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Lottomatica Group S.p.A.BIT:LTMC Stock Report

Market Cap €5.8b
Share Price
€24.55
€29.82
17.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y17.7%
7D-3.3%
Portfolio Value
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Lottomatica Group S.p.A.

BIT:LTMC Stock Report

Market Cap: €5.8b

LTMC Community Fair Values

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Lottomatica Group S.p.A. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Lottomatica Group
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price€24.55
52 Week High€27.77
52 Week Low€18.66
Beta-0.074
1 Month Change-3.73%
3 Month Change15.69%
1 Year Change17.69%
3 Year Change185.76%
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO199.39%

Recent News & Updates

LTMC: Rising Street Confidence In 2026 Cash Returns Will Support Upside

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Lottomatica Group to €29.82 from €29.51, citing a series of recent price target increases across major banks as support for slightly higher growth, profitability and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent price target moves on Lottomatica Group cluster in the mid to high €20s, with one target at €33, which helps explain the modest uplift in the fair value estimate to €29.82.

LTMC: 2026 Guidance And Capital Returns Will Underpin Balanced Risk Reward

Analysts have nudged the average price target on Lottomatica Group higher to €29.51, a move of about €0.19, supported by a series of recent target increases and broadly positive research updates from major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates cluster around higher price targets for Lottomatica Group, with most covering banks adjusting their numbers upward and one trimming its view before later nudging it higher again.

LTMC: Updated 2026 Guidance And Capital Returns Will Support Further Upside

Analysts have nudged the average price target for Lottomatica Group higher to around €29, reflecting a series of modest target lifts to €26.40, €29 and €33, supported by updated assumptions around discount rates and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Lottomatica Group centers on a cluster of small price target revisions, with most analysts keeping positive ratings while fine tuning their assumptions.

LTMC: Higher Fair Value And 2026 Dividend Outlook Will Support Upside

Analysts have raised their implied fair value estimate for Lottomatica Group from about €28.44 to roughly €29.32. This reflects updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and forward P/E that are in line with recent Street price target increases to €26.40, €29 and €33.

Recent updates

LTMC: Rising Street Confidence In 2026 Cash Returns Will Support Upside

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Lottomatica Group to €29.82 from €29.51, citing a series of recent price target increases across major banks as support for slightly higher growth, profitability and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent price target moves on Lottomatica Group cluster in the mid to high €20s, with one target at €33, which helps explain the modest uplift in the fair value estimate to €29.82.

LTMC: 2026 Guidance And Capital Returns Will Underpin Balanced Risk Reward

Analysts have nudged the average price target on Lottomatica Group higher to €29.51, a move of about €0.19, supported by a series of recent target increases and broadly positive research updates from major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates cluster around higher price targets for Lottomatica Group, with most covering banks adjusting their numbers upward and one trimming its view before later nudging it higher again.

LTMC: Updated 2026 Guidance And Capital Returns Will Support Further Upside

Analysts have nudged the average price target for Lottomatica Group higher to around €29, reflecting a series of modest target lifts to €26.40, €29 and €33, supported by updated assumptions around discount rates and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Lottomatica Group centers on a cluster of small price target revisions, with most analysts keeping positive ratings while fine tuning their assumptions.

LTMC: Higher Fair Value And 2026 Dividend Outlook Will Support Upside

Analysts have raised their implied fair value estimate for Lottomatica Group from about €28.44 to roughly €29.32. This reflects updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and forward P/E that are in line with recent Street price target increases to €26.40, €29 and €33.

LTMC: Updated Board Calendar And Earnings Outlook Will Support Future Upside

The analyst price target for Lottomatica Group has been reduced by €0.81 to €26.30, as analysts factor in updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are still using a price target of €26.30, which implies room for upside versus the current fair value assumptions embedded in their models.

LTMC: Board Schedule And Steady Assumptions Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target for Lottomatica Group, citing refined assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth at 5.63% and profit margin at 16.44%, along with a future P/E of 23.34x. Together, these inputs feed into a fair value indication of €28.50 per share.

LTMC: Higher P/E Confidence And Earnings Visibility Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have slightly adjusted their view on Lottomatica Group, with a marginally lower fair value estimate alongside a higher Street price target to €27.24. This reflects updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples.

LTMC: Higher P/E Assumptions Will Support Upside As Earnings Visibility Improves

Analysts have lifted their price target on Lottomatica Group to €27.24 from €22.44, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that are now slightly different from prior estimates. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the raised target of €27.24 as support for a higher valuation, based on updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E.

LTMC: Higher Earnings Multiple Will Drive Upside As Earnings Visibility Strengthens

Narrative Update Lottomatica Group's analyst price target has been raised from EUR 22.44 to EUR 27.24. This reflects analysts' increased confidence in the company following supportive research highlighting its favorable risk reward profile and sustained earnings potential.

LTMC: Higher Earnings Multiple Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Narrative Update on Lottomatica Group Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Lottomatica Group to approximately EUR 27.24 from around EUR 22.44. This reflects a slightly higher fair value estimate and future earnings multiple, despite only marginal adjustments to discount rate, revenue growth, and profit margin assumptions.

LTMC: Improved Margins And Lower Discount Rate Will Drive Profit Expansion

Analysts have increased their price target for Lottomatica Group from €27.92 to €28.21, citing improved profit margins and expectations for continued strong performance. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates have provided additional insight into the factors influencing Lottomatica Group's revised price targets.

LTMC: Improved Margins And Lower Discount Rate Signal Stronger Profit Outlook

Analysts have increased their price target for Lottomatica Group to €27.92 from €27.69. They cite stronger profit margin expectations and a slight reduction in the discount rate as key factors behind the update.

Share Repurchase And Italy Focus Will Drive Digital Expansion Forward

Narrative Update on Lottomatica Group: Analyst Price Target Revision Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Lottomatica Group at €27.69. They cited a modest increase in expected revenue growth, which offset a slight uptick in the discount rate and a minor decrease in projected profit margin.

PWO Migration And Italy Consolidation Will Expand Digital Reach

Analysts have raised their price target for Lottomatica Group from €27.13 to €27.69. This reflects modest improvements in projected revenue growth and a slightly lower assumed discount rate.
User avatar

Omnichannel Strategy Will Drive Future Success In Italian iGaming Market

Significant growth in the online segment and omnichannel strategy enhances market share and profitability, improving revenues and net earnings.

Shareholder Returns

LTMCIT HospitalityIT Market
7D-3.3%-3.2%0.3%
1Y17.7%17.8%20.6%

Return vs Industry: LTMC matched the Italian Hospitality industry which returned 17.9% over the past year.

Return vs Market: LTMC underperformed the Italian Market which returned 18.9% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is LTMC's price volatile compared to industry and market?
LTMC volatility
LTMC Average Weekly Movement5.7%
Hospitality Industry Average Movement5.2%
Market Average Movement5.1%
10% most volatile stocks in IT Market8.2%
10% least volatile stocks in IT Market3.0%

Stable Share Price: LTMC has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Italian market.

Volatility Over Time: LTMC's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
20192,505Guglielmo Angelozzilottomaticagroup.com

Lottomatica Group S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the gaming market in Italy. The company operates through Online, Sports Franchise, and Gaming Franchise segments. The Online segment provides a range of online games, such as sports betting, virtual betting, horse betting, online casino games, bingo, poker, betting exchange, and skill games through the GoldBet.it, Better.it, Lottomatica.it, Betflag.it, Totosì

Lottomatica Group S.p.A. Fundamentals Summary

How do Lottomatica Group's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
LTMC fundamental statistics
Market cap€5.84b
Earnings (TTM)€174.30m
Revenue (TTM)€2.25b
33.5x
P/E Ratio
2.6x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
LTMC income statement (TTM)
Revenue€2.25b
Cost of Revenue€1.41b
Gross Profit€832.38m
Other Expenses€658.08m
Earnings€174.30m

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

May 06, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)0.73
Gross Margin37.04%
Net Profit Margin7.76%
Debt/Equity Ratio552.7%

How did LTMC perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

1.8%
Current Dividend Yield
63%
Payout Ratio

Does LTMC pay a reliable dividends?

See LTMC dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy LTMC by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Lottomatica Group dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateMay 18 2026
Dividend Pay DateMay 20 2026
Days until Ex dividend11 days
Days until Dividend pay date13 days

Does LTMC pay a reliable dividends?

See LTMC dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/05 13:10
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/05 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Lottomatica Group S.p.A. is covered by 22 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Andrea BonfaBanca Akros S.p.A. (ESN)
James Rowland ClarkBarclays
Pravin GondhaleBarclays