Aeva Technologies, Inc.

NasdaqGS:AEVA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.0b

Aeva Technologies Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Aeva Technologies is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 34.3% and 52.8% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 38.6% per annum.

Key information

34.3%

Earnings growth rate

38.60%

EPS growth rate

Electronic earnings growth25.9%
Revenue growth rate52.8%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated15 Jul 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article • Jun 19

Aeva Technologies (AEVA) Stock Looks Fully Valued After Bendix Truck Safety Deal

Aeva Technologies (AEVA) stock is in focus after the company agreed to supply its 4D LiDAR sensors and perception software to Bendix for future active safety and collision mitigation systems in Class 8 trucks. See our latest analysis for Aeva Technologies. The Bendix agreement and recent CityOS deployment in Fargo come as Aeva Technologies trades at US$24.39, with a 30-day share price return of 28.37% and a 90-day share price return of 72.86%. The 1-year total shareholder return declined...
Seeking Alpha • Jun 05

Aeva: The Offering Confirms My Dilution Concern, But The Story Has Improved

Summary Aeva Technologies has improved its commercial story with OEM, NVIDIA, and SICK partnerships, moving beyond a pure tech hype narrative. The recent stock offering confirms the ongoing need for external capital, resulting in 7–8% dilution but strengthening the balance sheet amid elevated share prices. Q1 revenue rose to $6.3M, but core product revenue stagnated; profitability remains weak with a $25.8M non-GAAP operating loss. Valuation is stretched at 76.2x EV/Sales TTM, with the market pricing in significant future success despite financial proof still lacking. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 24

Aeva Technologies: More Promises, Limited Results For Now

Summary Aeva Technologies, Inc. soared after quarterly results and a major contract win, despite minimal revenue guidance and limited details on the new top 10 OEM customer. The Lidar company plans to scale manufacturing to 100K sensor units by year-end, indicating significant growth potential in 2026. The CEO highlighted the massive opportunity across multiple vehicle models, potentially matching the $1 billion-plus Daimler Truck program. AEVA stock is relatively cheap with a market cap of only $250 million and individual contract deals at multiples of this valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 06

Mobileye Abandons FMCW LiDAR, What It Means For Aeva

Summary Mobileye discontinues in-house FMCW LiDAR development, saving $55M annually, focusing on EyeQ6-based vision, imaging radar, and third-party ToF LiDAR for cost efficiency. Critics view the move as a setback for LiDAR, but Mobileye maintains its True Redundancy approach, integrating cameras, imaging radar, and third-party LiDAR. FMCW LiDAR's high costs and limited market adoption contrast with scalable, cost-effective ToF LiDAR, raising doubts about Aeva's market potential and financial sustainability. Aeva faces financial challenges, needing $240M to bridge the gap to profitability by 2028, with uncertainties in FMCW LiDAR's advantages over ToF technology. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 24

Aeva Technologies: Race Against Time

Summary Aeva Technologies announced Lidar deals but lacks financial results, causing concern about a weak balance sheet and potential shareholder dilution. The Lidar sector faces skepticism as companies announce deals with auto OEMs without ever generating significant revenues, while Elon Musk promotes a Lidar-free autonomous service. The stock has a limited market cap for the potential in Lidar, but the company has a lack of cash to avoid shareholder dilution. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 11

Aeva's Daimler Deal Amidst Revenue Reductions And Financial Challenges

Summary Aeva announces a win with Torc and Daimler Truck to supply its 4D LiDAR technology for autonomous trucks. The market reaction, while positive to the win, will reflect the challenges faced by other companies in turning production wins into revenue. Aeva's valuation may become untenable as it may take many years to realize due to the slow adoption of Level 4 autonomous trucks and the company's revenue expectations for the next three years. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 11

Aeva Technologies: On A Surprising Roll

Summary Aeva Technologies, Inc. announcing a big deal to integrate their Lidar sensors with Daimler Truck's autonomous trucks. The media has listed the deal at $1 billion, but the company is several years away from meaningful production ramps, and Aeva is still mostly a pre-revenue company. The stock has more upside after breaking back above $1, but Aeva Technologies, Inc. has had to raise additional capital to fund ongoing losses. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article • Dec 12

We Think Shareholders May Want To Consider A Review Of Aeva Technologies, Inc.'s (NYSE:AEVA) CEO Compensation Package

Key Insights Aeva Technologies will host its Annual General Meeting on 18th of December Salary of US$550.0k is part of...
Analysis Article • Oct 11

Is Aeva Technologies (NYSE:AEVA) In A Good Position To Invest In Growth?

We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although...
Seeking Alpha • Sep 07

Aeva Technologies: Strong Potential But Rich Valuation

Summary Aeva Technologies is expected to start generating significant revenues in 2024, but its current valuation is high at nearly 10x price-to-sales ratio. AEVA specializes in 4D LiDAR-on-chips technology, catering to industries such as automotive, industrial automation, and security. The company is working on increasing production and expanding into new markets, but it faces risks such as the need for additional capital and competition. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 05

Aeva Technologies: Market Needs More

Summary Aeva Technologies, Inc. still offers a lot of potential upside due to the market opportunity for Lidar sensors and the promise of a large Top-10 OEM deal. The company hasn't provided any material details on future order sizes and manufacturing capacity, leaving investors mostly in the dark. Aeva Technologies stock is cheap compared to the massive opportunity ahead, but the cash balance could quickly disappear, potentially requiring shareholder dilution capping upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article • Apr 20

Will Aeva Technologies (NYSE:AEVA) Spend Its Cash Wisely?

We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, biotech and mining...
Analysis Article • Dec 23

We Think Aeva Technologies (NYSE:AEVA) Needs To Drive Business Growth Carefully

Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:AEVA - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028216-111-88-843
12/31/202774-136-112-1074
12/31/202633-138-110-1054
3/31/202621-146-117-110N/A
12/31/202518-145-120-115N/A
9/30/202515-156-119-114N/A
6/30/202514-301-112-107N/A
3/31/202510-152-111-107N/A
12/31/20249-152-112-107N/A
9/30/20248-161-119-113N/A
6/30/20247-157-122-116N/A
3/31/20245-149-120-114N/A
12/31/20234-149-125-119N/A
9/30/20233-147-123-118N/A
6/30/20233-150-121-115N/A
3/31/20234-149-127-119N/A
12/31/20224-147-117-110N/A
9/30/20227-136-120-108N/A
6/30/20229-126-117-106N/A
3/31/202210-116-103-94N/A
12/31/20219-102-90-82N/A
9/30/20217-79-66-64N/A
6/30/20216-57-47-45N/A
3/31/20215-38-32-30N/A
12/31/20205-26-22-21N/A
9/30/20205-22-20-19N/A
12/31/20191-20N/A-16N/A
12/31/20180-11N/A-11N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AEVA is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: AEVA is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: AEVA is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: AEVA's revenue (52.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (12.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AEVA's revenue (52.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if AEVA's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/27 04:39
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/24 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Aeva Technologies, Inc. is covered by 6 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Tristan GerraBaird
George GianarikasCanaccord Genuity
Richard ShannonCraig-Hallum Capital Group LLC