TKO Group Holdings Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
TKO Group Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 29% and 8.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 19.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 30.5% in 3 years.
Key information
29.0%
Earnings growth rate
19.41%
EPS growth rate
| Entertainment earnings growth | 22.5% |
| Revenue growth rate | 8.6% |
| Future return on equity | 30.48% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 29 Jun 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 26
TKO: Expanded Buybacks And Dividends Will Support Future Share Upside
Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for TKO Group Holdings to $234.39 from $223.42, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What’s in the News for TKO Group Holdings TKO Group Holdings announced a quarterly cash dividend for Class A common stockholders of $0.79 per share, part of an aggregate distribution of approximately $150 million, payable on June 30, 2026 to stockholders of record on June 15, 2026.Seeking Alpha • Jun 25
TKO Group Holdings: Good Monetization Potential And Live Event Demand Growth Path
Summary TKO Group Holdings remains a buy as the Paramount deal has expanded UFC's reach and validated its content value. UFC's transition to Paramount+/CBS has driven record viewership, broadening the top-of-funnel audience and enhancing monetization potential across ads, sponsorships, and live events. Live event demand for both UFC and WWE remains robust, with premium experiences and FIPs providing durable, diversified growth channels beyond media rights. TKO trades at 18x forward EBITDA, justified by improved growth visibility and higher margins, but future upside depends on successful monetization of expanded reach. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jun 16
TKO Group Holdings (TKO) Stock Looks Rich After Its $0.79 Dividend Declaration
Dividend announcement and what it means for TKO Group Holdings stock TKO Group Holdings (TKO) announced that its board has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.79 per Class A share, tied to an aggregate distribution of about $150 million. The dividend is scheduled to be paid on June 30, 2026 to Class A stockholders of record as of the close of business on June 15, 2026, with an ex dividend date also set for June 15. See our latest analysis for TKO Group Holdings. At a share price of...Analysis Article • May 14
Solid Earnings Reflect TKO Group Holdings' (NYSE:TKO) Strength As A Business
The subdued stock price reaction suggests that TKO Group Holdings, Inc.'s ( NYSE:TKO ) strong earnings didn't offer any...Analysis Article • Nov 12
TKO Group Holdings' (NYSE:TKO) Earnings Might Not Be As Promising As They Seem
The healthy profit announcement from TKO Group Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:TKO ) didn't seem to impress investors. We did...Seeking Alpha • Apr 17
TKO Group: WWE Set For New Type Of WrestleMania Battle With Pricing
Summary Ahead of this year's "WrestleMania", some fans are feeling less overall excitement as there is a sense of feeling "priced out" by the company. Despite previous successes, rising costs may be alienating fans, impacting WWE and parent company TKO's long-term growth potential. WWE's new leadership and strategic pivots have shown promise, but the larger financial burden on fans could hinder sustained engagement and profitability. Investors should keep an eye on WWE's current trajectory, as this type of pricing could lead to changing fan dynamics that pose a risk to future performance and revenue. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 11
TKO Group Holdings: Remain Bullish Despite Share Price Weakness
Summary I remain bullish on TKO Group Holdings due to strong fundamentals, solid demand for live events, and promising UFC/ESPN renewal prospects. TKO's recent earnings highlight robust demand for UFC and WWE live events and sponsorships, with record-breaking ticket sales and attendance. The UFC's partnership with Meta enhances fan engagement, bolstering TKO's negotiating leverage with ESPN for a potentially lucrative rights renewal. The upcoming Saudi-backed boxing venture offers a low-risk growth catalyst, potentially driving significant recurring revenue with minimal financial risk to TKO. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 11
TKO Group: S&P 500 Inclusion, Q4, Dividend, Boxing, And Other Ongoing Catalysts
Summary TKO Group Holdings (TKO) is a promising investment with catalysts like S&P 500 inclusion, a new dividend, and expansion into boxing and WWE talent pipeline. Despite recent stock volatility and a market-wide downturn, TKO's record 2024 financial performance and strategic growth initiatives suggest long-term potential. The stock remains a buy, but investors should be cautious due to its high valuation and inherent risks, recommending a 1-3% portfolio allocation. Position sizing is crucial; TKO's growth prospects are strong, but it's more volatile and risky compared to safer, lower-valued stocks. This article also covers the expansion of WWE's talent monopoly and new ventures into TV. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 11
TKO Group: Strong Growth Prospects, But Caution Warranted After Big Run-Up
Summary TKO Group's stock is currently overvalued after a stellar 2024, with near-term range-bound activity expected but potential for a rally before WrestleMania 41. The company boasts strong financials, driven by WWE and UFC, with impressive earnings and cash flow growth, despite UFC's recent underperformance. TKO's valuation is challenging due to its recent listing, but DCF analysis indicates significant long-term upside potential, especially with lower WACC and higher growth rates. Investors should consider waiting for a better entry point despite the stock's long-term potential, given its current overheated state. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 03
TKO Group: WWE Evolution Continues With Netflix Shift
Summary WWE's "Monday Night RAW" will move to Netflix this month, marking a significant milestone moment for the company. After years of behind-the-scenes seismic shifts, many TKO investors are hoping this marks a clean start and a period of stability. This partnership offers mutual benefits, with WWE gaining a global platform and Netflix re-inventing its content strategy. Netflix's acquisition of WWE rights showcases its continued commitment to live events, aiming to leverage the company's passionate fan base for growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 18
TKO Group Can Take Advantage Of The Netflix Boxing Event
Summary TKO, formed by the merger of WWE and UFC in 2023, presents a unique investment opportunity in the sports-entertainment sector. The merger is now completed, and we have disappointing QoQ results, with great YoY results. The WWE-Netflix deal opens the door for a UFC-Netflix deal, especially after the issues with the Paul-Tyson fight. I am still long TKO, but I am hesitant about its valuation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 25
TKO Group Holdings: Visible Growth Outlook Ahead
Summary I am positive about TKO Group Holdings due to the strong demand for live events, positioning TKO to capture this through WWE and UFC ownership. The growth outlook is robust, driven by younger generations' preference for live experiences, with TKO's financials reflecting this demand surge. Concerns about UFC's renewal with ESPN are minimal, as ESPN is likely to renew, and other platforms are interested in UFC content. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jul 15
TKO Group: WWE Is Creating A Talent Monopoly
Summary TKO Group Holdings, Inc. is a sports entertainment conglomerate under Endeavor, consisting of WWE and UFC. This article discusses TKO's valuation and fundamental metrics, as well as its unique talent acquisition strategy. The talent acquisition strategy is key to WWE's growth and for its ability to fulfill future revenue projections and justify its high PE ratio and valuation. WWE has set themselves up to outcompete rival brands for talent both from within and outside the existing wrestling scene, which sets them apart from all other rival promotions. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jun 24
TKO: How WWE Is Continuing To Find Its Footing In Post-McMahon Era
Summary WWE’s annual WrestleMania event occurred back in April and did so under the specter of its founder being forced out under inauspicious circumstances. Yet despite all the controversy, WrestleMania’s milestone 40th anniversary was a massive success, breaking numerous company records and putting investors’ minds at ease. Now the real work begins as WWE and the newly formed TKO group must keep that momentum going in the coming months as more big moments are on the horizon. Under the guidance of new topper Paul “Triple H” Levesque, that seems more likely, as the former WWE champion-turned-executive has helped win back the trust of its massive fanbase. While behind the scenes, parent company Endeavor is working its magic helping to align practices to leverage off the power of new WWE's corporate sibling UFC. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaEarnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 7,295 | 1,020 | 1,908 | 2,021 | 12 |
| 12/31/2027 | 5,814 | 741 | 1,730 | 1,833 | 20 |
| 12/31/2026 | 5,763 | 608 | 1,516 | 1,494 | 20 |
| 3/31/2026 | 5,063 | 226 | 1,698 | 1,817 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 4,735 | 195 | 1,159 | 1,286 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 4,625 | 229 | 938 | 1,032 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 5,046 | 211 | 690 | 793 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 4,931 | 172 | 595 | 704 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 4,884 | 9 | 467 | 586 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 4,570 | -35 | 623 | 751 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 3,479 | -80 | 536 | 640 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 2,591 | -227 | 362 | 444 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 3,225 | -35 | 172 | 266 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 1,333 | -22 | 357 | 373 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 1,224 | N/A | 430 | 444 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 1,187 | -8 | 448 | 462 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 1,140 | 387 | 489 | 502 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 1,032 | N/A | 430 | 441 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 891 | 177 | 330 | 351 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: TKO's forecast earnings growth (29% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: TKO's earnings (29% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (18.3% per year).
High Growth Earnings: TKO's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: TKO's revenue (8.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (13% per year).
High Growth Revenue: TKO's revenue (8.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: TKO's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (30.5%)
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/12 01:19 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/10 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. is covered by 25 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Alex Pound | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Vikram Kesavabhotla | Baird |
| Michael Hickey | Benchmark Company |