Firefly Aerospace (FLY) Stock Overview
Operates as a space and defense technology company and provides mission solutions for national security, government, and commercial customers in United States. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 0/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 5/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
FLY Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
Firefly Aerospace Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$19.27 |
| 52 Week High | US$73.80 |
| 52 Week Low | US$16.00 |
| Beta | 0 |
| 1 Month Change | -38.14% |
| 3 Month Change | -55.92% |
| 1 Year Change | n/a |
| 3 Year Change | n/a |
| 5 Year Change | n/a |
| Change since IPO | -68.07% |
Recent News & Updates
Firefly Aerospace: Potential Next Space Winner To Buy
Summary Firefly Aerospace is expanding into an end-to-end space transportation provider, targeting LEO to cislunar missions with launchers, landers, and transfer vehicles. I raise my price target to $51.68, reflecting high-growth prospects, and believe FLY is undervalued; the stock remains a buy despite near-term losses. FLY’s contract momentum is robust, but margin growth hinges on ramping production cadence and disciplined cost management, especially as many contracts currently lack scale. Break-even on operating cash flow is expected by 2028, but execution risk on production ramp-up and aerospace/defense sector valuations remains a key watch item. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
FLY: NASA Moon And Mars Contracts Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have raised their price target for Firefly Aerospace to $35.00 from $27.00, citing updates in discount rate assumptions, revised revenue growth expectations, higher projected profit margins, and a lower future P/E estimate as key drivers of the change. What’s in the News for Firefly Aerospace Firefly Aerospace secured a US$144 million NASA Commercial Lunar Payload Services contract to use its Blue Ghost lunar lander for a rapid 2028 Moon mission, delivering three NASA science instruments to the lunar near side.Recent updates
Firefly Aerospace: Potential Next Space Winner To Buy
Summary Firefly Aerospace is expanding into an end-to-end space transportation provider, targeting LEO to cislunar missions with launchers, landers, and transfer vehicles. I raise my price target to $51.68, reflecting high-growth prospects, and believe FLY is undervalued; the stock remains a buy despite near-term losses. FLY’s contract momentum is robust, but margin growth hinges on ramping production cadence and disciplined cost management, especially as many contracts currently lack scale. Break-even on operating cash flow is expected by 2028, but execution risk on production ramp-up and aerospace/defense sector valuations remains a key watch item. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaFLY: NASA Moon And Mars Contracts Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have raised their price target for Firefly Aerospace to $35.00 from $27.00, citing updates in discount rate assumptions, revised revenue growth expectations, higher projected profit margins, and a lower future P/E estimate as key drivers of the change. What’s in the News for Firefly Aerospace Firefly Aerospace secured a US$144 million NASA Commercial Lunar Payload Services contract to use its Blue Ghost lunar lander for a rapid 2028 Moon mission, delivering three NASA science instruments to the lunar near side.
FLY: MoonFall Contract Will Anchor Future Lunar And Defense Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price target for Firefly Aerospace from $37.00 to $48.22. This reflects updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions.Shareholder Returns
| FLY | US Aerospace & Defense | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -20.0% | -3.3% | -2.0% |
| 1Y | n/a | 16.7% | 17.2% |
Return vs Industry: Insufficient data to determine how FLY performed against the US Aerospace & Defense industry.
Return vs Market: Insufficient data to determine how FLY performed against the US Market.
Price Volatility
| FLY volatility | |
|---|---|
| FLY Average Weekly Movement | 17.0% |
| Aerospace & Defense Industry Average Movement | 9.2% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.5% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: FLY's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: FLY's weekly volatility (17%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 1,414 | Jason Kim | www.fireflyspace.com |
Firefly Aerospace Inc. operates as a space and defense technology company and provides mission solutions for national security, government, and commercial customers in United States. The company offers integrated launch and space services technology that is committed to enabling launch, transit, and operations in space. It also provides Launch solutions, such as Alpha, a responsive launch services; and Eclipse, a medium-lift launch vehicles.
Firefly Aerospace Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| FLY fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$3.05b |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$358.36m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$184.88m |
Is FLY overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| FLY income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$184.88m |
| Cost of Revenue | US$138.97m |
| Gross Profit | US$45.91m |
| Other Expenses | US$404.27m |
| Earnings | -US$358.36m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
Aug 11, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -2.24 |
| Gross Margin | 24.83% |
| Net Profit Margin | -193.83% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 2.4% |
How did FLY perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/17 23:43 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/17 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Firefly Aerospace Inc. is covered by 10 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Michael Crawford | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| Colin Canfield | Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. |
| Xin Yu | Deutsche Bank |