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Updated 2h ago
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Air CanadaTSX:AC Stock Report

Market Cap CA$7.7b
Updated 2h ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y46.8%
7D-4.1%
1D-1.5%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Air Canada

TSX:AC Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$7.7b

  • Company Overview
  • Valuation
  • Future Growth
  • Past Performance
  • Financial Health
  • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Air Canada (AC) Stock Overview

Provides domestic, U.S. transborder, and international airline services. More details

AC fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation4/6
Future Growth3/6
Past Performance2/6
Financial Health2/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Trading at 66.2% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 17.81% per year

Risk Analysis

Interest payments are not well covered by earnings

Profit margins (1.8%) are lower than last year (6.6%)


AC Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 159 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
21.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•9d ago

Labor Uncertainty And New Routes Will Shape Upcoming Performance

1.4k
0
105
AN
AnalystLowTarget
39.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•1mo ago

Tighter Climate Regulations And High Debt Will Crush Margins

153
1
4
AN
AnalystHighTarget
38.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•24d ago

Fleet Modernization Will Boost Long-Haul And Asian Routes Despite Headwinds

173
0
4

Top Analyst Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
21.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•9d ago

Labor Uncertainty And New Routes Will Shape Upcoming Performance

1.4k
0
105
AN
AnalystLowTarget
39.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•1mo ago

Tighter Climate Regulations And High Debt Will Crush Margins

153
1
4
AN
AnalystHighTarget
38.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•24d ago

Fleet Modernization Will Boost Long-Haul And Asian Routes Despite Headwinds

173
0
4
View all narratives

Air Canada Competitors

Exchange Income

Symbol: TSX:EIF
Market cap: CA$6.6b

Chorus Aviation

Symbol: TSX:CHR
Market cap: CA$666.6m

TFI International

Symbol: TSX:TFII
Market cap: CA$14.9b

Mullen Group

Symbol: TSX:MTL
Market cap: CA$2.5b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Air Canada
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceCA$27.53
52 Week HighCA$31.45
52 Week LowCA$16.45
Beta1.66
1 Month Change-7.12%
3 Month Change24.01%
1 Year Change46.83%
3 Year Change35.42%
5 Year Change19.59%
Change since IPO40.60%

Recent News & Updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 03

AC: Higher Long Term Guidance And Travel Demand Will Support Future Pricing Power

Air Canada’s updated fair value estimate has moved from CA$25.36 to CA$34.89. This reflects a series of higher analyst price targets in the CA$31 to CA$40 range as analysts weigh the company’s revised long term guidance and valuation multiples.

Recent updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 03

AC: Higher Long Term Guidance And Travel Demand Will Support Future Pricing Power

Air Canada’s updated fair value estimate has moved from CA$25.36 to CA$34.89. This reflects a series of higher analyst price targets in the CA$31 to CA$40 range as analysts weigh the company’s revised long term guidance and valuation multiples.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 19

AC: Aeroplan Monetization And Cash Returns Will Shape Long Term Upside

Air Canada’s analyst fair value estimate has been raised from CA$29.62 to CA$45.00. This reflects higher Street price targets in the CA$31 to CA$40 range, as well as updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, future P/E and the discount rate from analysts.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 05

AC: Raised Price Views Will Tighten Future Execution Risk Reward

Air Canada’s updated fair value moves to CA$19.74 from CA$18.40 as analysts lift price targets toward the CA$26 to CA$30 range, citing adjusted assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Air Canada highlights a mix of optimism on the stock’s potential and caution around execution and valuation risks.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 22

AC: Leadership Shift And Network Partnerships Will Shape Future Pricing Power

The updated analyst price target for Air Canada moves from CA$22.39 to CA$25.36. This reflects analysts' revised assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples, alongside recent Street research that includes higher targets from Scotiabank and BMO Capital and offsetting trims from Canaccord and Stifel.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 08

AC: Suspended Guidance And Fuel Volatility Will Pressure Future Risk Reward

Air Canada’s updated fair value estimate has been raised to CA$18.40 from CA$17.00. This reflects analysts’ higher price targets, including an increase to CA$30 from CA$26, supported by their views on adjusted discount rates, profit margins and expected future P/E levels.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 24

AC: Refined Forecasts And Cost Controls Will Shape Long Term Upside

Analysts have trimmed their average 12 month price target on Air Canada by CA$1 to CA$29.62, citing slightly adjusted revenue growth and profit margin expectations, along with a modestly lower discount rate and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent price target revisions on Air Canada have been slightly lower, but the tone of Street commentary still highlights several supportive factors that bullish analysts see as important for the stock's longer term case.
Analysis Article • Jun 19

Air Canada (TSX:AC) Stock Could Be 8.1% Overvalued After New Québec Lounge Opening

Air Canada (TSX:AC) has opened a new Air Canada Café at Québec City Jean Lesage International Airport, adding a premium lounge option that fits into its multiyear lounge modernization program and focus on higher value travelers. See our latest analysis for Air Canada. That café opening lands at a time when Air Canada’s share price has picked up momentum, with a 1-month share price return of 28.86% and a 90-day share price return of 39.56%, while the 1-year total shareholder return stands at...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 07

AC: Fuel Headwinds And Cost Actions Will Shape Long Term Upside

Analysts have trimmed their Air Canada price targets by a few Canadian dollars to the high-teens and low-20s CA$ range, reflecting updated fuel cost assumptions, more cautious earnings estimates and adjusted valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Air Canada clusters around lower price targets and more cautious ratings, with fuel costs and margin pressure cited as key constraints.
User avatar
Narrative Update • May 24

AC: Higher Fuel Costs And Fleet Investments Will Shape Future Pricing Power

Analysts have reduced the Air Canada fair value estimate from CA$23.48 to about CA$22.39 as recent price target cuts reflect higher jet fuel costs and more cautious revenue and margin expectations, even though modeled profit margins and P/E assumptions have been slightly adjusted. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Air Canada point to a more cautious stance as analysts reassess fuel assumptions, earnings power and valuation multiples.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 28

AC: Higher Fuel Costs Will Eventually Support Stronger Pricing Power

Analysts have trimmed the Air Canada target by CA$0.50 to CA$23.48, reflecting updated assumptions for fuel costs and slightly softer margin expectations, even as revenue growth estimates and P/E assumptions are adjusted. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates cluster around two themes for Air Canada, your upside case tied to execution on growth and pricing, and your risk case centered on fuel costs and capacity plans.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 14

AC: Fuel Cost Headwinds Will Present Opportunity For Future Margin Upside

Analysts have nudged the Air Canada fair value estimate slightly lower to CA$23.98 from CA$24.11, reflecting a series of recent price target cuts and rating downgrades that cite higher jet fuel costs and tighter margin expectations, even as revenue growth and profit margin assumptions in the model are adjusted upward and the future P/E assumption is marked lower. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Air Canada highlight a mixed setup, with some analysts trimming targets and ratings while others still see room for upside at current levels.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 31

AC: Fuel Headwinds Will Present Opportunity For Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed the Air Canada price target by about CA$0.25 as higher jet fuel costs and more cautious long term estimates, including lower assumed revenue growth and a slightly higher discount rate, weigh against modestly better profit margin assumptions and a lower future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Air Canada clusters around two clear themes, with some analysts leaning constructive on execution and valuation, while others focus on fuel costs and capacity risk.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 16

AC: Higher Fuel Costs And Capacity Plans Will Shape Future Risk Reward

The updated fair value estimate for Air Canada shifts to CA$17.0 from CA$20.1. This reflects analysts' focus on higher discount rates, softer profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple after a series of price target cuts tied to rising jet fuel costs and more cautious earnings estimates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Air Canada tilts more cautious, with several bearish analysts revising ratings and price targets alongside higher fuel cost assumptions and more conservative margin outlooks.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 02

AC: Capacity Plans And Fleet Refresh Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward

Our updated Air Canada narrative reflects a higher fair value estimate of CA$20.10 from CA$18.69, in line with recent analyst price target increases into the CA$22 to CA$27 range, supported by refreshed earnings models and mixed views on the company’s longer term capacity growth plans. Analyst Commentary Street research on Air Canada has been active, with several firms updating their models and price targets following recent earnings.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 16

AC: Fleet Expansion And Partnerships Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward Outlook

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Air Canada has been raised by CA$4 to CA$22, with analysts pointing to updated post earnings models and revised assumptions on revenue growth, margins and future P/E to support the new level. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates around Air Canada have been cautious, even as published price targets move higher.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 21

AC: Share Repurchases Will Support Future Upside Despite Cautious Earnings Expectations

Air Canada's updated analyst price target edges up to about C$24.36 from roughly C$24.24, as analysts factor in slightly adjusted revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions, alongside recent target revisions clustered in the C$21 to C$26 range. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a mixed but fairly contained range of views on Air Canada, with price targets clustered around the low to mid C$20s.
Analysis Article • Jan 09

Air Canada (TSE:AC) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 07

AC: Expanded Routes And Partnerships Will Support Constructive Long Term Upside

Analysts have modestly reduced their implied fair value for Air Canada from about C$31.59 to C$31.16. This reflects a series of slightly lower Street price targets and a view that near term upside to estimates may be limited, even as revenue growth assumptions and the future P/E expectation have been adjusted.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 19

AC: Share Repurchases Will Drive Future Upside Amid Near-Term Operational Headwinds

Analysts have modestly reduced their Air Canada price target by C$1. This reflects a series of lowered Street targets and a cautious outlook on near term upside amid operational headwinds and limited positive catalysts.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 05

AC: Share Repurchases Will Drive Future Upside Despite Near-Term Labor Headwinds

Air Canada’s analyst price target has been revised modestly lower, by roughly C$1 to C$2 per share, as analysts factor in softer near term upside, lingering labor and yield headwinds, and a lack of immediate positive catalysts despite largely unchanged long term fundamentals. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more balanced stance on Air Canada, with analysts broadly trimming price targets while maintaining a mix of positive and cautious views on the company’s execution and valuation.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 21

AC: Summer Route Expansion And Share Buyback Will Drive Bullish Outlook

Analysts have modestly lowered their price target for Air Canada, with the fair value decreasing from C$24.36 to approximately C$24.24. They cite ongoing headwinds and a cautious near-term outlook for the airline sector as reasons for this adjustment.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 29

Labor Uncertainty And New Routes Will Shape Upcoming Performance

Analysts have lowered Air Canada's average price target in recent weeks, with cuts ranging from C$1 to C$2 per report. They cited headwinds such as weaker recent results, persistent labor risks, and a lack of near-term positive catalysts.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 14

International Travel Expansion And Rising Costs Will Define Future Prospects

Air Canada's fair value estimate has been revised downward to $24.36 from $24.89 as analysts cite recent price target reductions, concerns about operational headwinds, and a weaker near-term outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research demonstrates a shift in sentiment surrounding Air Canada's outlook, with several firms adjusting their price targets and ratings in response to operational and market conditions.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 26

International Travel Expansion And Rising Costs Will Define Future Prospects

Air Canada’s consensus price target was slightly reduced to CA$24.89, reflecting analyst caution amid weak Q3 results, strike disruptions, ongoing labor risks, and few near-term catalysts. Analyst Commentary Recent downgrade driven by weak Q3 results due to strike disruptions, ongoing labor risks, and anticipated yield pressure.

Shareholder Returns

ACCA AirlinesCA Market
7D-4.1%-1.5%-1.8%
1Y46.8%9.1%22.6%

Return vs Industry: AC exceeded the Canadian Airlines industry which returned 9.1% over the past year.

Return vs Market: AC exceeded the Canadian Market which returned 22.6% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is AC's price volatile compared to industry and market?
AC volatility
AC Average Weekly Movement6.1%
Airlines Industry Average Movement5.9%
Market Average Movement9.3%
10% most volatile stocks in CA Market16.4%
10% least volatile stocks in CA Market3.7%

Stable Share Price: AC has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Canadian market.

Volatility Over Time: AC's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
193736,500n/awww.aircanada.com

Air Canada provides domestic, U.S. transborder, and international airline services. It provides scheduled passenger services under the Air Canada Vacations and Air Canada Rouge brand names in the Canadian market, the Canada-U.S. transborder market, and in the international market to and from Canada, as well as through capacity purchase agreements on other regional carriers.

Air Canada Fundamentals Summary

How do Air Canada's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
AC fundamental statistics
Market capCA$7.71b
Earnings (TTM)CA$430.00m
Revenue (TTM)CA$23.60b
17.9x
P/E Ratio
0.3x
P/S Ratio

Is AC overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
AC income statement (TTM)
RevenueCA$23.60b
Cost of RevenueCA$17.16b
Gross ProfitCA$6.43b
Other ExpensesCA$6.00b
EarningsCA$430.00m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)1.54
Gross Margin27.26%
Net Profit Margin1.82%
Debt/Equity Ratio352.0%

How did AC perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/13 02:57
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Air Canada is covered by 31 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christopher MurrayATB Cormark
David OcampoATB Cormark Historical (Cormark Securities)
Ahmad ShaathBeacon Securities Limited

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