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Updated 2h ago
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AST SpaceMobile, Inc.NasdaqGS:ASTS Stock Report

Market Cap US$23.3b
Updated 2h ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y54.6%
7D-3.9%
1D-0.08%
Portfolio Value
​
View

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

NasdaqGS:ASTS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$23.3b

  • Company Overview
  • Valuation
  • Future Growth
  • Past Performance
  • Financial Health
  • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) Stock Overview

Designs and develops the constellation of BlueBird satellites in the United States. More details

ASTS fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth5/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health3/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Trading at 58.5% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 58.77% per year

Risk Analysis

Volatile share price over the past 3 months compared to the US market


ASTS Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 794 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
23.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•22d ago

Global Mobile Data Demand And Satellite Network Expansion Will Drive Long-Term Opportunity

2.9k
0
99
AN
AnalystHighTarget
44.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•2mo ago

Global MNO Partnerships And Spectrum Assets Will Drive Powerful Long Term Satellite Connectivity Upside

480
0
22
AN
AnalystLowTarget
40.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•1mo ago

Satellite Deployment And Spectrum Risks Will Challenge Long Term Profitability Prospects

661
0
2

Top Community Narratives

HE
HedgeY
Emerging Author
64.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
HedgeY
•3mo ago

AST SpaceMobile: The Boldest Direct-to-Cell Bet in Public Markets

6.9k
0
85
EL
88.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
El_Gecko
•3mo ago

AST SpaceMobile will achieve 80% revenue growth powered by their innovative future plans

461
0
15
BR
Brogers
49.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
Brogers
•4mo ago

ASTS: Technological Triumph Meets Financial Gravity; BlueBird 7 Launch marks the Peak, not the Pivot

723
0
6

Top Community Narratives

Top Analyst Narratives

HE
HedgeY
Emerging Author
64.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
HedgeY
•3mo ago

AST SpaceMobile: The Boldest Direct-to-Cell Bet in Public Markets

6.9k
0
85
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
23.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•22d ago

Global Mobile Data Demand And Satellite Network Expansion Will Drive Long-Term Opportunity

2.9k
0
99
EL
88.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
El_Gecko
•3mo ago

AST SpaceMobile will achieve 80% revenue growth powered by their innovative future plans

461
0
15
AN
AnalystHighTarget
44.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•2mo ago

Global MNO Partnerships And Spectrum Assets Will Drive Powerful Long Term Satellite Connectivity Upside

480
0
22
BR
Brogers
49.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
Brogers
•4mo ago

ASTS: Technological Triumph Meets Financial Gravity; BlueBird 7 Launch marks the Peak, not the Pivot

723
0
6
AN
AnalystLowTarget
40.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•1mo ago

Satellite Deployment And Spectrum Risks Will Challenge Long Term Profitability Prospects

661
0
2
View all narratives

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. Competitors

Globalstar

Symbol: NasdaqGS:GSAT
Market cap: US$10.7b

Iridium Communications

Symbol: NasdaqGS:IRDM
Market cap: US$5.0b

Anterix

Symbol: NasdaqCM:ATEX
Market cap: US$1.6b

Liberty Global

Symbol: NasdaqGS:LBTY.A
Market cap: US$3.6b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for AST SpaceMobile
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$59.86
52 Week HighUS$133.86
52 Week LowUS$39.50
Beta2.73
1 Month Change-15.67%
3 Month Change-31.64%
1 Year Change54.60%
3 Year Change1,458.85%
5 Year Change362.24%
Change since IPO512.69%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 01

AST SpaceMobile: Q2 Was The Most Bullish Call But Overshadowed By Possible Manufacturing Delays

Summary AST SpaceMobile remains a compelling buy, though I downgrade it to buy due to short-term manufacturing delays impacting satellite launch cadence. Q2 call highlighted multi-billion-dollar revenue potential across defense, B2B, IoT, and other segments, with the defense base case now raised to $3 billion annually. Fair value is $165 per share, reflecting a higher discount rate amid manufacturing uncertainty; the long-term target remains $315–$551 per share by 2030. Execution risk centers on scaling manufacturing and timely satellite deployment, but expanded production capacity and a strong cash position support the investment thesis. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 21

ASTS: Government And Partner Demand Will Support Direct To Device Rollout

Analysts have nudged their blended price target for AST SpaceMobile higher from about $71.51 to roughly $78.48, reflecting a mix of trimmed individual targets and refreshed models that emphasize government demand, reaffirmed guidance, and what they describe as a clearer long term revenue opportunity despite higher free cash flow burn and launch related delays. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AST SpaceMobile highlights a split between those focused on the long term direct to device opportunity and those emphasizing execution risks, launch delays, and valuation.

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 01

AST SpaceMobile: Q2 Was The Most Bullish Call But Overshadowed By Possible Manufacturing Delays

Summary AST SpaceMobile remains a compelling buy, though I downgrade it to buy due to short-term manufacturing delays impacting satellite launch cadence. Q2 call highlighted multi-billion-dollar revenue potential across defense, B2B, IoT, and other segments, with the defense base case now raised to $3 billion annually. Fair value is $165 per share, reflecting a higher discount rate amid manufacturing uncertainty; the long-term target remains $315–$551 per share by 2030. Execution risk centers on scaling manufacturing and timely satellite deployment, but expanded production capacity and a strong cash position support the investment thesis. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 21

ASTS: Government And Partner Demand Will Support Direct To Device Rollout

Analysts have nudged their blended price target for AST SpaceMobile higher from about $71.51 to roughly $78.48, reflecting a mix of trimmed individual targets and refreshed models that emphasize government demand, reaffirmed guidance, and what they describe as a clearer long term revenue opportunity despite higher free cash flow burn and launch related delays. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AST SpaceMobile highlights a split between those focused on the long term direct to device opportunity and those emphasizing execution risks, launch delays, and valuation.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 07

ASTS: Launch Disruptions And Financing Structure Will Constrain Future Upside

The updated analyst price target for AST SpaceMobile moves slightly lower from $43.78 to $42.50 as analysts factor in a higher discount rate, a richer future P/E assumption, and slightly more conservative long term profitability, even as growth expectations remain robust and recent research highlights both the pullback in the share price and rising institutional interest following launch disruptions and new partnership developments. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on AST SpaceMobile shows a wide spread of opinions on valuation, execution risk, and the pace of commercialization.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 24

ASTS: Launch Delays And Financing Risks Will Pressure Future Returns

The analyst price target for AST SpaceMobile has been adjusted upward to reflect a new fair value estimate of $43.78. Analysts highlight recent pullbacks driven by launch delays rather than demand weakness, a preference for AST’s valuation versus other space stocks, and reinforced confidence in its direct-to-device partnerships and path to EBITDA upside.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 10

ASTS: Japan JV And FCC Approval Will Drive Direct-To-Phone Coverage Potential

Analysts now see fair value for AST SpaceMobile at $108, up from $95, reflecting updated assumptions on launch timing, direct to device positioning relative to Starlink, and the recent mix of price target revisions and rating changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AST SpaceMobile highlights a wide spread of views, with some analysts focusing on execution risks and others pointing to upside potential tied to direct to device momentum and new partnership structures.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 26

ASTS: Launch Delays And Higher Capital Costs Will Pressure Future Returns

Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for AST SpaceMobile to about $41.47 from $43.00 as updated assumptions factor in higher discount rates, more conservative growth and margin expectations, and a higher future P/E multiple in light of recent launch delays and mixed recalibrations in Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AST SpaceMobile highlights a wide range of opinions, but the tilt in the latest batch of updates has been more cautious.
Analysis Article • Jun 18

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) Stock Could Be 53% Undervalued After BlueBird Satellite Deployment

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) has entered a new phase after successfully launching and deploying its BlueBird 8, 9, and 10 satellites, a milestone that shifts the story toward operational execution and real-world network performance. See our latest analysis for AST SpaceMobile. Despite the successful BlueBird 8, 9, and 10 launch giving AST SpaceMobile fresh technical momentum, the stock has been volatile, with the share price down 5.58% over one day and 17.32% over seven days, yet backed by a very...
User avatar
New Narrative • May 29

AST SpaceMobile will achieve 80% revenue growth powered by their innovative future plans

For the custom valuation, I’m treating ASTS as a long-term scaling case, not something you can value off current earnings. The company is still in the early monetization phase, so current margins and PE don’t really tell you much about what the business could look like once the network is mature.
User avatar
New Narrative • May 29

AST SpaceMobile: The Boldest Direct-to-Cell Bet in Public Markets

Rating: Speculative Buy / Execution-driven moonshot Style: Pre-scale space and telecom infrastructure growth Core debate: Is AST SpaceMobile building the first truly valuable space-based cellular broadband network for ordinary smartphones, or is the stock already pricing in a near-perfect rollout of a technically ambitious and capital-intensive business? Executive view AST SpaceMobile is one of the most ambitious infrastructure stories in the market.
User avatar
New Narrative • Apr 17

ASTS: Technological Triumph Meets Financial Gravity; BlueBird 7 Launch marks the Peak, not the Pivot

Setup ASTS builds a low-Earth-orbit constellation that connects to unmodified mobile handsets using licensed carrier spectrum. BlueBird 7, the company's largest satellite to date, launched on Blue Origin's New Glenn-3 on 16 April 2026 , two days after Amazon's $11.6B acquisition of Globalstar turned a specialist niche into a hyperscaler land-grab.
User avatar
New Narrative • Feb 20

ASTS is a high upside/high execution risk stock.

A high-risk/high-reward potential, ASTS needs to meet all of the 2026 launch cadence/commercial activation milestones in order for me to consider the full bull-case. The Story AST Space Mobile is developing a space-based cellular broadband network which will allow phones to communicate via a network of satellites, and connect to a user's carrier.
Analysis Article • Jan 22

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (NASDAQ:ASTS) Analysts Are More Bearish Than They Used To Be

The analysts covering AST SpaceMobile, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTS ) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 09

AST SpaceMobile: Avoid For Now

Summary AST SpaceMobile remains highly speculative with major revenue ramp uncertainties and aggressive competition, particularly from Starlink. The company needs to launch 60 satellites by 2026, requiring significant capital expenditure and substantial cash burn. The recent SDA contract offers a short-term revenue boost, but long-term commercialization remains challenging. Investors should be cautious due to high hurdles and potential need for additional funding, making the stock less attractive at current levels. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

ASTSUS TelecomUS Market
7D-3.9%1.7%-0.9%
1Y54.6%-0.4%14.2%

Return vs Industry: ASTS exceeded the US Telecom industry which returned -0.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: ASTS exceeded the US Market which returned 14.2% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is ASTS's price volatile compared to industry and market?
ASTS volatility
ASTS Average Weekly Movement14.0%
Telecom Industry Average Movement9.3%
Market Average Movement6.9%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.3%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: ASTS's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: ASTS's weekly volatility (14%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
20171,126Abel Avellanast-science.com

AST SpaceMobile, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs and develops the constellation of BlueBird satellites in the United States. The company provides a cellular broadband network in space to be accessible directly by smartphones for commercial use and other applications, as well as for government use. Its SpaceMobile service provides cellular broadband services to end-users who are out of terrestrial cellular coverage.

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do AST SpaceMobile's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
ASTS fundamental statistics
Market capUS$23.30b
Earnings (TTM)-US$618.76m
Revenue (TTM)US$115.30m
155.6x
P/S Ratio
-29.0x
P/E Ratio

Is ASTS overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
ASTS income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$115.30m
Cost of RevenueUS$70.43m
Gross ProfitUS$44.87m
Other ExpensesUS$663.63m
Earnings-US$618.76m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-2.06
Gross Margin38.91%
Net Profit Margin-536.66%
Debt/Equity Ratio124.0%

How did ASTS perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/13 02:36
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. is covered by 14 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mathieu RobilliardBarclays
Michael FilatovBerenberg
Michael FunkBofA Global Research

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