TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

NYSE:TKO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$39.1b

TKO Group Holdings Valuation

Is TKO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TKO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

US$157.03
Fair Value
25.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
17
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: TKO ($197.35) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($157.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TKO is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TKO?

Key metric: As TKO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TKO. This is calculated by dividing TKO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TKO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio76.9x
EarningsUS$210.91m
Market CapUS$39.13b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TKO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TKO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average62.1x
LYV Live Nation Entertainment
66.2x18.41%US$36.3b
TME Tencent Music Entertainment Group
25.2x8.38%US$36.2b
WBD Warner Bros. Discovery
60.9x-77.75%US$47.0b
FWON.K Formula One Group
96x22.29%US$26.0b
TKO TKO Group Holdings
76.9x33.39%US$39.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TKO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (76.9x) compared to the peer average (62.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TKO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Entertainment Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SOHU Sohu.com
3.7x-133.28%US$461.50m
DDI DoubleDown Interactive
4.3x6.26%US$454.41m
RDBX Redbox Entertainment
1.2x-121.78%US$76.65m
ABQQ AB International Group
2.2xn/aUS$2.01m
No more companies available in this PE range
TKO 76.9xIndustry Avg. 30.9xNo. of Companies6PE020406080100+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TKO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (76.9x) compared to the US Entertainment industry average (30.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TKO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TKO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio76.9x
Fair PE Ratio36.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TKO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (76.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TKO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$197.35
US$212.76
+7.81%
13.35%US$250.00US$117.00n/a17
Sep ’26US$189.56
US$202.12
+6.62%
13.75%US$250.00US$117.00n/a17
Aug ’26US$165.61
US$192.59
+16.29%
12.45%US$220.00US$117.00n/a17
Jul ’26US$175.61
US$185.31
+5.53%
14.57%US$220.00US$117.00n/a19
Jun ’26US$157.81
US$181.72
+15.15%
14.81%US$220.00US$117.00n/a18
May ’26US$163.16
US$170.61
+4.57%
13.25%US$220.00US$117.00n/a18
Apr ’26US$152.99
US$170.18
+11.23%
13.67%US$220.00US$117.00n/a17
Mar ’26US$150.64
US$166.81
+10.74%
13.32%US$200.00US$115.00n/a16
Feb ’26US$155.21
US$159.82
+2.97%
12.66%US$200.00US$115.00n/a17
Jan ’26US$142.11
US$151.25
+6.43%
14.02%US$200.00US$103.00n/a16
Dec ’25US$137.96
US$138.63
+0.48%
9.94%US$165.00US$103.00n/a16
Nov ’25US$119.07
US$135.94
+14.17%
8.99%US$160.00US$103.00n/a16
Oct ’25US$122.26
US$133.14
+8.90%
11.23%US$170.00US$103.00US$198.7618
Sep ’25US$118.23
US$132.03
+11.67%
7.73%US$150.00US$106.50US$189.5616
Aug ’25US$109.41
US$121.77
+11.29%
5.92%US$131.00US$106.50US$165.6115
Jul ’25US$107.57
US$118.11
+9.80%
7.74%US$131.00US$100.00US$175.6114
Jun ’25US$109.07
US$116.39
+6.71%
8.39%US$131.00US$100.00US$157.8114
May ’25US$95.71
US$108.15
+12.99%
10.63%US$131.00US$92.00US$163.1614
Apr ’25US$86.18
US$107.10
+24.27%
9.39%US$130.00US$92.00US$152.9915
Mar ’25US$82.31
US$108.42
+31.72%
9.46%US$125.00US$92.00US$150.6412
Feb ’25US$85.56
US$109.78
+28.31%
8.86%US$125.00US$92.00US$155.219
Jan ’25US$81.58
US$112.00
+37.29%
7.03%US$125.00US$100.00US$142.118
Dec ’24US$78.24
US$112.00
+43.15%
7.03%US$125.00US$100.00US$137.968
Nov ’24US$82.39
US$114.50
+38.97%
8.51%US$126.00US$100.00US$119.078
Oct ’24US$84.06
US$120.00
+42.76%
4.86%US$126.00US$112.00US$122.265
US$212.76
Fair Value
7.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
17
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/10/06 10:06
End of Day Share Price 2025/10/03 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. is covered by 23 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Alex PoundArete Research Services LLP
Vikram KesavabhotlaBaird
Michael HickeyBenchmark Company