Evolution AB (publ)

OM:EVO Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 111.5b

Evolution Valuation

Is EVO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of EVO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: EVO (SEK559.6) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (SEK1349.78)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: EVO is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EVO?

Key metric: As EVO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EVO. This is calculated by dividing EVO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EVO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.8x
Earnings€1.06b
Market Cap€10.46b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EVO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EVO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.6x
BETS B Betsson
7.1x-0.089%SEK 13.3b
BETCO Better Collective
24.7x46.19%SEK 6.7b
KAMBI Kambi Group
40x56.18%SEK 3.0b
G2M Gentoo Media
14.6x66.73%SEK 891.8m
EVO Evolution
9.8x4.53%SEK 111.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EVO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the peer average (21.6x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EVO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EVO 9.8xIndustry Avg. 17.8xNo. of Companies18PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EVO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (17.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EVO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EVO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.8x
Fair PE Ratio14.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EVO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EVO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 559.60
SEK 670.80
+19.87%
22.54%SEK 1,050.67SEK 479.81n/a16
Feb ’27SEK 578.60
SEK 699.93
+20.97%
21.61%SEK 1,063.89SEK 492.84n/a17
Jan ’27SEK 629.80
SEK 715.24
+13.57%
20.16%SEK 1,095.60SEK 574.22n/a16
Dec ’26SEK 653.40
SEK 771.54
+18.08%
21.20%SEK 1,103.15SEK 581.68n/a16
Nov ’26SEK 635.20
SEK 814.45
+28.22%
25.82%SEK 1,352.57SEK 580.05n/a16
Oct ’26SEK 765.40
SEK 911.09
+19.03%
22.92%SEK 1,340.11SEK 639.56n/a15
Sep ’26SEK 810.60
SEK 917.29
+13.16%
22.94%SEK 1,348.45SEK 643.54n/a15
Aug ’26SEK 863.00
SEK 923.69
+7.03%
22.59%SEK 1,334.63SEK 649.92n/a15
Jul ’26SEK 762.80
SEK 913.58
+19.77%
25.44%SEK 1,383.21SEK 615.75n/a15
Jun ’26SEK 658.00
SEK 921.38
+40.03%
25.63%SEK 1,349.69SEK 600.83n/a15
May ’26SEK 674.20
SEK 1,047.82
+55.42%
32.60%SEK 1,763.89SEK 660.52n/a15
Apr ’26SEK 745.40
SEK 1,077.28
+44.52%
27.39%SEK 1,657.51SEK 675.46n/a15
Mar ’26SEK 823.00
SEK 1,105.98
+34.38%
27.29%SEK 1,713.20SEK 698.16n/a15
Feb ’26SEK 853.60
SEK 1,186.53
+39.00%
26.46%SEK 1,762.97SEK 720.35SEK 578.6015
Jan ’26SEK 852.80
SEK 1,334.06
+56.43%
16.85%SEK 1,759.48SEK 881.33SEK 629.8015
Dec ’25SEK 952.00
SEK 1,339.50
+40.70%
16.90%SEK 1,775.02SEK 880.84SEK 653.4015
Nov ’25SEK 1,000.50
SEK 1,364.32
+36.36%
16.72%SEK 1,784.76SEK 885.68SEK 635.2014
Oct ’25SEK 997.00
SEK 1,347.48
+35.15%
16.55%SEK 1,732.66SEK 893.35SEK 765.4014
Sep ’25SEK 1,066.50
SEK 1,350.54
+26.63%
16.20%SEK 1,736.68SEK 878.21SEK 810.6015
Aug ’25SEK 1,034.50
SEK 1,379.64
+33.36%
16.34%SEK 1,765.55SEK 892.81SEK 863.0015
Jul ’25SEK 1,105.50
SEK 1,461.62
+32.21%
14.47%SEK 1,787.48SEK 902.83SEK 762.8015
Jun ’25SEK 1,128.00
SEK 1,461.68
+29.58%
13.72%SEK 1,730.89SEK 914.67SEK 658.0015
May ’25SEK 1,232.00
SEK 1,487.74
+20.76%
13.06%SEK 1,760.52SEK 932.21SEK 674.2016
Apr ’25SEK 1,330.60
SEK 1,475.31
+10.88%
13.53%SEK 1,807.83SEK 914.34SEK 745.4016
Mar ’25SEK 1,340.80
SEK 1,437.46
+7.21%
13.61%SEK 1,758.58SEK 889.43SEK 823.0016
Feb ’25SEK 1,297.20
SEK 1,353.57
+4.35%
14.81%SEK 1,701.73SEK 765.00SEK 853.6016
SEK 670.8
Fair Value
16.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
16
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/07 09:02
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/06 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Evolution AB (publ) is covered by 25 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullABG Sundal Collier
Pravin GondhaleBarclays
James Rowland ClarkBarclays