ON Semiconductor Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 0/6
ON Semiconductor's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -5.1%, while the Semiconductor industry saw earnings growing at 3% annually. Revenues have been declining at an average rate of 0.6% per year. ON Semiconductor's return on equity is 7.9%, and it has net margins of 9.5%.
Key information
-5.08%
Earnings growth rate
-4.92%
EPS growth rate
| Semiconductor Industry Growth | 27.66% |
| Revenue growth rate | -0.57% |
| Return on equity | 7.87% |
| Net Margin | 9.46% |
| Last Earnings Update | 03 Apr 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 07
ON: 2026 Guidance And Buybacks Will Likely Reinforce Ongoing Overvaluation Risk
Analysts have raised their price target for ON Semiconductor from $56.00 to about $73.15, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News onsemi issued revenue guidance for the first quarter of 2026 in a range of $1,435 million to $1,535 million and diluted EPS guidance of $0.28 to $0.38 per share (company guidance).Seeking Alpha • May 06
ON Semiconductor: Overbought Ahead Of Slow Fundamental Recovery, Downgrade To Hold
Summary While ON's AI data center revenue may double in 2026, it remains a small portion of total revenues, with top-line impact from new design wins expected mainly from 2027 onward. Their FQ1'26 performance and the FQ2'26 guidance appear to be underwhelming as well, with the recent rally occurring overly fast and furious. ON's anticipated AI-driven growth prospects have already been priced into the premium P/E of 35.1x, beyond historical means while triggering a minimal margin of safety. While share repurchases may drive adj EPS growth, the stock has been overbought while offering a reduced upside potential to my long-term price target of $127.60. ON is downgraded to Hold after a +44% rally from the recent March 2026 bottom. Do not chase this rally over the cliff. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 21
ON: Buybacks And Analyst Day Will Likely Mask Ongoing Overvaluation Risk
Analysts have maintained their $56.00 price target for ON Semiconductor, with updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E helping to support this unchanged view. What's in the News Onsemi announced a design win with Sineng Electric, supplying its latest hybrid power integrated module using FS7 IGBT and EliteSiC technology for Sineng’s 430 kW liquid cooled energy storage systems and 320 kW utility scale solar string inverter (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Apr 07
ON: Buybacks And Energy Storage Wins Will Shape Fairly Balanced Outlook
Analysts have made only a small adjustment to their price target for ON Semiconductor, now implying fair value of about $68.28 per share compared with the prior $68.20. This change reflects slightly higher expected profit margins along with a modestly lower future P/E assumption.Narrative Update • Mar 24
ON: Buybacks And Analyst Day Will Likely Temper Fairly Balanced Outlook
Analysts are maintaining their $56.00 price target on ON Semiconductor, citing updated assumptions that now reflect neutral changes to revenue growth at 7.15%, profit margin at 22.40%, the discount rate at 11.11%, and a forward P/E of 15.34x. What's in the News onsemi plans an Analyst and Investor Day to outline updates on company strategy, growth initiatives, recent product developments, and its long term financial plan (company event) The company issued new earnings guidance for Q1 2026, expecting revenue between US$1,435 million and US$1,535 million and diluted EPS between US$0.28 and US$0.38 (company guidance) Between November 1, 2025 and February 4, 2026, onsemi repurchased 2,900,000 shares, about 0.72% of shares, for US$175.6 million under a buyback announced on November 18, 2025 (company filing) Between October 4, 2025 and December 31, 2025, onsemi repurchased 8,779,695 shares, about 2.17% of shares, for US$450.13 million.Narrative Update • Mar 09
ON: Future Auto Pipeline And Buyback Activity Will Likely Temper Expectations
Analysts have raised their price target on ON Semiconductor from $44.08 to $56.00, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates and future P/E that they believe more accurately reflect the company's current risk and return profile. What's in the News onsemi scheduled an Analyst and Investor Day to provide updates on its company strategy, growth initiatives, product pipeline and long term financial plan (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 23
ON: Buybacks And Automotive Partnerships Will Shape Fairly Balanced Prospects
Analysts have raised their price target for ON Semiconductor to $68.20 from $63.00, citing updated assumptions that include adjusted revenue growth, profit margin, discount rate, and forward P/E expectations. What's in the News ON Semiconductor completed a share repurchase of 2,900,000 shares, or 0.72% of shares, for US$175.6 million under the buyback announced on November 18, 2025.
Narrative Update • Feb 09
ON: GaN Cooperation And Buyback Plan Will Support A More Optimistic Outlook
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for ON Semiconductor from US$76.53 to US$78.63, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, a modestly stronger profit margin, a somewhat lower discount rate, and a similar future P/E multiple. What's in the News ON Semiconductor has been removed from the NASDAQ-100 Index, which may affect index fund ownership and trading activity in the shares (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 25
ON: Buybacks And Automotive Wins Will Shape Balanced Prospects Ahead
Analysts have lifted their price target for ON Semiconductor to US$63.00 from US$58.70, citing updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E that collectively support a higher fair value estimate. What's in the News ON Semiconductor has been removed from the NASDAQ-100 Index, which can affect index-linked fund ownership and trading volumes for the stock.Narrative Update • Jan 11
ON: Future GaN Partnership Will Support A More Optimistic Outlook
The analyst price target for ON Semiconductor has moved from US$70.00 to about US$76.53. Analysts point to updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates and future P/E to support the new view.Narrative Update • Dec 27
ON: Future GaN And Buyback Tailwinds Will Likely Disappoint Expectations
Narrative Update on Analyst Price Target for ON Semiconductor Analysts have modestly raised their price target for ON Semiconductor by approximately $0.86, reflecting slightly higher expectations for fair value, revenue growth, profit margins, and future earnings multiples. What's in the News ON Semiconductor was removed from the NASDAQ 100 Index, potentially affecting index fund ownership and trading dynamics (Index Constituent Drops).Narrative Update • Dec 13
ON: Higher GaN Expectations Will Likely Fail To Justify Current Price
Narrative Update Analysts have nudged their price target on ON Semiconductor higher to approximately 43.22 dollars from about 42.50 dollars, citing upgraded expectations for revenue growth, improved profit margins, and a slightly lower future price to earnings multiple, despite a modestly higher discount rate. What's in the News Extended strategic engagement with FORVIA HELLA, which will adopt onsemi PowerTrench T10 MOSFET technology across advanced automotive platforms, supporting higher efficiency and power density in a long term supply agreement (client announcement) Entered a strategic cooperation with InnoScience to combine InnoScience 8 inch GaN on silicon process with onsemi system packaging expertise, targeting rapid GaN adoption in EVs, AI, data centers, and industrial markets, with expected GaN sales of hundreds of millions of dollars (strategic alliance) Authorized a new share repurchase program of up to 6 billion dollars, valid through December 31, 2028, as part of an active capital return strategy (buyback transaction announcement) Updated fourth quarter 2025 guidance, projecting revenue of 1.48 to 1.58 billion dollars and diluted EPS of 0.56 to 0.66 dollars (corporate guidance) Announced that Teledyne Technologies selected the Treo 65nm analog and mixed signal platform for next generation infrared imaging ROICs, reinforcing onsemi role in aerospace and defense and leveraging its East Fishkill, NY trusted facility (client announcement) Valuation Changes Fair Value: increased slightly from approximately 42.50 dollars to about 43.22 dollars per share.Narrative Update • Nov 27
ON: Share Repurchases Will Drive Bullish Momentum Over The Next Year
Analysts have slightly increased their price target for ON Semiconductor from $58.67 to $58.70, citing optimism around improving revenue growth projections. This change comes despite minor adjustments in profitability estimates.Narrative Update • Nov 06
ON: Share Buybacks And Revenue Outlook Will Drive Upside Potential
Analysts have raised their price target for ON Semiconductor from $57.53 to $58.67. This reflects improved revenue growth expectations, despite a slightly increased discount rate and a modest decline in anticipated profit margin.Analysis Article • Aug 06
ON Semiconductor Corporation Just Missed EPS By 14%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
NasdaqGS:ON 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore ON Semiconductor's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...Analysis Article • Jul 25
We Think ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ:ON) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • May 20
Investors Appear Satisfied With ON Semiconductor Corporation's (NASDAQ:ON) Prospects As Shares Rocket 27%
ON Semiconductor Corporation ( NASDAQ:ON ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced...Analysis Article • May 15
ON Semiconductor's (NASDAQ:ON) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture
Shareholders appeared unconcerned with ON Semiconductor Corporation's ( NASDAQ:ON ) lackluster earnings report last...Seeking Alpha • Mar 04
ON Semiconductor: More Pain Ahead, Pending Growth Catalysts
Summary As highlighted by numerous analog market players, ON is likely to face further recovery headwinds, as similarly observed in its FQ4'24 miss and underwhelming FQ1'25 guidance. Combined with the heightened inventory levels and deteriorating gross profit margins, it is unsurprising that the stock has been sold off as it has. As observed during the worst PC demand destruction in 2022 and the memory chip inventory glut in 2023, the analog chip market bottoming is unlikely to occur anytime soon. With the recent JFET acquisition only expected to yield a $1.3B in data center addressable market, ON's prospects remain mixed, worsened by the potential impact of increased import tariffs on its bottom lines. With our historical Buy ratings failing to perform as expected and the stock charting lower lows/ highs, it remains to be seen when we may see a floor materialize. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 06
ON Semiconductor: The Market's Overreaction Is Your Opportunity, Q4 Earnings Preview
Summary ON Semiconductor's recent market struggles mask its long-term potential, driven by its strategic moves in silicon carbide (SiC) and vertical integration. The company's acquisition of Qorvo’s SiC JFET business and its self-sufficiency in SiC production provide a competitive edge amid supply chain uncertainties. Despite short-term volatility and inconsistent earnings, ON's focus on SiC technology and partnerships like Volkswagen signal strong growth potential in EV and industrial markets. Valuation metrics suggest a contrarian buying opportunity, with projected EPS growth and cash flow performance indicating a potential 15-20% annual compounding through 2030. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 30
ON Semiconductor: Cyclical Buy, Unaffected By DeepSeek
Summary ON Semiconductor (onsemi) is a Buy due to its attractive valuation, strong long-term growth potential, and plans to return 50% of FCF to shareholders. The company focuses on power management and sensing technologies, serving automotive and industrial markets, which are less affected by AI chip demand fluctuations. Despite current cyclical downturns, onsemi's investments in capacity expansion are behind, setting the stage for significant free cash flow growth and share repurchases. Near-term risks include continued demand weakness and a downtrending stock chart, but longer-term prospects remain promising, with upside potential of nearly 40% in two years. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 16
ON Semiconductor: Slow Recovery But A Long Opportunity
Summary ON Semiconductor is currently undervalued and will face a slow recovery in 2025. I currently consider the company as a hold, but a potential attractive opportunity for long-term investors. ON's strategic position in its end-markets makes the company a possible industry leader in the Silicon Carbide chip-making business. The company's strong financials and cost optimization strategies will improve the profitability of the business. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 13
ON Semiconductor: Operational Leverage Awaits Market Recovery
Summary ON Semiconductor appears undervalued due to its exposure to the SiC market and superior supply chain management, despite weak current demand and low fab utilization. Automotive chip companies thrived during the pandemic due to chip scarcity but are now facing challenges from prolonged inventory digestion. Valuation analysis suggests ON Semiconductor offers better value compared to peers, with potential upside if market conditions improve and utilization rates increase. I rate ON Semiconductor as a hold, awaiting signs of market rebound or stronger demand, with a potential re-rating if the stock price falls below $60. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 02
ON Semiconductor Q3: Remain Soft In Automotive And Industrial
Summary I reiterate a “Strong Buy” rating for ON Semiconductor Corporation with a one-year target price of $120 per share, despite current market challenges. ON Semiconductor faces a downcycle with a 19.2% revenue decline and 37.3% drop in adjusted operating profits due to weak end-market demands. Long-term recovery is expected, driven by electrification trends and growth in the SiC market, with a forecasted 10% annual revenue growth from FY25 onwards. Key risks include volatility in the Chinese automotive market and pricing pressures from inventory destocking activities among smaller competitors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 28
ON Semiconductor: Pretty Impressive Performance For A Down Cycle
Summary ON Semiconductor Corporation was one of the first to forecast a slowdown in demand, allowing it to quickly adjust its factory utilization rates, helping it control costs. Q3 results show stable revenue (on a sequential basis) despite being down YoY, reinforcing projections of an L-shaped recovery. OnSemi's investment in SiC technology has positioned it as a market leader, especially in EV power applications. OnSemi's low valuation and strategic position in SiC and imaging solutions provide growth potential despite short-term cyclical challenges. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 06
ON Semiconductor: Growth Story Remains Compelling, Thanks To Overly Discounted PEG Ratio
Summary ON's automotive prospects remain bright, attributed to its multi-year LTSAs and diversified offerings across ICE/ Hybrid/ EV platforms. The management already hints at demand stabilization, with demand inflection likely to occur in the second half of the decade. This is attributed to the government's intensified charging investments, the launch of mass-market EV models, and the lower borrowing costs as the Fed pivots. With ON still extremely cheap at FWD PEG non-GAAP ratio of 0.84x while being well positioned to weather the near-term uncertainty, we believe that it remains a compelling Buy. If anything, the second round of EV boom in China from H2'24 onwards may potentially bridge the gap, prior to the second wave of global EV adoption in 2026. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How ON Semiconductor makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr 26 | 6,063 | 574 | 599 | 564 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 5,995 | 121 | 599 | 584 |
| 03 Oct 25 | 6,188 | 319 | 619 | 605 |
| 04 Jul 25 | 6,399 | 466 | 633 | 614 |
| 04 Apr 25 | 6,665 | 634 | 632 | 627 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 7,082 | 1,573 | 644 | 613 |
| 27 Sep 24 | 7,378 | 1,756 | 645 | 608 |
| 28 Jun 24 | 7,797 | 1,937 | 663 | 600 |
| 29 Mar 24 | 8,156 | 2,175 | 669 | 589 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 8,253 | 2,184 | 652 | 577 |
| 29 Sep 23 | 8,339 | 2,225 | 634 | 564 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 8,350 | 1,955 | 610 | 566 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 8,341 | 1,834 | 607 | 582 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 8,326 | 1,902 | 617 | 600 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 8,069 | 1,724 | 590 | 624 |
| 01 Jul 22 | 7,618 | 1,722 | 579 | 634 |
| 01 Apr 22 | 7,203 | 1,450 | 572 | 638 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 6,740 | 1,010 | 575 | 655 |
| 01 Oct 21 | 6,340 | 673 | 579 | 654 |
| 02 Jul 21 | 5,915 | 524 | 562 | 656 |
| 02 Apr 21 | 5,459 | 338 | 542 | 646 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 5,255 | 234 | 538 | 643 |
| 02 Oct 20 | 5,211 | 202 | 563 | 653 |
| 03 Jul 20 | 5,275 | -20 | 578 | 669 |
| 03 Apr 20 | 5,409 | 84 | 598 | 660 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 5,518 | 212 | 600 | 641 |
| 27 Sep 19 | 5,619 | 321 | 601 | 634 |
| 28 Jun 19 | 5,779 | 548 | 615 | 627 |
| 29 Mar 19 | 5,887 | 602 | 624 | 647 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 5,878 | 627 | 622 | 651 |
| 28 Sep 18 | 5,753 | 992 | 615 | 647 |
| 29 Jun 18 | 5,602 | 934 | 605 | 631 |
| 30 Mar 18 | 5,484 | 872 | 605 | 610 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 5,543 | 811 | 602 | 595 |
| 29 Sep 17 | 5,427 | 392 | 576 | 577 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 4,987 | 293 | 553 | 537 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 4,526 | 224 | 496 | 494 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 3,907 | 182 | 453 | 447 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 3,486 | 125 | 411 | 404 |
| 01 Jul 16 | 3,440 | 162 | 388 | 397 |
| 01 Apr 16 | 3,442 | 187 | 380 | 394 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 3,496 | 206 | 387 | 397 |
| 02 Oct 15 | 3,520 | 152 | 396 | 417 |
| 03 Jul 15 | 3,449 | 146 | 390 | 405 |
Quality Earnings: ON has a large one-off loss of $769.8M impacting its last 12 months of financial results to 3rd April, 2026.
Growing Profit Margin: ON's current net profit margins (9.5%) are lower than last year (9.7%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: ON's earnings have declined by 5.1% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: ON's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: ON had negative earnings growth (-10.9%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Semiconductor industry average (10.6%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: ON's Return on Equity (7.9%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 17:34 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/04/03 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
ON Semiconductor Corporation is covered by 47 analysts. 30 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Tristan Gerra | Baird |
| Thomas O'Malley | Barclays |
| Ruben Roy | Benchmark Company |