Adeia Inc.

NasdaqGS:ADEA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.8b

Adeia Valuation

Is ADEA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ADEA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

US$31.21
Fair Value
47.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: ADEA ($15.71) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($31.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ADEA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ADEA?

Key metric: As ADEA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ADEA. This is calculated by dividing ADEA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ADEA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.5x
EarningsUS$83.88m
Market CapUS$1.80b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ADEA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ADEA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.3x
PRGS Progress Software
39.5x50.20%US$2.0b
TDC Teradata
17.5x0.34%US$2.1b
RPD Rapid7
43x28.17%US$1.3b
ATEN A10 Networks
25.1x12.24%US$1.3b
ADEA Adeia
20.5x14.55%US$1.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ADEA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x) compared to the peer average (31.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ADEA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
XNET Xunlei
0.7xn/aUS$626.84m
HOLO MicroCloud Hologram
1.6xn/aUS$71.96m
NXTT Next Technology Holding
0.2xn/aUS$68.98m
YXT YXT.COM Group Holding
1.1xn/aUS$62.08m
ADEA 20.5xIndustry Avg. 35.8xNo. of Companies13PE020406080100+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ADEA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x) compared to the US Software industry average (35.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ADEA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ADEA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.5x
Fair PE Ratio28.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ADEA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ADEA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$15.71
US$20.67
+31.55%
21.76%US$27.00US$17.00n/a3
Oct ’26US$17.09
US$20.67
+20.93%
21.76%US$27.00US$17.00n/a3
Sep ’26US$15.04
US$20.67
+37.41%
21.76%US$27.00US$17.00n/a3
Aug ’26US$12.34
US$19.50
+58.02%
19.36%US$26.00US$17.00n/a4
Jul ’26US$14.18
US$19.50
+37.52%
19.36%US$26.00US$17.00n/a4
Jun ’26US$12.84
US$17.33
+34.99%
2.72%US$18.00US$17.00n/a3
May ’26US$12.36
US$17.33
+40.24%
2.72%US$18.00US$17.00n/a3
Apr ’26US$13.42
US$18.33
+36.61%
6.80%US$20.00US$17.00n/a3
Mar ’26US$15.72
US$18.33
+16.62%
6.80%US$20.00US$17.00n/a3
Feb ’26US$12.85
US$16.33
+27.11%
7.64%US$18.00US$15.00n/a3
Jan ’26US$13.98
US$16.33
+16.83%
7.64%US$18.00US$15.00n/a3
Dec ’25US$12.12
US$15.33
+26.51%
3.07%US$16.00US$15.00n/a3
Nov ’25US$12.47
US$15.00
+20.29%
5.44%US$16.00US$14.00n/a3
Oct ’25US$11.74
US$15.00
+27.77%
5.44%US$16.00US$14.00US$17.093
Sep ’25US$12.60
US$15.00
+19.05%
5.44%US$16.00US$14.00US$15.043
Aug ’25US$11.10
US$15.00
+35.14%
5.44%US$16.00US$14.00US$12.343
Jul ’25US$11.20
US$15.00
+33.93%
5.44%US$16.00US$14.00US$14.183
Jun ’25US$11.83
US$15.00
+26.80%
5.44%US$16.00US$14.00US$12.843
May ’25US$9.80
US$15.00
+53.06%
5.44%US$16.00US$14.00US$12.363
Apr ’25US$10.80
US$15.00
+38.89%
5.44%US$16.00US$14.00US$13.423
Mar ’25US$11.53
US$15.00
+30.10%
5.44%US$16.00US$14.00US$15.723
Dec ’24US$9.54
US$15.33
+60.73%
6.15%US$16.00US$14.00US$12.123
Nov ’24US$8.47
US$15.33
+81.03%
6.15%US$16.00US$14.00US$12.473
Oct ’24US$10.68
US$15.67
+46.69%
7.96%US$17.00US$14.00US$11.743
US$20.67
Fair Value
20.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/10/10 21:57
End of Day Share Price 2025/10/10 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Adeia Inc. is covered by 21 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christopher MuseBarclays
Ted MoreauBarrington Research Associates, Inc.
Gary MobleyBenchmark Company