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Lumentum Holdings Inc.NasdaqGS:LITE Stock Report

Market Cap US$64.8b
Share Price
US$903.80
US$904.89
0.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y1,293.2%
7D-4.9%
Portfolio Value
View

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

NasdaqGS:LITE Stock Report

Market Cap: US$64.8b

Lumentum Holdings (LITE) Stock Overview

Manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. More details

LITE fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth6/6
Past Performance2/6
Financial Health4/6
Dividends0/6

LITE Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 111 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Lumentum Holdings Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Lumentum Holdings
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$903.80
52 Week HighUS$1,021.00
52 Week LowUS$69.26
Beta1.53
1 Month Change0.72%
3 Month Change56.60%
1 Year Change1,293.25%
3 Year Change2,040.69%
5 Year Change1,190.22%
Change since IPO5,216.47%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha May 06

Lumentum's AI Bottleneck Era Begins

Summary Lumentum (LITE) posted 90% revenue growth and 32.2% operating margins despite major shortages across several critical optical infrastructure products. Q4 guidance reached up to $1.01B revenue, while hyperscalers continue locking long-term supply agreements and take-or-pay structures. NVIDIA’s $2B investment validates photonics as a strategic AI bottleneck rather than another cyclical networking hardware opportunity. Rising optical density across multi-data-center AI clusters expands demand beyond transceivers into lasers, switches, and future CPO architectures. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update May 06

LITE: Nvidia Commitments And New U.S. Capacity Will Shape AI Optics Prospects

The analyst price target for Lumentum Holdings has been raised by $131.54. Analysts attribute this change to higher fair value estimates, modestly adjusted discount rates, and stronger assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples following a series of positive research updates across the Street.

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha May 06

Lumentum's AI Bottleneck Era Begins

Summary Lumentum (LITE) posted 90% revenue growth and 32.2% operating margins despite major shortages across several critical optical infrastructure products. Q4 guidance reached up to $1.01B revenue, while hyperscalers continue locking long-term supply agreements and take-or-pay structures. NVIDIA’s $2B investment validates photonics as a strategic AI bottleneck rather than another cyclical networking hardware opportunity. Rising optical density across multi-data-center AI clusters expands demand beyond transceivers into lasers, switches, and future CPO architectures. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update May 06

LITE: Nvidia Commitments And New U.S. Capacity Will Shape AI Optics Prospects

The analyst price target for Lumentum Holdings has been raised by $131.54. Analysts attribute this change to higher fair value estimates, modestly adjusted discount rates, and stronger assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples following a series of positive research updates across the Street.
Narrative Update Apr 20

LITE: Nvidia Capacity Commitments Will Test AI Optics Execution Risk

The analyst fair value estimate for Lumentum has shifted from $655.55 to $773.35. This change reflects higher modeled revenue growth and profit margins, as analysts factor in rising AI driven optical demand and recent multi firm price target increases tied to Nvidia related commitments and broader industry capacity expectations.
Narrative Update Apr 06

LITE: Nvidia Capacity Deal And AI Optics Demand Will Drive Future Upside

The updated analyst price target for Lumentum rises from $900 to about $1,034 per share, with analysts pointing to stronger modeled revenue growth, higher profit margin assumptions linked to AI related optical demand, and a lower future P/E multiple as key drivers of the change. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Lumentum Holdings centers on how AI driven optical demand, new customer commitments, and updated industry forecasts are feeding into higher price targets and refreshed views on risk and reward.
Narrative Update Mar 23

LITE: AI Infrastructure Optics And Nvidia Capacity Commitments Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Lumentum to $900, reflecting a series of sharply higher Street price targets and updated assumptions for stronger revenue growth, wider profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple tied to expanding AI infrastructure demand and long term optical supply commitments. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Lumentum points to a clear shift in tone from the Street, with a cluster of price target revisions and fresh coverage reflecting renewed attention on the company’s role in AI driven optical demand.
Narrative Update Mar 09

LITE: AI Optics Commitments And Nvidia Backing Will Test Execution

Our fair value estimate for Lumentum has been raised from $571.45 to $655.55, reflecting analysts' higher price targets that are tied to increased earnings power expectations and long term purchase commitments from large customers in advanced optical components. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Lumentum points to a cluster of higher price targets and fresh long term commitments from large customers, especially in advanced optical components tied to AI data centers.
Narrative Update Feb 22

LITE: AI Optics Hype Will Test Rich P E On Execution Risks

Lumentum's updated analyst price target moves to $645 from $525, with analysts pointing to higher assumed revenue growth of 51.47%, a profit margin of 25.14%, and a P/E of 30.38 in their refreshed models. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Lumentum has become more active, with a series of price target increases clustered over the past few months and one high profile caution flag from JPMorgan.
Narrative Update Feb 08

LITE: AI Optics Hype Will Likely Outpace Real Data Center Demand

Analysts have lifted their price targets and fair value estimates for Lumentum, with one set of assumptions now pointing to fair value of about $433.09. This reflects updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E after a series of recent target hikes and upgrades across the Street.
Analysis Article Feb 06

After Leaping 27% Lumentum Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:LITE) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

Lumentum Holdings Inc. ( NASDAQ:LITE ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month...
Narrative Update Jan 25

LITE: AI Data Center Optics Will Shape Future Multiple With Execution Risks

Analysts have raised their price targets on Lumentum from roughly $180 to $210 in several recent reports, citing stronger assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E. Together, these factors support a higher fair value estimate now modeled around $348 per share, up from about $255.
Narrative Update Jan 10

LITE: AI Connectivity Euphoria Will Likely Outrun Realistic Earnings Delivery

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Lumentum Holdings to $140.00 from $100.15, citing higher assumed revenue growth and profit margins, a slightly lower discount rate, and a reduced future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Lumentum points to strong enthusiasm around its role in optical connectivity for AI and cloud infrastructure, but there are also clear notes of caution that are worth your attention.
Narrative Update Dec 22

LITE: AI Data Center Optics And Switch Demand Will Drive Balanced Outlook

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Lumentum Holdings from $165.00 to $380.00, citing stronger than expected AI driven data center optics demand, accelerating optical circuit switch adoption tied to Google TPU ramps, and improved long term growth visibility despite a slightly lower projected profit margin. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts remain largely constructive on Lumentum, framing the latest round of price target increases as a response to a strengthening AI infrastructure cycle and the company’s improving execution against its data center roadmap.
Analysis Article Dec 16

Lumentum Holdings Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LITE) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 44% Share Price Bounce

Despite an already strong run, Lumentum Holdings Inc. ( NASDAQ:LITE ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 44...
Narrative Update Dec 08

LITE: AI Optical Demand Will Drive Future Multiple But Limit Near-Term Upside

Analysts have lifted their price target on Lumentum Holdings, raising it from roughly $230 to about $255 per share, as they grow more confident that surging AI driven demand for data center optics and optical circuit switches will support faster revenue growth and a higher future earnings multiple, despite modestly lower margin expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to a broadly constructive outlook on Lumentum, with a notable cluster of target price increases reflecting growing confidence in the durability of AI driven optical demand and the company’s execution on its product roadmap.
Narrative Update Nov 24

LITE: Surging AI Demand Will Expose Shares To Near-Term Downside Risk

The analyst price target for Lumentum Holdings has been raised from $217.75 to $231.33. Analysts cite stronger revenue growth trends, improving profit margins, and heightened demand for the company's optical and laser technologies as contributing factors, driven by AI and data center market expansion.
Analysis Article Nov 12

Lumentum Holdings (NASDAQ:LITE) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of

Unsurprisingly, Lumentum Holdings Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:LITE ) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings...
Narrative Update Nov 08

LITE: Near-Term AI Demand Surge Will Risk Disappointment Amid Tight Margins

The analyst price target for Lumentum Holdings has been significantly raised from $163.85 to $217.75 per share. This reflects analyst confidence in robust demand for AI-driven optical connectivity, improved margins, and growth prospects following the company's recent earnings outperformance and strengthened guidance.
Narrative Update Oct 25

Optical Demand Will Strengthen Cloud And AI Expansion Amid Rising Industry Momentum

Lumentum Holdings' analyst price target has increased significantly from $146.16 to $163.85 per share, as analysts cite robust demand for datacom components, positive earnings momentum, and ongoing AI-driven infrastructure investment in raising their outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates on Lumentum Holdings highlight a mix of optimism and caution in reaction to strong business momentum and evolving industry dynamics.
Narrative Update Oct 10

Advanced Optical Demand Will Drive Cloud And AI Markets

Lumentum Holdings' analyst price target has increased modestly to $146 from $144. Analysts point to strong demand for datacom components, supply constraints, and momentum in AI-driven optical networking as key drivers behind the upward revision.
Analysis Article Oct 02

Revenues Tell The Story For Lumentum Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:LITE) As Its Stock Soars 29%

Despite an already strong run, Lumentum Holdings Inc. ( NASDAQ:LITE ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29...
Narrative Update Sep 24

Advanced Optical Demand Will Drive Cloud And AI Markets

Lumentum Holdings' analyst price target has been raised as strong near-term AI datacenter demand for EML lasers, favorable product mix, and robust order growth drive upward guidance and margin strength, offset by some valuation concerns, with fair value now seen at $143.79. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight strong near-term demand momentum, particularly for 200G EML lasers in AI-driven data center infrastructure, with supply ramping to meet significant order growth.
Narrative Update Sep 09

Advanced Optical Demand Will Drive Cloud And AI Markets

Upward revisions to Lumentum’s price target reflect strong Q4 results, robust datacom and AI-driven demand, and greater business resilience beyond Cloud, though some caution that recent gains may already be reflected in valuations; consensus fair value has nudged up from $138.26 to $139.84. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite Lumentum’s very strong Q4 results and above-consensus Q1 guidance, powered by robust demand for datacom components and record EML shipments, fueled further by AI infrastructure investments.
Narrative Update Aug 15

Advanced Optical Demand Will Drive Cloud And AI Markets

Analysts remain optimistic on Lumentum Holdings due to strong Q4 results, robust guidance, and accelerating AI and cloud infrastructure demand, though some express valuation concerns after recent stock gains; consequently, the consensus price target remains unchanged at $135.59. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite very strong Q4 results and robust guidance, driven by strength in datacom components (especially EMLs and transceivers) and record Cloud module growth, benefiting from accelerated AI infrastructure spending and heightened demand from hyperscalers.
Analysis Article Jun 17

Should You Investigate Lumentum Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:LITE) At US$85.78?

Lumentum Holdings Inc. ( NASDAQ:LITE ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise of...
Analysis Article May 20

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:LITE) Stocks Shoot Up 50% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable

Lumentum Holdings Inc. ( NASDAQ:LITE ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 50% in...
Analysis Article May 16

Would Lumentum Holdings (NASDAQ:LITE) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...
User avatar
New Narrative Apr 26

Cloud And AI Markets Will Power Future Manufacturing Capacity

Expansion in laser transmitter chips and optical circuit switch production is expected to boost revenue growth through increased capacity in cloud and AI markets.
Seeking Alpha Apr 22

Lumentum: Improvements Finally Come Through

Summary Lumentum Holdings has shown significant sequential improvements recently, but recent tariff turmoil and economic uncertainties pose risks to sustained recovery and realistic profitability. The company targets $500 million quarterly revenues by year-end, driven by AI and cloud, as current conditions put real risks to that. Despite impressive improvements, net debt remains high at $1.67 billion, and realistic earnings are still not evident due to heavy stock-based compensation adjustments. I am cautiously optimistic about Lumentum's future, but current market turmoil suggests better opportunities elsewhere, warranting close monitoring of further developments. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

LITEUS CommunicationsUS Market
7D-4.9%-4.9%2.1%
1Y1,293.2%83.0%30.6%

Return vs Industry: LITE exceeded the US Communications industry which returned 83% over the past year.

Return vs Market: LITE exceeded the US Market which returned 30.6% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is LITE's price volatile compared to industry and market?
LITE volatility
LITE Average Weekly Movement14.0%
Communications Industry Average Movement8.8%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.1%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: LITE's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: LITE's weekly volatility (14%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
201510,562Michael E. Hurlstonwww.lumentum.com

Lumentum Holdings Inc. manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates through two segments, Cloud & Networking and Industrial Tech. The Cloud & Networking segment offers optical and photonic chips, components, modules, and subsystems supplied to cloud data center operators, AI/ML infrastructure providers, and network equipment manufacturer customers that are building cloud data centers and network infrastructures.

Lumentum Holdings Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Lumentum Holdings's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
LITE fundamental statistics
Market capUS$64.80b
Earnings (TTM)US$439.00m
Revenue (TTM)US$2.49b
147.6x
P/E Ratio
26.0x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
LITE income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$2.49b
Cost of RevenueUS$1.47b
Gross ProfitUS$1.02b
Other ExpensesUS$577.20m
EarningsUS$439.00m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 28, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)6.12
Gross Margin40.84%
Net Profit Margin17.64%
Debt/Equity Ratio110.4%

How did LITE perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/10 03:21
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/08 00:00
Earnings2026/03/28
Annual Earnings2025/06/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Lumentum Holdings Inc. is covered by 30 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Skye ChenAletheia Analyst Network Limited
Thomas O'MalleyBarclays
Karl AckermanBNP Paribas