AST SpaceMobile Future Growth
Future criteria checks 6/6
ASTceMobile is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 107.6% and 50.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 61.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 28.1% in 3 years.
Key information
107.6%
Earnings growth rate
61.21%
EPS growth rate
| Telecom earnings growth | 50.5% |
| Revenue growth rate | 50.3% |
| Future return on equity | 28.08% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 29 Jul 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Aug 03
AST SpaceMobile Is Entering Its Defining Year
Summary AST SpaceMobile has secured $3.8 billion of liquidity, accelerated manufacturing and maintained its $150-200 million 2026 revenue guidance despite launch delays. Nearly 60 mobile network partners, over $1.2 billion in commercial commitments and expanding defense contracts are bringing commercialization closer to reality. Investors should focus on the BlueBird 11-13 launch, deployment toward 45 satellites and commercial activation rather than quarterly earnings volatility. Trading at roughly 104x 2026 sales, ASTS already prices in flawless execution, making successful commercialization the key determinant of future returns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Jul 24
ASTS: Launch Delays And Financing Risks Will Pressure Future Returns
The analyst price target for AST SpaceMobile has been adjusted upward to reflect a new fair value estimate of $43.78. Analysts highlight recent pullbacks driven by launch delays rather than demand weakness, a preference for AST’s valuation versus other space stocks, and reinforced confidence in its direct-to-device partnerships and path to EBITDA upside.
Narrative Update • Jul 10
ASTS: Japan JV And FCC Approval Will Drive Direct-To-Phone Coverage Potential
Analysts now see fair value for AST SpaceMobile at $108, up from $95, reflecting updated assumptions on launch timing, direct to device positioning relative to Starlink, and the recent mix of price target revisions and rating changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AST SpaceMobile highlights a wide spread of views, with some analysts focusing on execution risks and others pointing to upside potential tied to direct to device momentum and new partnership structures.Narrative Update • Jun 26
ASTS: Launch Delays And Higher Capital Costs Will Pressure Future Returns
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for AST SpaceMobile to about $41.47 from $43.00 as updated assumptions factor in higher discount rates, more conservative growth and margin expectations, and a higher future P/E multiple in light of recent launch delays and mixed recalibrations in Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AST SpaceMobile highlights a wide range of opinions, but the tilt in the latest batch of updates has been more cautious.Analysis Article • Jun 18
AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) Stock Could Be 53% Undervalued After BlueBird Satellite Deployment
AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) has entered a new phase after successfully launching and deploying its BlueBird 8, 9, and 10 satellites, a milestone that shifts the story toward operational execution and real-world network performance. See our latest analysis for AST SpaceMobile. Despite the successful BlueBird 8, 9, and 10 launch giving AST SpaceMobile fresh technical momentum, the stock has been volatile, with the share price down 5.58% over one day and 17.32% over seven days, yet backed by a very...
New Narrative • May 29
AST SpaceMobile will achieve 80% revenue growth powered by their innovative future plans
For the custom valuation, I’m treating ASTS as a long-term scaling case, not something you can value off current earnings. The company is still in the early monetization phase, so current margins and PE don’t really tell you much about what the business could look like once the network is mature.
New Narrative • May 29
AST SpaceMobile: The Boldest Direct-to-Cell Bet in Public Markets
Rating: Speculative Buy / Execution-driven moonshot Style: Pre-scale space and telecom infrastructure growth Core debate: Is AST SpaceMobile building the first truly valuable space-based cellular broadband network for ordinary smartphones, or is the stock already pricing in a near-perfect rollout of a technically ambitious and capital-intensive business? Executive view AST SpaceMobile is one of the most ambitious infrastructure stories in the market.
New Narrative • Apr 17
ASTS: Technological Triumph Meets Financial Gravity; BlueBird 7 Launch marks the Peak, not the Pivot
Setup ASTS builds a low-Earth-orbit constellation that connects to unmodified mobile handsets using licensed carrier spectrum. BlueBird 7, the company's largest satellite to date, launched on Blue Origin's New Glenn-3 on 16 April 2026 , two days after Amazon's $11.6B acquisition of Globalstar turned a specialist niche into a hyperscaler land-grab.New Narrative • Feb 20
ASTS is a high upside/high execution risk stock.
A high-risk/high-reward potential, ASTS needs to meet all of the 2026 launch cadence/commercial activation milestones in order for me to consider the full bull-case. The Story AST Space Mobile is developing a space-based cellular broadband network which will allow phones to communicate via a network of satellites, and connect to a user's carrier.Analysis Article • Jan 22
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (NASDAQ:ASTS) Analysts Are More Bearish Than They Used To Be
The analysts covering AST SpaceMobile, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTS ) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by...Seeking Alpha • Apr 09
AST SpaceMobile: Avoid For Now
Summary AST SpaceMobile remains highly speculative with major revenue ramp uncertainties and aggressive competition, particularly from Starlink. The company needs to launch 60 satellites by 2026, requiring significant capital expenditure and substantial cash burn. The recent SDA contract offers a short-term revenue boost, but long-term commercialization remains challenging. Investors should be cautious due to high hurdles and potential need for additional funding, making the stock less attractive at current levels. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 06
AST SpaceMobile: High Hopes, But I'll Pass
Summary I can see the long-term potential of AST SpaceMobile, but its cash burn is simply too high for my Inflection Investing strategy. The company burned through $300 million in free cash flow last year, with no clear path to breakeven anytime soon. While early revenues may start flowing in 2025, the lack of visibility makes it too risky for my portfolio. I’m cheering for the bulls from the sidelines, but this one doesn’t fit my investing criteria. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaEarnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 1,809 | -12 | -231 | 640 | 5 |
| 12/31/2027 | 690 | 47 | -1,038 | 163 | 9 |
| 12/31/2026 | 169 | -329 | -1,670 | -91 | 10 |
| 3/31/2026 | 85 | -487 | -1,371 | -91 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 71 | -342 | -1,193 | -72 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 19 | -304 | -944 | -165 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 5 | -353 | -677 | -134 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 5 | -326 | -362 | -107 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 4 | -300 | -300 | -126 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 3 | -296 | -237 | -123 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 1 | -145 | -283 | -125 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 1 | -91 | -302 | -159 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | N/A | -88 | -268 | -149 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | N/A | -64 | -267 | -159 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 4 | -53 | -203 | -156 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 11 | -37 | -198 | -147 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 14 | -32 | -214 | -156 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 20 | -27 | -203 | -143 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 18 | -13 | -200 | -130 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 14 | -30 | -184 | -119 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 12 | -19 | -135 | -80 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 9 | -24 | -119 | -68 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 9 | -34 | -92 | -52 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 6 | -20 | -65 | -27 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 6 | -24 | -53 | -23 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 4 | -19 | -39 | -17 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 1 | -11 | N/A | -9 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 0 | -4 | N/A | -5 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: ASTS is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.7%).
Earnings vs Market: ASTS is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: ASTS is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: ASTS's revenue (50.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (12.8% per year).
High Growth Revenue: ASTS's revenue (50.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: ASTS's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (28.1%)
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/08/07 03:45 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/08/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. is covered by 13 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Mathieu Robilliard | Barclays |
| Michael Funk | BofA Global Research |
| Michael Crawford | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |