Firefly Aerospace Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 0/6
Firefly Aerospace's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -27.9%, while the Aerospace & Defense industry saw earnings growing at 18.9% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 70.7% per year.
Key information
-27.94%
Earnings growth rate
84.21%
EPS growth rate
| Aerospace & Defense Industry Growth | 5.38% |
| Revenue growth rate | 70.66% |
| Return on equity | -32.43% |
| Net Margin | -193.83% |
| Next Earnings Update | 11 Aug 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
FLY: Space Force And Lunar Missions Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Firefly Aerospace to $25.00 from $35.00, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. What’s in the News for Firefly Aerospace Firefly Aerospace is guiding for US$420 million to US$450 million in 2026 revenue backed by U.S. Space Force contracts, and highlighted its role in the Golden Dome space based interceptor program and a US$109 million engineering change proposal under the FORGE Enterprise OPIR Services contract (source: Goldman Sachs space economy coverage).Firefly Aerospace: Potential Next Space Winner To Buy
Summary Firefly Aerospace is expanding into an end-to-end space transportation provider, targeting LEO to cislunar missions with launchers, landers, and transfer vehicles. I raise my price target to $51.68, reflecting high-growth prospects, and believe FLY is undervalued; the stock remains a buy despite near-term losses. FLY’s contract momentum is robust, but margin growth hinges on ramping production cadence and disciplined cost management, especially as many contracts currently lack scale. Break-even on operating cash flow is expected by 2028, but execution risk on production ramp-up and aerospace/defense sector valuations remains a key watch item. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaFLY: NASA Moon And Mars Contracts Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have raised their price target for Firefly Aerospace to $35.00 from $27.00, citing updates in discount rate assumptions, revised revenue growth expectations, higher projected profit margins, and a lower future P/E estimate as key drivers of the change. What’s in the News for Firefly Aerospace Firefly Aerospace secured a US$144 million NASA Commercial Lunar Payload Services contract to use its Blue Ghost lunar lander for a rapid 2028 Moon mission, delivering three NASA science instruments to the lunar near side.
FLY: MoonFall Contract Will Anchor Future Lunar And Defense Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price target for Firefly Aerospace from $37.00 to $48.22. This reflects updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions.Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Firefly Aerospace makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 185 | -358 | 86 | 220 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 160 | -334 | 53 | 200 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 111 | -396 | 52 | 185 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 103 | -302 | 46 | 166 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 108 | -280 | 48 | 160 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 61 | -266 | 47 | 149 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 55 | -156 | 41 | 118 |
Quality Earnings: FLY is currently unprofitable.
Growing Profit Margin: FLY is currently unprofitable.
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: Insufficient data to determine if FLY's year-on-year earnings growth rate was positive over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare FLY's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable
Earnings vs Industry: FLY is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Aerospace & Defense industry (27.5%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: FLY has a negative Return on Equity (-32.43%), as it is currently unprofitable.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/31 17:38 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/31 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Firefly Aerospace Inc. is covered by 11 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Michael Crawford | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| Colin Canfield | Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. |
| Xin Yu | Deutsche Bank |