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Onto Innovation Inc.NYSE:ONTO Stock Report

Market Cap US$14.6b
Share Price
US$299.55
US$280.71
6.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
1Y135.5%
7D-1.8%
Portfolio Value
View

Onto Innovation Inc.

NYSE:ONTO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$14.6b

Onto Innovation (ONTO) Stock Overview

Engages in the design, development, manufacture, and support of process control tools that perform macro-defect inspection and metrology in the United States, Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, China, Southeast Asia, Asia, and Europe. More details

ONTO fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation0/6
Future Growth4/6
Past Performance1/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends0/6

ONTO Community Fair Values

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Onto Innovation Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Onto Innovation
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$292.92
52 Week HighUS$316.00
52 Week LowUS$85.88
Beta1.47
1 Month Change35.91%
3 Month Change46.50%
1 Year Change135.49%
3 Year Change239.97%
5 Year Change373.75%
Change since IPO738.83%

Recent News & Updates

ONTO: HBM Agreements And Guidance Will Support Higher Long Term Earnings Power

Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Onto Innovation to $355 from $300, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple, supported by a series of recent price target increases and upgrades across firms such as B. Riley, Evercore ISI, Oppenheimer, Stifel, and Cantor Fitzgerald.

Why Onto Innovation Is A Still A Buy After More Than Doubling In 4 Years

Apr 19

Recent updates

ONTO: HBM Agreements And Guidance Will Support Higher Long Term Earnings Power

Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Onto Innovation to $355 from $300, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple, supported by a series of recent price target increases and upgrades across firms such as B. Riley, Evercore ISI, Oppenheimer, Stifel, and Cantor Fitzgerald.

Why Onto Innovation Is A Still A Buy After More Than Doubling In 4 Years

Apr 19

ONTO: HBM Demand And Advanced Packaging Progress Will Shape A Balanced Outlook

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Onto Innovation by about $15 to roughly $281. They cite a series of higher price targets across the Street, supported by expectations for steady revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple.

ONTO: HBM Demand And New Contracts Will Drive Stronger Earnings Power

Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Onto Innovation from $200 to $300, citing a series of recent price target increases tied to expectations for stronger revenue growth, high bandwidth memory related demand, and product momentum such as Dragonfly G5. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are clustering around higher fair value assumptions for Onto Innovation, with a series of price target increases and rating upgrades pointing to rising confidence in the company’s execution and exposure to high bandwidth memory demand.

ONTO: HBM Orders And 2026 Shift To Back End Tools Will Test Expectations

Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Onto Innovation to $220 from $160, citing higher price targets across Wall Street that reference expectations for stronger revenue, a large high bandwidth memory equipment agreement, and continued optimism about the product roadmap and margin outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Onto Innovation has centered on stronger high bandwidth memory exposure, a sizeable US$240m volume purchase agreement, and management's updated revenue commentary for the first half of 2026.

ONTO: High Bandwidth Memory Demand Will Drive A More Constructive Medium Term Outlook

Analysts have raised their blended price target for Onto Innovation from $237.86 to $265.71, citing stronger expected revenue growth, higher future P/E assumptions, and continued interest in high bandwidth memory orders and product developments as key reasons for the change. Analyst Commentary Bullish and more cautious analysts are largely aligned on Onto Innovation's exposure to high bandwidth memory and advanced packaging, but they are assigning different levels of confidence around how consistently management can translate that exposure into results and how much of that is already reflected in the share price.

ONTO: Higher Street Conviction Will Shape A Balanced Medium Term Outlook

The updated analyst price target for Onto Innovation moves from about $172 to roughly $238, as analysts generally point to higher Street targets in the $200 to $275 range, along with stronger confidence around the product roadmap, including progress on Dragonfly G5, while using a slightly lower discount rate and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Onto Innovation has centered on updated price targets in the roughly US$200 to US$275 range, shifts in ratings, and how the company is positioned around product execution, including Dragonfly G5, and broader semiconductor capital equipment trends.

ONTO: Elevated Expectations May Confront Rotation Toward Back End Equipment In 2026

Analysts have raised their price targets on Onto Innovation from $54 to $60, citing updated models that reflect slightly higher estimated revenue growth, modestly stronger profit margins, and a marginally lower assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Onto Innovation highlights both optimism around the business model and some emerging caution on how the stock is positioned within the broader semiconductor supply chain.

ONTO: Elevated Expectations May Clash With Memory Cycle And Order Volatility

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Onto Innovation from $90 to $160, citing higher assumed revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, and a richer future P/E multiple supported by recent price target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Onto Innovation has leaned supportive on the stock, with multiple firms adjusting their price targets higher and updating models following company events such as the Semilab International acquisition.

ONTO: Memory And Semilab Integration Will Shape Balanced Medium Term Outlook

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Onto Innovation to $172 from $157, citing higher assumed profit margins and a slightly richer future P/E multiple, supported by recent price target increases tied to high bandwidth memory exposure and the Semilab International acquisition. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Onto Innovation centers on its exposure to high bandwidth memory, the impact of the Semilab International acquisition, and how the stock is valued relative to peers.

ONTO: Semilab Acquisition Set To Drive Stronger Earnings Power Ahead

Onto Innovation's analyst price target has been raised from $160 to $200 per share, as analysts factor in stronger revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a modestly richer future earnings multiple supported by recent target hikes following the Semilab acquisition and an improving memory spending outlook. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have steadily raised their price targets on Onto Innovation in recent months, citing improving fundamentals, strategic execution, and leverage to a recovering memory cycle.

Onto Innovation Inc.'s (NYSE:ONTO) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 25% Share Price Bounce

Dec 23
Onto Innovation Inc.'s (NYSE:ONTO) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 25% Share Price Bounce

ONTO: Memory Upswing And Semilab Synergies Will Drive Balanced Medium Term Upside

Analysts have nudged their blended price target on Onto Innovation higher by a mid single digit percentage into the high $150s, reflecting growing confidence in upside from the Semilab acquisition, a strengthening memory and high bandwidth memory spending cycle, and the potential for multiple expansion as orders recover. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight a constructive setup for Onto Innovation, pointing to rising price targets as evidence that the Semilab acquisition, memory cycle tailwinds, and a potential rerating in the companys valuation multiple are not yet fully reflected in the share price.

ONTO: Memory Spending Rebound Will Drive Market Share Gains And Upside Potential

Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Onto Innovation from $149.38 to $157.00. They cite recent model updates driven by accelerating revenue growth expectations, improved profit margins, and optimism following strategic acquisitions and industry tailwinds.

ONTO: Memory Spending Upswing And Market Share Recovery Will Drive Fair Value Stability

Onto Innovation's analyst price target has risen significantly, climbing from a prior consensus of $115 to $145 to a range of $160 to $170, as analysts cite renewed confidence in the company's positioning for re-accelerating memory spending and improved growth prospects in the coming year. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst reports on Onto Innovation highlight a surge in optimism regarding the company’s positioning in the semiconductor sector.

Analysts Raise Onto Innovation Price Target Amid Growth Momentum and Market Share Recovery Efforts

Onto Innovation's analyst price target has increased from $136.25 to $149.38, as analysts cite expectations of industry order upside and renewed growth momentum in the company’s core markets. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from street research highlight both the positive momentum and the potential risks analysts see for Onto Innovation in the months ahead.

AI Packaging And Semilab Acquisition Will Drive Expansion

Analysts have raised Onto Innovation's fair value estimate slightly from $133.75 to $136.25 per share. They cite renewed optimism for accelerated growth and market share recovery, despite near-term challenges.

After Leaping 29% Onto Innovation Inc. (NYSE:ONTO) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

Oct 02
After Leaping 29% Onto Innovation Inc. (NYSE:ONTO) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

AI Packaging And Semilab Acquisition Will Drive Expansion

Analyst sentiment on Onto Innovation has turned more positive due to expectations of revenue acceleration, market share recovery, and strengthening end markets, resulting in a higher consensus price target of $133.75. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts expect growth to reaccelerate in the second half of 2026 despite near-term hurdles.

AI Packaging And Semilab Acquisition Will Drive Expansion

Analysts have lowered Onto Innovation’s price target from $134.62 to $126.88, citing near-term headwinds, reduced growth visibility, and the absence of positive catalysts ahead of the next-generation Dragonfly platform launch. Analyst Commentary Expectation of continued headwinds impacting Onto Innovation over the next 3-6 months.

Onto Innovation Inc.'s (NYSE:ONTO) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 65% Above Its Share Price

Jul 26
Onto Innovation Inc.'s (NYSE:ONTO) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 65% Above Its Share Price

Earnings Beat: Onto Innovation Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

May 10
Earnings Beat: Onto Innovation Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Onto Innovation: Explosive Growth, But No Bargain

Mar 13

Onto Innovation: Strong Demand From Advanced Packaging Customers

Dec 31

Shareholder Returns

ONTOUS SemiconductorUS Market
7D-1.8%-0.8%0.9%
1Y135.5%110.0%28.2%

Return vs Industry: ONTO exceeded the US Semiconductor industry which returned 110% over the past year.

Return vs Market: ONTO exceeded the US Market which returned 28.2% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is ONTO's price volatile compared to industry and market?
ONTO volatility
ONTO Average Weekly Movement9.1%
Semiconductor Industry Average Movement10.5%
Market Average Movement7.1%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.2%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: ONTO has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: ONTO's weekly volatility (9%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
19401,615Mike Plisinskiwww.ontoinnovation.com

Onto Innovation Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and support of process control tools that perform macro-defect inspection and metrology in the United States, Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, China, Southeast Asia, Asia, and Europe. The company offers lithography systems and process control analytical software; and automated and integrated metrology systems, silicon wafer all-surface inspection, macro defect inspection, automated defect classification and pattern analysis, yield analysis, opaque film metrology, 4D business, advanced packaging lithography, process control software, and yield management software products. It also provides process and yield management solutions, and device packaging and test facilities through standalone systems for optical metrology, macro-defect inspection, packaging lithography, and transparent and opaque thin film measurements.

Onto Innovation Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Onto Innovation's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
ONTO fundamental statistics
Market capUS$14.57b
Earnings (TTM)US$136.76m
Revenue (TTM)US$1.01b
106.5x
P/E Ratio
14.5x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
ONTO income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$1.01b
Cost of RevenueUS$456.53m
Gross ProfitUS$548.74m
Other ExpensesUS$411.98m
EarningsUS$136.76m

Last Reported Earnings

Jan 03, 2026

Next Earnings Date

May 05, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)2.75
Gross Margin54.59%
Net Profit Margin13.60%
Debt/Equity Ratio0%

How did ONTO perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/04 21:25
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/01 00:00
Earnings2026/01/03
Annual Earnings2026/01/03

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Onto Innovation Inc. is covered by 15 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ted MoreauBarrington Research Associates, Inc.
Craig EllisB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Christopher MuseCantor Fitzgerald & Co.