Penguin Solutions Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Penguin Solutions is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 80.4% and 17.5% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 78.5% per annum.
Key information
80.4%
Earnings growth rate
78.52%
EPS growth rate
| Semiconductor earnings growth | 27.4% |
| Revenue growth rate | 17.5% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 28 Jun 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 23
PENG: FY26 Guidance And AI Infrastructure Focus Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Penguin Solutions' analyst price target has moved from about $34 to $66, with analysts pointing to updated FY26 guidance and stronger expectations around integrated memory and AI infrastructure demand as key drivers behind the higher valuation assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Penguin Solutions points to a cluster of bullish reactions around the company’s updated FY26 guidance and its positioning in integrated memory and AI infrastructure.Analysis Article • Jun 21
Penguin Solutions (PENG) Stock Could Be 75% Overvalued Despite AI Infrastructure Momentum
Penguin Solutions (PENG) has drawn investor attention after rebranding from SMART Global Holdings. The company has shifted its identity while continuing to operate across advanced computing, integrated memory, and LED segments that collectively generated revenue of about US$1.35b. See our latest analysis for Penguin Solutions. The recent rebrand has been accompanied by sharp share price momentum, with a 1-day share price return of 12.52% and a 30-day share price return of 26.20%. Over longer...
Narrative Update • Jun 08
PENG: Raised Guidance And CFO Transition Will Pressure Overextended AI Hype
The analyst price target for Penguin Solutions has been raised by $3, with analysts pointing to updated longer term guidance and their expectations for stronger AI infrastructure and integrated memory demand as key supports for higher fair value, higher revenue growth, and a higher profit margin in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a mix of optimism around Penguin Solutions' AI infrastructure and integrated memory businesses, alongside more cautious views that focus on execution and valuation risk.Seeking Alpha • Jun 01
Penguin Solutions: A Great Run, But The Easy Money Has Been Made (Downgrade)
Summary Penguin Solutions, Inc. has delivered a ~190% share price gain since my Buy recommendation. PENG's transition to AI infrastructure and strong memory demand have driven significant outperformance versus the S&P 500. I identified a single-digit non-GAAP valuation multiple and robust cash generation as key investment merits. PENG's low enterprise value and improving profitability provided downside protection during the thesis execution. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • May 25
PENG: AI Guidance And Execution Risks Will Restrain Future Upside
The analyst price target for Penguin Solutions has moved by about $9.60, with analysts pointing to updated fair value estimates, a slightly adjusted discount rate, modest tweaks to revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple to justify the change. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Penguin Solutions has been mixed, with some analysts lifting price targets and others trimming them or lowering ratings.Narrative Update • May 04
PENG: Higher Multiple And Mixed Guidance Will Challenge Bullish Expectations
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Penguin Solutions by $1 to $24, reflecting updated assumptions on growth, profitability and future P/E after a mix of recent price target increases and cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on Penguin Solutions has been mixed, with some firms adjusting price targets upward while others have taken a more cautious stance and reduced their targets.Narrative Update • Apr 20
PENG: Updated Guidance And AI Partnerships Will Shape Balanced Risk Profile
Penguin Solutions' analyst price target has moved modestly higher to approximately $28.71 from about $28.25, as analysts update their models around new revenue growth, margin, discount rate, and forward P/E assumptions following mixed target changes from firms raising and lowering their views. Analyst Commentary Street research around Penguin Solutions reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with some analysts lifting their targets by about $2 and others trimming by around $3.Analysis Article • Oct 18
Solid Earnings Reflect Penguin Solutions' (NASDAQ:PENG) Strength As A Business
Even though Penguin Solutions, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PENG ) posted strong earnings, investors appeared to be underwhelmed. We...Narrative Update • Oct 03
AI And Digital Transformation Will Drive Global Data Center Success
Peguin Solutions’ fair value price target has been raised from $27.13 to $28.25 per share. Analysts cite stronger memory demand, improved pricing, and early momentum in commercial and sovereign AI opportunities as key drivers behind their more optimistic outlook.Analysis Article • Jul 09
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Penguin Solutions, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PENG) Low P/S
With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x Penguin Solutions, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PENG ) may be sending very bullish...Analysis Article • Jun 12
Is There An Opportunity With Penguin Solutions, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PENG) 31% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Penguin Solutions' estimated fair value is US$29.64 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Penguin...Analysis Article • May 22
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Penguin Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:PENG)?
Penguin Solutions, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PENG ), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a...
New Narrative • May 02
Channel Partnerships And AI Deployments Will Open New Opportunities
Expanding channel partnerships and AI infrastructure focus positions Penguin Solutions well for future revenue growth and market capitalization.Analysis Article • Mar 28
Penguin Solutions, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PENG) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares
With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x Penguin Solutions, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PENG ) may be sending very bullish...Seeking Alpha • Jan 09
Penguin Solutions Earnings: Upgrading To Buy After Fiscal Q1 Surprise
Summary Penguin Solutions, formerly SMART Global, delivered strong Q1 2025 earnings, boosting its stock by over 15% and proving skeptics wrong. The company focuses on AI infrastructure and large-scale data center clusters, positioning itself well for future AI adoption. Despite expected revenue growth moderation in H2 2025, the company is likely to exceed Q2 2025 revenue estimates, supporting a 15x EPS valuation. With $270 million in net debt and lowered EPS guidance, PENG stock still has some risks worth keeping in mind. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Dec 16
Penguin Solutions (NASDAQ:PENG) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/31/2028 | 2,070 | N/A | 142 | 155 | 2 |
| 8/31/2027 | 1,856 | 132 | 126 | 137 | 6 |
| 8/31/2026 | 1,582 | 65 | 104 | 113 | 3 |
| 2/27/2026 | 1,348 | 38 | 99 | 108 | N/A |
| 11/28/2025 | 1,371 | 12 | 116 | 126 | N/A |
| 8/29/2025 | 1,369 | 15 | 100 | 109 | N/A |
| 5/30/2025 | 1,342 | -15 | 155 | 167 | N/A |
| 2/28/2025 | 1,318 | -9 | 141 | 154 | N/A |
| 11/29/2024 | 1,238 | -27 | 43 | 60 | N/A |
| 8/30/2024 | 1,171 | -44 | 58 | 77 | N/A |
| 5/31/2024 | 1,176 | 45 | 105 | 126 | N/A |
| 3/1/2024 | 1,220 | 20 | 58 | 87 | N/A |
| 12/1/2023 | 1,324 | 0 | 174 | 210 | N/A |
| 8/25/2023 | 1,441 | 8 | 65 | 104 | N/A |
| 5/26/2023 | 1,139 | -81 | 66 | 88 | N/A |
| 2/24/2023 | 1,257 | -37 | 64 | 84 | N/A |
| 11/25/2022 | 1,318 | -2 | 0 | 16 | N/A |
| 8/26/2022 | 1,396 | 22 | 85 | 105 | N/A |
| 5/27/2022 | 1,849 | 67 | 95 | 132 | N/A |
| 2/25/2022 | 1,825 | 36 | 112 | 145 | N/A |
| 11/26/2021 | 1,679 | 39 | 87 | 133 | N/A |
| 8/27/2021 | 1,056 | -43 | 137 | 153 | N/A |
| 5/28/2021 | 1,330 | 8 | 75 | 130 | N/A |
| 2/26/2021 | 1,174 | 16 | 37 | 95 | N/A |
| 11/27/2020 | 1,142 | 1 | 56 | 98 | N/A |
| 8/28/2020 | 1,122 | -1 | 55 | 87 | N/A |
| 5/29/2020 | 1,104 | -3 | 91 | 111 | N/A |
| 2/28/2020 | 1,058 | -2 | 121 | 144 | N/A |
| 11/29/2019 | 1,090 | 21 | N/A | 160 | N/A |
| 8/30/2019 | 1,212 | 51 | N/A | 170 | N/A |
| 5/31/2019 | 1,308 | 75 | N/A | 111 | N/A |
| 3/1/2019 | 1,407 | 105 | N/A | 93 | N/A |
| 11/30/2018 | 1,417 | 129 | N/A | 89 | N/A |
| 8/31/2018 | 1,289 | 119 | N/A | 68 | N/A |
| 5/25/2018 | 1,138 | 80 | N/A | 83 | N/A |
| 2/23/2018 | 1,009 | 56 | N/A | 64 | N/A |
| 11/24/2017 | 867 | 16 | N/A | 30 | N/A |
| 8/25/2017 | 761 | -8 | N/A | -1 | N/A |
| 5/26/2017 | 684 | 1 | N/A | -12 | N/A |
| 2/24/2017 | 627 | -8 | N/A | -27 | N/A |
| 11/25/2016 | 572 | -12 | N/A | 0 | N/A |
| 8/26/2016 | 534 | -20 | N/A | 15 | N/A |
| 2/26/2016 | 529 | -49 | N/A | 83 | N/A |
| 11/27/2015 | 580 | -49 | N/A | 30 | N/A |
| 8/28/2015 | 643 | -46 | N/A | 41 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: PENG's forecast earnings growth (80.4% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: PENG's earnings (80.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (18.4% per year).
High Growth Earnings: PENG's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: PENG's revenue (17.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (12.7% per year).
High Growth Revenue: PENG's revenue (17.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if PENG's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
Discover growth companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/05 02:39 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/02 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/02/27 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/08/29 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Penguin Solutions, Inc. is covered by 13 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Thomas O'Malley | Barclays |
| Rustam Kanga | Citizens JMP Securities, LLC |
| Shek Ho | Deutsche Bank |