectations around revenue growth, profit margins, and higher future P/E multiples supported by recent Q1 upside, advanced packaging momentum, and ongoing investment from key chip customers. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a clear reset higher in valuation assumptions for Nova, with several firms lifting price targets into the US$590 to US$640 range after the Q1 report.Narrative Update • May 14
NVMI: Metrology Intensity And WFE Spending Will Shape Future Cash Generation
The analyst price target for Nova is updated to $497.25, reflecting ongoing interest in the stock as analysts highlight multiple potential growth avenues in metrology tools and recent upward revisions to Street targets related to wafer fab equipment spending. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Nova focuses on how the company is positioned within metrology tools and wafer fab equipment exposure, and how that setup ties back to valuation and execution risk.Narrative Update • Apr 25
NVMI: Metrology Intensity And WFE Cycles Will Shape Future Free Cash Flow
Analysts have lifted their average price target for Nova to around the high $400s, citing multiple avenues of growth in metrology tools across both front and back-end wafer fab equipment as a key support for this shift. Analyst Commentary Recent research notes highlight a generally constructive stance on Nova, with price targets clustered in the mid to high US$400s and a focus on how the company executes against growing metrology needs across wafer fabrication.Narrative Update • Apr 07
NVMI: Metrology Intensity And WFE Spend Will Support Future Free Cash Flow
Nova's analyst price targets have moved higher, with several firms lifting their views into the $450 to $465 range as analysts point to multiple growth avenues in metrology and broader wafer fab equipment spending. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity around Nova clusters around two main themes: growth tied to more metrology-intensive chipmaking, and how fully that growth is already reflected in the share price.Narrative Update • Mar 24
NVMI: Metrology Intensity And Wafer Fab Spending Will Shape Future Free Cash Flow
Nova's updated analyst price target has edged down by about $5 to $497.25, as analysts factor in slightly refined assumptions on fair value, discount rate, and future P/E, while still highlighting the company’s multiple avenues of growth in metrology across both front and back-end wafer fab equipment spending. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Nova points to a generally constructive setup, with analysts focusing on how the business lines up with wafer fab equipment spending, execution history, and the balance between upside potential and execution risk.Narrative Update • Mar 07
NVMI: Multi Year Metrology Demand Visibility Will Shape Future Free Cash Flow
NOVA’s analyst price target has moved higher into the low $450s, with firms citing in-line earnings, steady wafer fab equipment guidance and improving multi-year demand visibility as key reasons for the reset. Analyst Commentary Recent research reflects a cluster of higher price targets for Nova into the low US$450 range, with analysts largely focused on execution against wafer fab equipment trends and the durability of multi-year demand.Narrative Update • Feb 19
NVMI: Multi Year Metrology Demand And Execution Risks Will Shape Future Free Cash Flow
Analysts have raised their implied fair value estimate for Nova by about $108 to approximately $502 per share, citing updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple that is supported by a wave of recent price target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has clustered around higher price targets for Nova, with several firms lifting their valuation ranges and reiterating generally neutral to positive stances on the stock.Narrative Update • Feb 05
NVMI: Stronger Demand Visibility And Diversified Customers Will Support Future Free Cash Flow
Analysts have raised their price target on Nova to $450 from $380, citing stronger multi year demand visibility, broader customer diversification, and the potential for higher free cash flow generation as key supports for the higher valuation range. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a more constructive stance on Nova, with the new US$450 price target framed around what bullish analysts see as clearer demand trends, a broader customer mix, and the potential for stronger free cash flow over the next cycle.New Narrative • Feb 04
Advanced Packaging And AI Metrology Demand Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook
Catalysts About Nova Nova supplies process control and metrology tools that help semiconductor manufacturers improve yields in advanced logic, memory and packaging. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Jan 21
NVMI: Rising Multi Year Demand Expectations Will Likely Outrun Fundamentals
Narrative Update on Nova Analysts have raised their price target on Nova to $450 from $380, citing expectations of stronger multi-year demand, improving visibility, broader customer exposure and the potential for higher free cash flow in an upturn. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see the higher price target as a reflection of what they view as improving fundamentals around demand visibility, customer mix and potential cash generation, all of which they factor into their updated valuation work.Narrative Update • Jan 06
NVMI: DRAM And AI Momentum Will Face Elevated 2026 WFE Expectations
Narrative Update on Nova The updated analyst price target for Nova moves from about $361 to roughly $369, as analysts factor in a slightly higher profit margin outlook, a modestly lower future P/E, and feedback from recent industry meetings that point to improving DRAM fab investment and AI computing positioning, while also flagging that 2026 WFE expectations already look high. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Nova centers on higher long term expectations for its role in DRAM and AI related spend, balanced against concerns that wafer fab equipment, or WFE, forecasts for 2026 may already be demanding.Narrative Update • Dec 15
NVMI: Rising DRAM Fab Spending Will Strengthen Future AI Computing Position
Analysts have raised their price target on Nova to $390 from $300, citing improved visibility into DRAM fab investment, stronger positioning in AI computing, and slightly better long-term profitability despite modestly lower growth and a marginally higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Nova highlight a constructive outlook on the company’s positioning in memory and AI end markets, while also flagging areas of execution and cycle risk that could influence how the new valuation framework plays out.Narrative Update • Dec 01
NVMI: Increased DRAM Fab Spending Will Strengthen Upcoming AI Market Position
Nova's analyst price target has been raised from $300 to $390. This change reflects an improved outlook and increased optimism among analysts following recent industry discussions and signs of stronger demand in the AI and DRAM sectors.Narrative Update • Nov 17
NVMI: DRAM Investment Momentum Will Drive AI Market Leadership Ahead
Analysts have raised Nova's fair value estimate from $321.67 to $365.83, citing improved outlooks for DRAM investment as well as stronger positioning in AI computing technologies. Analyst Commentary Recent street research highlights notable shifts in sentiment toward Nova, with optimism focused on its enhanced position in the AI computing market and a more promising environment for DRAM investment.Analysis Article • Nov 04
Returns On Capital Are A Standout For Nova (NASDAQ:NVMI)
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Amongst other things, we'll want...Narrative Update • Nov 02
NVMI: DRAM Fab Investment Trends And AI Demand Will Shape Future Performance
Analysts have raised their price target for Nova from $300 to $390, citing optimism due to improved trends in DRAM fab investment and stronger positioning in AI computing following recent industry discussions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have identified several factors supporting Nova's upward price target revision and positive growth outlook.Narrative Update • Oct 18
Global Digitization Trends Will Fuel Advanced Metrology Adoption
Narrative Update: Nova Price Target Revision Analysts have raised Nova's fair value estimate from $306.67 to $321.67, citing improved near-term demand in semiconductor markets and stronger positioning in AI computing as key drivers of the higher outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from Street research highlight both supportive and cautious perspectives regarding Nova's latest price target revision.Narrative Update • Oct 04
Global Digitization Trends Will Fuel Advanced Metrology Adoption
Nova's fair value price target has been raised by analysts from $298.33 to $306.67. This change reflects updated expectations on company performance and refined market assumptions.Analysis Article • Oct 02
Nova Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:NVMI) Shares Climb 26% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up
Nova Ltd. ( NASDAQ:NVMI ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a...Narrative Update • Aug 08
Global Digitization Trends Will Fuel Advanced Metrology Adoption
Driven by stronger adoption of materials metrology solutions, increased leading-edge WFE demand, and ongoing market share gains, Nova’s consensus analyst price target has been raised from $274 to $290. Analyst Commentary Leverage to leading-edge technology driving upside potential Increased adoption of Materials Metrology solutions Strong wafer fab equipment (WFE) demand, particularly in leading-edge segments Ongoing market share gains in dimensional and chemicals segments Greenfield expansion supporting growth in Materials Metrology What's in the News Nova Ltd.Seeking Alpha • Nov 19
Nova: A New Trend May Have Presented Itself
Summary The latest report came in strong, as did guidance, but the stock could not break out of the downward spiral it seems to be in. The charts suggest the stock may be able to find support that could power a turnaround given the past, but the stock would need to move lower first. Nova has a shot at a strong FY2025 in terms of the top and the bottom line, but there is some uncertainty associated with this outlook. Long Nova has its strengths, but one cannot set aside the way the stock has been going down, something likely to continue in the short term. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Nova makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 26 | 937 | 270 | 112 | 151 |
| 31 Mar 26 | 903 | 264 | 109 | 147 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 881 | 259 | 107 | 143 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 853 | 245 | 102 | 136 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 807 | 235 | 99 | 129 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 744 | 212 | 94 | 119 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 672 | 184 | 88 | 110 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 612 | 171 | 85 | 101 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 562 | 154 | 78 | 93 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 528 | 139 | 76 | 90 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 518 | 136 | 73 | 88 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 535 | 134 | 70 | 93 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 550 | 136 | 72 | 95 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 569 | 141 | 77 | 94 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 571 | 140 | 77 | 90 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 541 | 126 | 73 | 84 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 510 | 122 | 68 | 77 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 466 | 110 | 63 | 70 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 416 | 93 | 57 | 66 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 371 | 85 | 48 | 61 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 328 | 68 | 46 | 59 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 293 | 54 | 46 | 56 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 269 | 48 | 43 | 53 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 258 | 47 | 43 | 47 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 241 | 41 | 40 | 45 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 229 | 39 | 39 | 44 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 225 | 35 | 38 | 45 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 223 | 38 | 39 | 45 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 234 | 43 | 38 | 47 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 245 | 48 | 39 | 47 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 251 | 54 | 37 | 45 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 245 | 47 | 36 | 46 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 236 | 46 | 35 | 44 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 230 | 47 | 33 | 41 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 222 | 46 | 33 | 39 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 215 | 47 | 32 | 38 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 205 | 30 | 31 | 37 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 184 | 20 | 29 | 36 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 164 | 10 | 28 | 35 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 154 | 6 | 26 | 37 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 150 | 17 | 25 | 38 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 155 | 16 | 25 | 41 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 149 | 16 | 22 | 40 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 134 | 14 | 19 | 37 |
Quality Earnings: NVMI has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: NVMI's current net profit margins (28.8%) are lower than last year (29.1%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: NVMI's earnings have grown significantly by 23.3% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: NVMI's earnings growth over the past year (15.1%) is below its 5-year average (23.3% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: NVMI earnings growth over the past year (15.1%) did not outperform the Semiconductor industry 34.8%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: NVMI's Return on Equity (18.5%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/08/10 12:24 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/08/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Nova Ltd. is covered by 13 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Thomas O'Malley | Barclays |
| Michael Mani | BofA Global Research |
| Jonathan Dorsheimer | Canaccord Genuity |