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Updated 1h ago
HLIT logo

Harmonic Inc.NasdaqGS:HLIT Stock Report

Market Cap US$1.3b
Updated 1h ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y21.1%
7D1.9%
1D3.1%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Harmonic Inc.

NasdaqGS:HLIT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.3b

  • Company Overview
  • Valuation
  • Future Growth
  • Past Performance
  • Financial Health
  • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Harmonic (HLIT) Stock Overview

Provides broadband access solutions worldwide. More details

HLIT fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation1/6
Future Growth3/6
Past Performance2/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Trading at 15.9% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 32.62% per year

Risk Analysis

Profit margins (5.9%) are lower than last year (18.1%)


HLIT Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 24 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
21.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•3mo ago

Lifting Industry Headwinds Will Support Broader Demand and Market Momentum Ahead

314
0
17
AN
AnalystLowTarget
36.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•29d ago

Consolidation And Digital Shift Will Trigger Margin Erosion

34
0
0
AN
AnalystHighTarget
40.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•2mo ago

Streaming And Cloud Demand Will Expand Markets Despite Legacy Hurdles

27
0
0

Top Community Narratives

HLIT logo
Harmonic
Fairly Valued intrinsic discount

HLIT Market Outlook

View narrative
NA
NateF
Published 2 Jan 2025
Read Narrative

Top Community Narratives

HLIT logo
Harmonic
Fairly Valued intrinsic discount

HLIT Market Outlook

View narrative
NA
NateF
Published 2 Jan 2025
Read Narrative

Top Analyst Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
21.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•3mo ago

Lifting Industry Headwinds Will Support Broader Demand and Market Momentum Ahead

314
0
17
AN
AnalystLowTarget
36.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•29d ago

Consolidation And Digital Shift Will Trigger Margin Erosion

34
0
0
AN
AnalystHighTarget
40.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•2mo ago

Streaming And Cloud Demand Will Expand Markets Despite Legacy Hurdles

27
0
0
View all narratives

Harmonic Inc. Competitors

Ituran Location and Control

Symbol: NasdaqGS:ITRN
Market cap: US$1.0b

Calix

Symbol: NYSE:CALX
Market cap: US$2.2b

Extreme Networks

Symbol: NasdaqGS:EXTR
Market cap: US$2.8b

NetScout Systems

Symbol: NasdaqGS:NTCT
Market cap: US$2.7b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Harmonic
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$12.00
52 Week HighUS$17.68
52 Week LowUS$8.47
Beta1.32
1 Month Change0%
3 Month Change-19.62%
1 Year Change21.09%
3 Year Change23.58%
5 Year Change33.63%
Change since IPO66.23%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha • Aug 26

Harmonic: A Double Beat And Higher Guidance, Yet No Stock Reaction

Summary Harmonic delivered a 54% YoY Broadband revenue surge, double beat in Q2, and raised full-year guidance, yet shares remain flat. HLIT's margins are strengthening, with EBIT margin at 18.1% and management projecting a 4-5x profit increase for the year. Record broadband backlog and strong deployment cycle visibility support the thesis that 2026 marks a new growth phase, not just a rebound. I upgrade HLIT to Strong Buy because of improved fundamentals, attractive valuation, and a compelling risk/reward. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 13

HLIT: Future Multiple Compression Will Follow Backlog Execution And Broadband Momentum

Harmonic's updated analyst price target has moved higher, reflecting a range supported by recent Q2 beat-and-raise reports, stronger broadband growth, record backlog, and expectations for modest multiple expansion that analysts link to improved revenue visibility and customer diversification. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Harmonic point to a more constructive stance on the stock, with price targets moving higher following the Q2 beat and raise.

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Aug 26

Harmonic: A Double Beat And Higher Guidance, Yet No Stock Reaction

Summary Harmonic delivered a 54% YoY Broadband revenue surge, double beat in Q2, and raised full-year guidance, yet shares remain flat. HLIT's margins are strengthening, with EBIT margin at 18.1% and management projecting a 4-5x profit increase for the year. Record broadband backlog and strong deployment cycle visibility support the thesis that 2026 marks a new growth phase, not just a rebound. I upgrade HLIT to Strong Buy because of improved fundamentals, attractive valuation, and a compelling risk/reward. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 13

HLIT: Future Multiple Compression Will Follow Backlog Execution And Broadband Momentum

Harmonic's updated analyst price target has moved higher, reflecting a range supported by recent Q2 beat-and-raise reports, stronger broadband growth, record backlog, and expectations for modest multiple expansion that analysts link to improved revenue visibility and customer diversification. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Harmonic point to a more constructive stance on the stock, with price targets moving higher following the Q2 beat and raise.
Analysis Article • Jun 20

Harmonic (HLIT) Stock Could Be 1.3% Undervalued as Growth Narrative Builds

Recent Performance Snapshot Harmonic (HLIT) has drawn investor attention after a recent upswing in its share price, with the stock showing gains over the past week, month and past 3 months on a total return basis. This move comes against a backdrop of reported annual revenue of US$397.34 million and net income of US$8.495 million, figures that give investors a reference point when weighing the stock’s recent strength. See our latest analysis for Harmonic. Against this backdrop, Harmonic’s...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 19

HLIT: Broadband Refocus And Buybacks Will Drive Stronger Future Cash Returns

Harmonic’s latest narrative update reflects a higher blended analyst price target, with recent $1 to $5 upward revisions tied to analyst views on its unchanged $20.00 fair value framework, modestly adjusted discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and slightly lower future P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Harmonic clusters around higher price targets that anchor to the same US$20.00 fair value framework, with analysts adjusting inputs rather than changing the overall thesis.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 04

HLIT: Broadband Focus And Share Buybacks Will Support Stronger Future Cash Returns

Harmonic's fair value estimate has been raised from $17.00 to $20.00 as analysts factor in updated assumptions on revenue growth, profitability, discount rates and future P/E, following a series of higher price targets from firms including Northland, Needham, Rosenblatt, Barclays and Jefferies. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are clustering around higher price targets for Harmonic, with recent moves ranging from US$1 to US$5 increases across several research updates.
User avatar
Narrative Update • May 18

HLIT: Record Broadband Orders And Backlog Are Expected To Support Earnings

Analysts have lifted their average price target for Harmonic from $12.71 to $15.29, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profitability and future P/E along with recent price target increases from several firms following strong reported broadband orders. Analyst Commentary Recent price target increases cluster around similar themes, with most of the focus on Harmonic's broadband momentum and how that might feed into future execution and valuation.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 29

HLIT: Record Broadband Orders And 3.5x Book To Bill Will Support Earnings

Analysts have lifted their price target on Harmonic to $14 from $12.50, citing record Q4 broadband orders of $347m, with a 3.5x book to bill, as a key driver behind their updated view. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the record Q4 Broadband orders of $347m as a strong indicator of customer demand, which they see as supportive of the higher $14 target price.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 15

HLIT: Record Broadband Orders Will Support Stronger Profitability And Cash Returns

Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Harmonic to $17 from $15, citing recent Street research that includes a higher $14 price target. The updated target is tied to record $347 million in Broadband orders and a 3.5x book-to-bill ratio in the latest Q4 update.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 31

HLIT: Future Multiple Compression Will Follow Record Broadband Orders Momentum

Analysts have raised their price target on Harmonic to $14 from $12.50, citing record Q4 Broadband orders of $347m and a 3.5x book-to-bill ratio as key factors supporting their updated view. Analyst Commentary Street research points to a constructive view on Harmonic following the Q4 report, with the higher price target framed around record Broadband orders of US$347m and a 3.5x book to bill ratio.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 17

HLIT: Future Earnings Multiple Contraction Will Follow Peak Broadband Booking Momentum

Analysts have nudged their view on Harmonic higher, with a fresh $14 price target, up from $12.50. They cite record Q4 broadband orders of $347m and a book to bill of 3.5x as key supports for the updated outlook.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 03

HLIT: Record Broadband Orders Will Support Stronger Long Term Earnings Power

Analysts have raised their price target on Harmonic to $14 from $12.50, citing record Q4 broadband orders of $347 million and an improved long-term profit margin outlook. This comes even as they account for a much lower expected revenue growth rate and a higher future P/E assumption.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 17

HLIT: Broadband And Streaming Contracts Will Support Steady Long Term Prospects

Analysts have nudged their price target on Harmonic to $11.79, reflecting a slightly higher assumed discount rate and a modestly richer future P/E multiple in their models. What's in the News Czech Television, the public broadcaster of the Czech Republic, selected Harmonic's software-based XOS Advanced Media Processor to modernize its video streaming workflow, bringing transcoding in-house and aiming for higher control over streaming quality for millions of viewers (Key Developments).
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 03

HLIT: Broadband And Streaming Wins Will Support Stronger Long Term Demand

Analysts have kept their price target for Harmonic broadly steady around $11.79, with only small tweaks to assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. These adjustments help to fine tune their view rather than shift it in a big way.
Analysis Article • Jan 30

Harmonic (NASDAQ:HLIT) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Amongst other...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 20

HLIT: Future Earnings Multiple Contraction Will Outweigh Broadband And Streaming Wins

Analysts have raised their price target on Harmonic, citing updated assumptions that include a revised fair value of 8.0, adjustments to revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and a lower future P/E multiple of 6.42x compared with the previous 15.28x. What's in the News Czech Television is working with Harmonic to modernize its video streaming workflow using the XOS Advanced Media Processor, bringing transcoding in-house and using AI-powered EyeQ encoding for multi device delivery across mobile, web apps and HbbTV (Client announcement).
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 05

HLIT: Broadband And Streaming Wins Will Support Stronger Profitability Ahead

Analysts have lifted their price target on Harmonic from US$12.50 to US$15.00, citing updated assumptions that reflect higher modeled revenue growth, a stronger profit margin profile, a slightly lower discount rate, and a reduced future P/E multiple. What's in the News Czech Television selected Harmonic's XOS Advanced Media Processor to modernize its streaming workflow, bringing transcoding in-house, adding AI-powered EyeQ encoding and supporting mobile, web and HbbTV delivery for millions of viewers, with deployment supported by local partner Smart Informatics (Client announcement).
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 13

HLIT: Easing Broadband Headwinds Will Support Stronger Future Demand Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Harmonic by $3 to $14, citing improving industry conditions and the easing of prior headwinds following recent broadband sector insights. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts argue that the improved broadband demand backdrop should support a healthier order pipeline, justifying a higher valuation multiple on forward earnings.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 28

HLIT: Recent Industry Tailwinds Will Drive Confidence in Broadband Demand Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target for Harmonic, increasing it by $0.43. This reflects improved sentiment as several industry headwinds have recently eased.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 13

HLIT: Capital Deployment and Industry Developments Will Shape Outlook Amid Fading Headwinds

Analysts have raised their price target for Harmonic from $11.00 to $14.00, citing renewed confidence following industry events and the easing of earlier headwinds. Analyst Commentary Industry research following key broadband events has informed recent analyst perspectives on Harmonic's performance and outlook.
Analysis Article • Nov 12

Harmonic's (NASDAQ:HLIT) Conservative Accounting Might Explain Soft Earnings

Harmonic Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:HLIT ) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. While the headline numbers...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 29

Lifting Industry Headwinds Will Support Broader Demand and Market Momentum Ahead

Narrative Update on Harmonic: Price Target Adjustment Analysts have increased Harmonic's price target by $3, to $14 from $11, citing improved industry conditions and the resolution of earlier headwinds as key factors in their revised outlook. Analyst Commentary Analysts offered a range of perspectives on Harmonic following the recent price target adjustment.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 03

Global Broadband Upgrades Will Spur Lasting Market Expansion

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Harmonic from $10.07 to $10.50. This change reflects improved sentiment after headwinds in the company's results were seen to have eased.
Analysis Article • Jul 11

Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Harmonic (NASDAQ:HLIT)

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'll want...
Analysis Article • Jun 25

Why Harmonic Inc. (NASDAQ:HLIT) Could Be Worth Watching

Harmonic Inc. ( NASDAQ:HLIT ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over...
Analysis Article • Jun 10

Harmonic (NASDAQ:HLIT) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article • May 08

Harmonic's (NASDAQ:HLIT) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

The market for Harmonic Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:HLIT ) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. We think...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 17

Harmonic: Fundamentals And Upside Potential Are In Harmony

Summary Harmonic Inc. shows strong topline growth and market penetration, driven by innovation and strategic partnerships, making it a promising potential addition to my portfolio. The asset-light business model and high free cash flow enhance profitability and sustainability, with a low Net Debt/EBITDA ratio of 0.25x. Despite recent downtrends, HLIT stock is undervalued with significant upside potential, supported by P/E Ratio and DCF Model analyses indicating a TP of up to $17.30. Technical analysis suggests a potential rebound, with improved momentum and buying opportunities, recommending a buy rating with a take profit at $10.48 and stop loss at $7.57. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article • Apr 16

Harmonic Inc. (NASDAQ:HLIT) Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 27x Harmonic Inc. ( NASDAQ:HLIT ) may be sending very bearish signals at...
Analysis Article • Mar 17

Investors Will Want Harmonic's (NASDAQ:HLIT) Growth In ROCE To Persist

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. One common...
Seeking Alpha • Feb 25

Harmonic: Get Ready To Buy On Dips

Summary Harmonic's stock is rated a hold with a $12 price target due to near-term headwinds from the Unified DOCSIS 4.0 transition. Despite impressive 2024 earnings including record Q4 revenue and EPS growth, 2025 is expected to be a weaker year. The video segment is now profitable, with a promising partnership with Akamai poised to drive future growth. Investors should consider buying if the stock dips to $8 or below, as long-term prospects remain strong. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

HLITUS CommunicationsUS Market
7D1.9%-0.05%-2.2%
1Y21.1%47.4%13.1%

Return vs Industry: HLIT underperformed the US Communications industry which returned 47.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: HLIT exceeded the US Market which returned 13.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is HLIT's price volatile compared to industry and market?
HLIT volatility
HLIT Average Weekly Movement7.6%
Communications Industry Average Movement7.9%
Market Average Movement6.9%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.4%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: HLIT has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: HLIT's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
1988552Nimrod Ben-Natanwww.harmonicinc.com

Harmonic Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides broadband access solutions worldwide. The company provides software-based broadband access solution, including cOS software-based broadband access solutions to broadband operators, an end-to-end solution consisting of virtualized cloud-native software; hardware products include Oyster, Ripple and SeaStar DAA nodes; Reef and Wave PHY shelf products; pebble remote PHY Devices; and fin, pearl and pier OLT modules and devices; and cOS software-based broadband access solutions to broadband operators; and cOS central cloud services, a subscription service for cOS customers. It also provides technical support and professional services, such as maintenance and support, consulting, implementation, integration services, program management, technical design and planning, building and site preparation, integration and equipment installation, end-to-end system testing, and training, as well as SaaS-related support and deployment.

Harmonic Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Harmonic's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
HLIT fundamental statistics
Market capUS$1.27b
Earnings (TTM)US$26.40m
Revenue (TTM)US$443.88m
49.6x
P/E Ratio
2.9x
P/S Ratio

Is HLIT overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
HLIT income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$443.88m
Cost of RevenueUS$221.90m
Gross ProfitUS$221.98m
Other ExpensesUS$195.58m
EarningsUS$26.40m

Last Reported Earnings

Jul 03, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)0.24
Gross Margin50.01%
Net Profit Margin5.95%
Debt/Equity Ratio30.7%

How did HLIT perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/11 21:58
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/07/03
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Harmonic Inc. is covered by 18 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Amir RozwadowskiBarclays
Timothy LongBarclays
Tal LianiBofA Global Research

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